Caldwell
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1037 (#124) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#111) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.6 (#232) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.569 (#333) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.909 (#60) | NetEff +17.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.248 (#493) | AdjNet -9.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.249 (#494) | AdjNet -9.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.374 (#483) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 68.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Pace | W | 78 - 64 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Adelphi | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Franklin Pierce | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Mercy | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 80 - 52 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Felician | L | 54 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Bloomfield | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Queens (NY) | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Saint Michael's | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Staten Island | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Molloy | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Georgian Court | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | Bridgeport | W | 52 - 44 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Holy Family | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Post | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Felician | W | 63 - 45 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Jefferson | L | 45 - 48 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2025-02-16 | @ | Post | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Jefferson | L | 33 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Bloomfield | W | 86 - 82 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Jefferson | L | 54 - 63 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Coogan | - | 30 | 34.7 | 16.7 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 14.8 | 9.9 | 86 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 31.1 | 75.4 | 0.27 | 50.0 | 45.3 |
| Jahnel Lewis | - | 3 | 36.0 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 15 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 30.2 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.04 | 44.6 | 36.0 |
| Jah'Nel Lewis | - | 7 | 36.3 | 16.0 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 5.0 | 14.4 | 7.1 | 14 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 36.6 | 32.4 | 66.7 | -0.0 | 47.4 | 42.6 |
| Neysa Aguilar | - | 23 | 31.2 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 5.1 | 34 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 42.0 | 28.3 | 67.6 | 0.32 | 51.1 | 46.3 |
| Brooke Corbett | - | 29 | 30.8 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 10.6 | 49 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 56.1 | 0.19 | 45.4 | 43.3 |
| Sophia DeMauro | - | 9 | 25.3 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 60 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 31.2 | 18.8 | 83.3 | 0.36 | 40.4 | 34.4 |
| Shayne Eldridge | - | 29 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 15 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 28.0 | 17.9 | 64.0 | -0.19 | 36.4 | 33.1 |
| Brianna Carey | - | 15 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 14 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 31.1 | 22.6 | 70.0 | 0.21 | 42.5 | 38.9 |
| Nia Clemons | - | 30 | 14.3 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 49 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 41.6 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.53 | 42.3 | 41.6 |
| Shauntia Alexander | - | 24 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 16 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 32.1 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.13 | 39.1 | 32.1 |
| Marissa Sorvillo | - | 17 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | -6 | -0.5 | -1.3 | 43.3 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.33 | 49.5 | 48.3 |
| Jaylyn Orefice | - | 24 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -31 | -1.5 | -3.6 | 32.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.33 | 35.3 | 32.4 |
| Mariah Luke | - | 3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Emily Piper | - | 9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Amyah Bray | - | 12 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.71 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Dendy | - | 14 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| KJ Gordon | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.94 | 0 | 0 |
| Gules Esposito | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sofia Maldonado | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36 | 6.0 | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG