🐻⬇️🏀

Caldwell

Also known as: Caldwell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1055 (#96) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 888 (#456) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1078 (#93) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.9 (#205) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.3 (#291) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.490 (#341) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +40.6 More → 0.989 (#98) NetEff +40.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.482 (#426) AdjNet -0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.7 More → 0.480 (#426) AdjNet -0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.485 (#433) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 77.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.550 (#215) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.556 (#278) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.564 (#266) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 22 More → 1063 (#164) RD 99 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Monmouth L 68 - 96
2025-11-14 vs Southern N.H. L 83 - 91
2025-11-15 vs Bentley L 71 - 84
2025-11-19 @ West Chester L 68 - 89
2025-11-22 @ St. Thomas Aquinas L 86 - 93
2025-11-25 vs Goldey-Beacom L 65 - 66
2025-11-30 @ American Int'l L 72 - 75
2025-12-03 @ Felician L 70 - 84
2025-12-06 @ Georgian Court L 77 - 79
2025-12-09 vs Dominican (NY) W 81 - 78
2025-12-15 @ Southern Conn. St. W 83 - 63
2025-12-19 vs Wilmington (DE) W 80 - 65
2025-12-21 vs Assumption W 94 - 92
2026-01-03 @ Holy Family W 69 - 65
2026-01-06 @ Bridgeport L 84 - 92
2026-01-10 vs Jefferson L 82 - 84
2026-01-14 @ Post L 72 - 74
2026-01-17 vs Chestnut Hill W 80 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Goldey-Beacom L 78 - 90
2026-01-28 vs Felician W 68 - 66
2026-01-31 vs Georgian Court W 87 - 64
2026-02-03 @ Dominican (NY) W 78 - 71
2026-02-07 @ Wilmington (DE) W 70 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daouda Dembele - 1 25.0 25.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 17.0 17.0 116 4.8 30.9 52.9 25.0 60.0 3.18 58.4 55.9
JoJo Wallace - 1 32.0 24.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 22.0 10.0 -8 -0.4 -2.0 40.9 50.0 66.7 1.43 48.7 45.5
Tre Powell - 2 29.5 23.0 4.0 2.5 3.0 0.0 3.5 14.0 15.0 103 6.1 30.8 50.0 60.0 85.7 0.89 67.3 60.7
Alex Bates IV - 1 23.0 19.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 16.0 39 1.9 11.5 87.5 80.0 50.0 -0.83 107.0 112.5
Alejandro Cybak - 1 34.0 19.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 17.0 -172 -10.1 -35.3 55.6 50.0 88.9 -2.38 73.3 61.1
Cash McClure - 1 33.0 17.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 17.0 6 0.3 1.6 66.7 66.7 100.0 0.53 82.4 77.8
Cooper Farrall - 1 20.0 17.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 13.0 22 1.0 6.8 57.1 33.3 0 3.11 60.7 60.7
Koi D. Kirk Jr. - 2 29.5 16.5 6.5 2.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 12.5 13.5 -12 -1.1 -10.7 44.0 0.0 64.7 -1.08 50.8 44.0
DeAngelo Horn - 7 29.3 15.4 5.0 1.4 1.0 0.6 1.3 10.6 11.6 0 0.0 0.0 56.8 26.7 87.0 -0.04 64.2 59.5
Isaiah Thomas-McClain - 1 36.0 15.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 15.0 11 0.5 2.7 55.6 57.1 33.3 2.23 72.7 77.8
Ivan Misic - 1 25.0 15.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 13.0 30 1.4 12.4 57.1 80.0 75.0 1.98 85.6 85.7
Tyler Spencer - 1 25.0 14.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 5.0 -60 -3.8 -20.3 50.0 0.0 0 -0.64 50.0 50.0
Mantas Zilys - 1 29.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 -40 -2.0 -20.4 57.1 50.0 100.0 -1.53 78.1 71.4
Melvin Evans - 10 32.3 12.7 4.6 4.1 1.4 0.6 3.2 13.2 7.0 -55 -4.2 -19.6 34.8 22.2 59.6 1.12 41.0 36.4
Todd Rochelle - 14 31.1 12.2 4.0 4.3 1.2 0.9 2.2 9.5 10.9 -10 -0.7 -4.5 45.1 40.9 78.6 0.2 56.4 51.9
Leonard Tangishaka - 1 35.0 12.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 41 1.7 10.1 50.0 0.0 66.7 -1.91 53.0 50.0
Noah Payne - 1 25.0 12.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 13.0 -71 -2.6 -22.9 40.0 0.0 100.0 -3.68 70.4 40.0
Isaiah Benbow - 2 18.5 12.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 8.5 6.5 - - - 58.8 50.0 66.7 - 65.5 64.7
Isaiah Philbert - 10 22.2 11.8 2.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.9 8.1 6.4 -14 -1.1 -53.0 44.4 40.7 88.9 -0.02 63.5 58.0
Amari Dow - 1 33.0 11.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 11.0 -113 -7.1 -26.5 33.3 0.0 75.0 -0.71 40.0 33.3
Julian Williams - 2 21.5 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 6.0 10.0 70 4.4 50.9 58.3 50.0 83.3 0.18 75.1 70.8
Reginald Dillard - 2 25.5 10.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 6.5 5.5 -17 -1.4 -82.1 61.5 44.4 100.0 -0.61 78.1 76.9
Shane Cercone - 1 31.0 10.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 6.0 15 0.7 6.3 42.9 50.0 100.0 0.39 63.5 57.1
Luke Michalski - 1 16.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 2.0 -32 -1.9 -21.9 40.0 0.0 25.0 -2.22 38.3 40.0
Terence Thompson - 10 22.3 8.9 6.6 0.8 0.5 1.7 1.6 7.6 9.3 -5 -0.4 -3.4 46.1 18.2 65.2 0.86 51.7 48.7
Justin Allen - 2 22.0 8.5 4.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.5 41 3.2 60.2 38.9 0.0 75.0 2.15 43.0 38.9
Sean Fullerton - 1 19.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 -44 -1.5 -10.9 60.0 100.0 0 -1.79 70.0 70.0
Jahshawne Joseph - 1 34.0 7.0 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 17.0 -47 -2.4 -15.2 60.0 0.0 50.0 -3.52 59.5 60.0
Jaiden Williams - 14 25.4 6.2 3.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.7 5.6 4.4 -54 -3.2 -20.0 39.7 24.3 80.0 -0.61 50.1 45.5
Jacob Gibbons - 1 16.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -32 -1.5 -12.6 66.7 50.0 50.0 -0.48 77.3 83.3
Tyler Edore - 2 13.5 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 5.0 8.0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 50.0 1.45 51.0 50.0
Chase Clarke - 1 24.0 6.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 5.0 18 0.9 6.6 30.0 0 0 1.45 30.0 30.0
Joe Carroll - 1 23.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 -30 -1.4 -13.5 66.7 66.7 0 -3.55 100.0 100.0
Zamareon McCown - 1 32.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 64 2.7 14.7 33.3 0.0 60.0 2.73 48.1 33.3
Anthony Akande - 2 21.5 4.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 4.5 6.5 111 7.4 108.0 44.4 0.0 100.0 1.29 47.7 44.4
Markeis Isley - 10 9.4 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.9 3.7 2.6 -28 -2.2 -22.4 37.8 30.0 70.0 -0.46 45.9 41.9
Kirk Parsons - 7 11.5 3.6 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.9 3.0 2.6 15 1.7 112.9 42.9 55.6 66.7 -0.62 56.0 54.8
Jalen Robinson - 2 21.0 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 0.0 95 7.3 310.6 18.2 14.3 100.0 0.21 29.5 22.7
Jaryn Bull - 14 11.3 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.4 -14 -0.8 -11.6 57.1 0 56.5 -1.88 59.0 57.1
Tristan Rogers - 10 11.1 3.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.6 1.8 -17 -1.3 -83.8 42.3 41.2 100.0 -0.5 57.7 55.8
Jahmare Memphis - 1 20.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 26 1.2 6.0 25.0 33.3 0 -0.67 37.5 37.5
Roni Oguekwe - 11 11.1 2.5 3.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.5 4.5 23 1.9 40.7 68.8 0 50.0 -0.56 66.2 68.8
Connor O'Leary - 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.12 53.2 0.0
Christopher Cervino - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10 0.8 17.3 50.0 0.0 0 1.07 50.0 50.0
Elijah Cherry - 2 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 -3 -3.0 -9.5 33.3 0.0 0 -0.52 33.3 33.3
Key'Sean Maynard - 2 22.5 2.0 6.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 5.5 5.0 -26 -1.9 -23.7 9.1 0.0 50.0 0.22 15.7 9.1
Emeka Ceaser - 8 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.1 15 2.1 44.1 50.0 50.0 100.0 2.29 72.7 66.7
Austin Amponsah - 7 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 12 1.7 250.4 0.0 0 0 1.43 0.0 0.0
Malcolm Day - 1 9.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -4.0 13 0.9 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.98 0.0 0.0
Landon Shivers - 1 12.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -8 -0.5 -3.2 0.0 0 0 -1.85 0.0 0.0
Vinicius Paixao - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Manny Smith - 3 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 6 2.0 221.5 0.0 0 0 0.46 0.0 0.0
Samaj Hairston Long - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 40 1.9 75.9 0 0 0 -2.22 0 0
Zeyad Elshazly - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T.J. Berger - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Preston Sledge - 1 13.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 33 1.7 20.1 0.0 0.0 0 2.39 0.0 0.0
Jordan Elliott - 1 29.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 73 4.1 30.4 0.0 0.0 0 1.89 0.0 0.0
Taj Smith - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 135 7.1 88.3 0.0 0.0 0 1.01 0.0 0.0
Christian Jeffers - 1 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Andrew Hill - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 33 2.4 67.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.47 0.0 0.0
Michael Rumpza - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG