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California (PA)

Also known as: California (PA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 972 (#333) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1002 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 941 (#569) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +1.7 (#200) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +0.5 (#357) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.578 (#330) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.9 More → 0.343 (#323) NetEff -4.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.0 More → 0.738 (#304) AdjNet +9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.747 (#304) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.638 (#295) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.465 (#437) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#407) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.449 (#397) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 25 More → 960 (#290) RD 101 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Northern Mich. - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 vs Minnesota St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 @ Ferris St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Wheeling - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ West Liberty - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Fairmont St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score
2025-11-23 @ West Chester - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 vs Ashland - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Bloomsburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Robert Morris - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Shippensburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Lock Haven - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 @ Mansfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs East Stroudsburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Kutztown - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Gannon - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Clarion - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Edinboro - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Slippery Rock - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Indiana (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Pitt.-Johnstown - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Gannon - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kennedy Bankett - 21 29.4 15.0 3.6 1.0 1.7 0.3 3.0 10.3 8.4 -99 -4.3 -14.5 52.8 27.7 84.1 1.12 61.8 55.8
Alicia Young - 18 31.2 13.6 4.6 0.9 2.5 0.5 2.9 14.2 4.9 15 0.7 3.7 40.2 28.2 51.9 0.22 43.7 42.4
Trinity Balog - 22 27.4 10.7 2.4 2.4 0.7 0.1 2.6 8.6 5.1 -36 -1.5 -5.3 38.1 33.7 87.5 0.1 53.2 45.5
Hope Hawkins - 22 22.8 9.1 6.0 0.6 1.0 0.5 2.6 8.4 6.3 23 1.0 3.8 47.0 0 50.0 3.65 48.1 47.0
Jalasia Hull - 16 21.6 7.3 2.4 0.8 1.3 0.4 1.8 5.5 4.9 -143 -8.4 -38.2 48.9 25.0 67.5 -5.04 55.4 51.1
Kimaya Williams - 22 36.6 6.8 9.4 4.0 2.3 0.7 2.9 7.2 13.2 -44 -1.8 -6.2 39.2 21.4 47.8 0.1 41.8 40.2
Macy Sardone - 22 18.0 4.5 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.6 4.2 2.7 -48 -2.0 -15.5 35.9 32.7 85.0 -1.48 49.6 45.1
Mya Morgan - 13 15.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.7 3.8 0.5 -43 -2.9 -43.2 24.5 14.7 50.0 -3.28 30.1 29.6
Nina Shaw - 10 19.0 1.5 1.7 2.2 0.7 0.1 2.5 2.2 1.5 -9 -0.8 -4.6 27.3 40.0 50.0 0.36 32.8 31.8
Alayla Bivins - 12 6.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.3 1.2 0.3 0 0.0 0.0 28.6 0 100.0 0.53 38.1 28.6
Fanta Minteh - 6 4.5 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 0.91 40.0 40.0
CJ Sabo - 7 3.3 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.0 6 0.9 48.2 33.3 0 0 1.13 33.3 33.3
Angel Henry - 4 4.7 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 -0.5 -8 -2.0 -19.7 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Yamilex Rodriguez - 9 4.8 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.7 -0.3 -27 -3.4 -59.8 16.7 0.0 100.0 -4.26 29.1 16.7
Skylar Still - 4 3.2 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 10 2.0 127.0 0 0 25.0 - 28.4 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG