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California (PA)

Also known as: California (PA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1035 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1063 (#115) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.3 (#95) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.578 (#330) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.3 More → 0.876 (#76) NetEff +15.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.0 More → 0.738 (#304) AdjNet +9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.747 (#304) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.638 (#295) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs West Liberty W 95 - 74
2024-11-09 vs Wheeling W 81 - 56
2024-11-12 vs Bowie St. L 53 - 60
2024-11-16 vs Point Park W 65 - 61
2024-11-18 @ Fairmont St. L 59 - 80
2024-11-22 vs Millersville L 57 - 68
2024-11-23 vs Shepherd W 70 - 52
2024-12-02 vs Virginia St. L 53 - 65
2024-12-06 @ West Chester L 64 - 75
2024-12-07 @ East Stroudsburg W 69 - 63
2024-12-17 vs Bloomsburg W 65 - 60
2024-12-21 @ Kutztown L 49 - 54
2025-01-04 @ Gannon L 62 - 71
2025-01-08 vs Slippery Rock W 62 - 59
2025-01-11 @ Seton Hill L 74 - 93
2025-01-15 vs Clarion W 85 - 74
2025-01-18 @ Pitt.-Johnstown W 70 - 52
2025-01-20 vs Penn St.-Beaver W 108 - 52
2025-01-25 @ Edinboro L 79 - 80
2025-01-29 vs Indiana (PA) W 77 - 63
2025-02-01 vs Gannon L 56 - 61
2025-02-05 vs Seton Hill W 88 - 78
2025-02-08 @ Slippery Rock W 79 - 56
2025-02-12 @ Clarion W 81 - 53
2025-02-19 vs Pitt.-Johnstown W 89 - 43
2025-02-26 @ Indiana (PA) W 69 - 62
2025-03-01 vs Edinboro L 79 - 81
2025-03-03 @ Indiana (PA) L 57 - 58

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Talia Gilliard - 27 33.6 13.6 3.9 1.2 2.6 0.3 1.7 12.0 7.9 130 5.7 5.7 41.8 31.4 79.2 1.37 53.0 50.3
Alicia Young - 28 25.9 12.7 5.0 0.7 1.5 0.7 2.1 12.8 5.6 64 1.6 1.9 38.4 27.5 60.4 0.96 43.7 40.3
Allycia Harris - 28 25.0 9.7 8.1 1.8 1.8 0.6 1.9 8.4 11.5 55 2.4 2.8 43.2 11.1 59.5 0.19 47.6 43.4
Iyahnna Williams - 28 21.8 9.3 3.5 1.4 1.1 0.5 2.6 8.9 4.2 76 3.2 4.6 39.6 29.5 86.3 0.4 47.7 43.2
Sierra Bermudez - 28 21.4 9.1 1.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.9 7.8 4.2 34 1.4 1.9 38.2 37.1 76.5 -0.07 53.0 49.5
Nina Shaw - 27 22.2 4.7 2.0 3.0 1.3 0.1 2.3 4.9 3.8 36 1.2 1.6 36.8 27.8 49.0 0.95 41.1 38.7
Kimaya Williams - 26 23.5 3.5 5.6 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.4 3.4 7.8 37 1.0 1.1 37.1 30.0 59.0 -0.5 43.3 38.8
Alivia Huffman - 25 10.6 3.4 3.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.7 2.7 4.5 62 3.0 7.6 49.3 0 61.3 0.41 52.7 49.3
Trinity Balog - 24 8.2 3.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 2.9 1.2 -40 -1.3 -2.3 39.1 31.8 68.2 -0.45 48.3 44.2
Hope Hawkins - 24 5.2 2.3 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.1 40 1.2 2.4 49.0 0 44.4 0.07 49.2 49.0
Mya Morgan - 22 3.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.8 23 1.1 3.7 33.3 35.7 0 -0.34 43.8 43.8
Angel Henry - 18 2.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 -49 -4.5 -29.9 35.7 25.0 50.0 -0.28 40.3 39.3
Macy Sardone - 20 3.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 -11 -0.5 -1.4 28.6 10.0 50.0 0.13 32.0 31.0
Gia Piscitelli - 17 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.3 -0.2 10 1.1 1.3 40.0 0.0 50.0 -0.26 42.5 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG