Caldwell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1056 (#128) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 978 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1078 (#93) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#231) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.2 (#291) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.490 (#341) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.989 (#98) | NetEff +40.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.482 (#426) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.480 (#426) | AdjNet -0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.485 (#433) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 77.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.550 (#215) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.556 (#278) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.564 (#266) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1052 (#173) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Monmouth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Georgian Court | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Dominican (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Holy Family | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Bridgeport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Jefferson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Post | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Chestnut Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Georgian Court | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Dominican (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daouda Dembele | - | 1 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 116 | 4.8 | 30.9 | 52.9 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 3.19 | 58.4 | 55.9 |
| JoJo Wallace | - | 1 | 32.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 10.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.0 | 40.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 2.92 | 48.7 | 45.5 |
| Tre Powell | - | 2 | 29.5 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 103 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 85.7 | -1.15 | 67.3 | 60.7 |
| Alex Bates IV | - | 1 | 23.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 87.5 | 80.0 | 50.0 | -1.34 | 107.0 | 112.5 |
| Alejandro Cybak | - | 1 | 34.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | -172 | -10.1 | -35.3 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 88.9 | -3.54 | 73.3 | 61.1 |
| Cash McClure | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 82.4 | 77.8 |
| Cooper Farrall | - | 1 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 57.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.18 | 60.7 | 60.7 |
| Koi D. Kirk Jr. | - | 2 | 29.5 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 13.5 | -12 | -1.1 | -10.7 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 64.7 | 0.38 | 50.8 | 44.0 |
| DeAngelo Horn | - | 7 | 29.3 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 10.6 | 11.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.8 | 26.7 | 87.0 | -0.21 | 64.2 | 59.5 |
| Isaiah Thomas-McClain | - | 1 | 36.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 11 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 55.6 | 57.1 | 33.3 | -0.08 | 72.7 | 77.8 |
| Ivan Misic | - | 1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 30 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 57.1 | 80.0 | 75.0 | 2.18 | 85.6 | 85.7 |
| Tyler Spencer | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | -60 | -3.8 | -20.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.62 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Melvin Evans | - | 9 | 32.3 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 13.4 | 7.6 | -55 | -4.2 | -19.6 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 0.53 | 42.7 | 38.0 |
| Mantas Zilys | - | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | -40 | -2.0 | -20.4 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -2.8 | 78.1 | 71.4 |
| Todd Rochelle | - | 13 | 31.4 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 9.3 | 11.6 | -10 | -0.7 | -4.5 | 46.3 | 42.5 | 77.5 | -0.18 | 57.7 | 53.3 |
| Isaiah Benbow | - | 2 | 18.5 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 58.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.05 | 65.5 | 64.7 |
| Leonard Tangishaka | - | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 41 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.02 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Noah Payne | - | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -71 | -2.6 | -22.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.72 | 70.4 | 40.0 |
| Julian Williams | - | 2 | 21.5 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 70 | 4.4 | 50.9 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 83.3 | -0.59 | 75.1 | 70.8 |
| Amari Dow | - | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | -113 | -7.1 | -26.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.72 | 40.0 | 33.3 |
| Reginald Dillard | - | 2 | 25.5 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | -17 | -1.4 | -82.1 | 61.5 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 0.87 | 78.1 | 76.9 |
| Isaiah Philbert | - | 9 | 21.5 | 10.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 7.4 | 5.4 | -14 | -1.1 | -53.0 | 40.3 | 34.9 | 91.3 | 0.15 | 58.4 | 51.5 |
| Shane Cercone | - | 1 | 31.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 15 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.48 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Terence Thompson | - | 9 | 22.8 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 7.9 | 9.4 | -5 | -0.4 | -3.4 | 46.5 | 15.8 | 61.9 | 2.92 | 51.1 | 48.6 |
| Luke Michalski | - | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | -32 | -1.9 | -21.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.47 | 38.3 | 40.0 |
| Justin Allen | - | 2 | 22.0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 41 | 3.2 | 60.2 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 5.85 | 43.0 | 38.9 |
| Sean Fullerton | - | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -44 | -1.5 | -10.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.15 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Jahshawne Joseph | - | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | -47 | -2.4 | -15.2 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.34 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Jaiden Williams | - | 13 | 25.0 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 4.8 | -54 | -3.2 | -20.0 | 43.7 | 27.3 | 80.0 | -3.16 | 54.5 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Edore | - | 2 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.61 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacob Gibbons | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -32 | -1.5 | -12.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.19 | 77.3 | 83.3 |
| Chase Clarke | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.6 | 30.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.18 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Joe Carroll | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -30 | -1.4 | -13.5 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.13 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Zamareon McCown | - | 1 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 64 | 2.7 | 14.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 1.99 | 48.1 | 33.3 |
| Anthony Akande | - | 2 | 21.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 111 | 7.4 | 108.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.96 | 47.7 | 44.4 |
| Markeis Isley | - | 9 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 2.9 | -28 | -2.2 | -22.4 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 70.0 | -1.59 | 46.7 | 42.2 |
| Jalen Robinson | - | 2 | 21.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 95 | 7.3 | 310.6 | 18.2 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -1.0 | 29.5 | 22.7 |
| Kirk Parsons | - | 6 | 11.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 15 | 1.7 | 112.9 | 46.7 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 2.57 | 58.2 | 56.7 |
| Tristan Rogers | - | 9 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | -17 | -1.3 | -83.8 | 40.0 | 41.2 | 100.0 | 0.87 | 56.0 | 54.0 |
| Jaryn Bull | - | 13 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.2 | -14 | -0.8 | -11.6 | 53.8 | 0 | 57.1 | -1.46 | 56.8 | 53.8 |
| Jahmare Memphis | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.37 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Roni Oguekwe | - | 11 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 23 | 1.9 | 40.7 | 68.8 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.64 | 66.2 | 68.8 |
| Elijah Cherry | - | 2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -9.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Key'Sean Maynard | - | 2 | 22.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -23.7 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.64 | 15.7 | 9.1 |
| Connor O'Leary | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.97 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Christopher Cervino | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.8 | 17.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emeka Ceaser | - | 7 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 15 | 2.1 | 44.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.19 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Vinicius Paixao | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Amponsah | - | 6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 12 | 1.7 | 250.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Manny Smith | - | 3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 6 | 2.0 | 221.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Malcolm Day | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Landon Shivers | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -3.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zeyad Elshazly | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Berger | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Preston Sledge | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 33 | 1.7 | 20.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Elliott | - | 1 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 73 | 4.1 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.93 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Taj Smith | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 135 | 7.1 | 88.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Christian Jeffers | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Hill | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 33 | 2.4 | 67.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Rumpza | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG