California (PA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1168 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1170 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1177 (#21) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.0 (#63) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.0 (#111) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.798 (#161) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.917 (#187) | NetEff +23.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.872 (#172) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.873 (#171) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.760 (#166) | AdjO 85.0 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.738 (#48) | AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.825 (#46) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.820 (#40) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1288 (#14) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wheeling | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | West Liberty | L | 67 - 84 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Charleston (WV) | W | 90 - 60 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Concord | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Daemen | L | 64 - 83 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Bloomsburg | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Dominican (CA) | W | 93 - 71 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 95 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Lock Haven | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Mansfield | W | 93 - 70 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 91 - 72 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Kutztown | W | 91 - 68 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Seton Hill | W | 87 - 78 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Gannon | W | 99 - 88 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Clarion | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Edinboro | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Indiana (PA) | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Gannon | L | 87 - 115 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Pippen | - | 1 | 31.1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 42.9 | 100.0 | - | 66.8 | 53.6 |
| John Camden | - | 1 | 31.2 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 60.5 | 57.1 |
| Bryson Lucas | - | 21 | 34.5 | 17.2 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 13.1 | 17.0 | 186 | 8.5 | 59.7 | 51.3 | 34.0 | 71.4 | 1.11 | 59.6 | 57.5 |
| Antoine Arnett | - | 20 | 32.3 | 16.9 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 154 | 7.3 | 53.9 | 50.4 | 33.3 | 59.3 | -1.78 | 54.0 | 52.0 |
| Jordyn Buchanan | - | 21 | 35.2 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 11.6 | 10.9 | 166 | 7.9 | 49.7 | 43.2 | 36.4 | 74.4 | 0.8 | 58.2 | 54.5 |
| Dai Dai Ames | - | 1 | 31.1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 44.4 | 42.9 |
| Brayden Reynolds | - | 17 | 33.1 | 11.7 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 7.0 | 11.3 | 86 | 5.1 | 37.2 | 52.1 | 35.0 | 68.7 | 0.93 | 61.2 | 55.0 |
| Chris Bell | - | 1 | 21.3 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 59.8 | 42.9 |
| Dalman Alexander | - | 16 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 11.8 | 45 | 2.8 | 15.9 | 58.8 | 20.0 | 67.2 | 1.89 | 62.7 | 59.3 |
| Semetri (TT) Carr | - | 1 | 17.4 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 88.9 | - | 71.8 | 33.3 |
| Lee Dort | - | 1 | 23.1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Keondre DeShields | - | 11 | 16.6 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 14 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 50.0 | 30.0 | 80.0 | 0.61 | 57.8 | 53.9 |
| Joshua Ray | - | 20 | 19.7 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 8.6 | 110 | 5.5 | 83.3 | 65.2 | 0.0 | 58.1 | -2.64 | 65.3 | 65.2 |
| Jordan Clayton | - | 20 | 15.2 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 117 | 5.8 | 113.4 | 54.1 | 7.1 | 54.2 | 0.46 | 55.6 | 54.7 |
| Nolan Dorsey | - | 1 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| DeJuan Campbell | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Mantas Kocanas | - | 1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Duncan Moy | - | 8 | 8.7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 22.2 | 50.0 | - | 40.9 | 40.0 |
| Brandon Singleton | - | 13 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | -17 | -1.3 | -76.8 | 30.0 | 13.3 | 40.0 | -0.11 | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| Jayden Daisy | - | 8 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.5 | 80.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.65 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Lakai Carter | - | 6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -5 | -0.8 | -49.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.46 | 38.7 | 50.0 |
| Calvin Winfrey III | - | 9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 31 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.34 | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Creston Austin III | - | 6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -10 | -2.0 | -161.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ibrahim Turay | - | 8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -2 | -0.3 | -19.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Shane Reago | - | 3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Butler | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 162 | 7.4 | 47.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.31 | 0 | 0 |
| BJ Fisher | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Milos Ilic | - | 1 | 15.6 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Stephon Marbury II | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG