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Caldwell

Also known as: Caldwell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1056 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 978 (#273) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1078 (#93) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +2.9 (#231) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.2 (#291) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.490 (#341) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +40.6 More → 0.989 (#98) NetEff +40.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.482 (#426) AdjNet -0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.7 More → 0.480 (#426) AdjNet -0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.485 (#433) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 77.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.550 (#215) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.556 (#278) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.564 (#266) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 23 More → 1052 (#173) RD 99 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Monmouth - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Southern N.H. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Bentley - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ West Chester - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ St. Thomas Aquinas - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Goldey-Beacom - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ American Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Felician - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Georgian Court - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 vs Dominican (NY) - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Southern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 vs Assumption - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Holy Family - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 @ Bridgeport - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Jefferson - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Post - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Chestnut Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Goldey-Beacom - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Felician - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Georgian Court - Incomplete score
2026-02-03 @ Dominican (NY) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daouda Dembele - 1 25.0 25.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 17.0 17.0 116 4.8 30.9 52.9 25.0 60.0 3.19 58.4 55.9
JoJo Wallace - 1 32.0 24.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 22.0 10.0 -8 -0.4 -2.0 40.9 50.0 66.7 2.92 48.7 45.5
Tre Powell - 2 29.5 23.0 4.0 2.5 3.0 0.0 3.5 14.0 15.0 103 6.1 30.8 50.0 60.0 85.7 -1.15 67.3 60.7
Alex Bates IV - 1 23.0 19.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 16.0 39 1.9 11.5 87.5 80.0 50.0 -1.34 107.0 112.5
Alejandro Cybak - 1 34.0 19.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 17.0 -172 -10.1 -35.3 55.6 50.0 88.9 -3.54 73.3 61.1
Cash McClure - 1 33.0 17.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 17.0 6 0.3 1.6 66.7 66.7 100.0 -0.41 82.4 77.8
Cooper Farrall - 1 20.0 17.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 13.0 22 1.0 6.8 57.1 33.3 0 2.18 60.7 60.7
Koi D. Kirk Jr. - 2 29.5 16.5 6.5 2.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 12.5 13.5 -12 -1.1 -10.7 44.0 0.0 64.7 0.38 50.8 44.0
DeAngelo Horn - 7 29.3 15.4 5.0 1.4 1.0 0.6 1.3 10.6 11.6 0 0.0 0.0 56.8 26.7 87.0 -0.21 64.2 59.5
Isaiah Thomas-McClain - 1 36.0 15.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 15.0 11 0.5 2.7 55.6 57.1 33.3 -0.08 72.7 77.8
Ivan Misic - 1 25.0 15.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 13.0 30 1.4 12.4 57.1 80.0 75.0 2.18 85.6 85.7
Tyler Spencer - 1 25.0 14.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 5.0 -60 -3.8 -20.3 50.0 0.0 0 0.62 50.0 50.0
Melvin Evans - 9 32.3 13.6 4.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 2.9 13.4 7.6 -55 -4.2 -19.6 36.4 25.0 60.0 0.53 42.7 38.0
Mantas Zilys - 1 29.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 -40 -2.0 -20.4 57.1 50.0 100.0 -2.8 78.1 71.4
Todd Rochelle - 13 31.4 12.3 3.9 4.6 1.3 0.9 2.2 9.3 11.6 -10 -0.7 -4.5 46.3 42.5 77.5 -0.18 57.7 53.3
Isaiah Benbow - 2 18.5 12.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 8.5 6.5 - - - 58.8 50.0 66.7 -0.05 65.5 64.7
Leonard Tangishaka - 1 35.0 12.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 41 1.7 10.1 50.0 0.0 66.7 1.02 53.0 50.0
Noah Payne - 1 25.0 12.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 13.0 -71 -2.6 -22.9 40.0 0.0 100.0 -3.72 70.4 40.0
Julian Williams - 2 21.5 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 6.0 10.0 70 4.4 50.9 58.3 50.0 83.3 -0.59 75.1 70.8
Amari Dow - 1 33.0 11.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 11.0 -113 -7.1 -26.5 33.3 0.0 75.0 -1.72 40.0 33.3
Reginald Dillard - 2 25.5 10.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 6.5 5.5 -17 -1.4 -82.1 61.5 44.4 100.0 0.87 78.1 76.9
Isaiah Philbert - 9 21.5 10.0 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 7.4 5.4 -14 -1.1 -53.0 40.3 34.9 91.3 0.15 58.4 51.5
Shane Cercone - 1 31.0 10.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 6.0 15 0.7 6.3 42.9 50.0 100.0 1.48 63.5 57.1
Terence Thompson - 9 22.8 9.1 6.7 0.9 0.4 1.9 1.7 7.9 9.4 -5 -0.4 -3.4 46.5 15.8 61.9 2.92 51.1 48.6
Luke Michalski - 1 16.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 2.0 -32 -1.9 -21.9 40.0 0.0 25.0 -0.47 38.3 40.0
Justin Allen - 2 22.0 8.5 4.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.5 41 3.2 60.2 38.9 0.0 75.0 5.85 43.0 38.9
Sean Fullerton - 1 19.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 -44 -1.5 -10.9 60.0 100.0 0 -0.15 70.0 70.0
Jahshawne Joseph - 1 34.0 7.0 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 17.0 -47 -2.4 -15.2 60.0 0.0 50.0 -2.34 59.5 60.0
Jaiden Williams - 13 25.0 6.7 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.8 5.5 4.8 -54 -3.2 -20.0 43.7 27.3 80.0 -3.16 54.5 50.0
Tyler Edore - 2 13.5 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 5.0 8.0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 50.0 1.61 51.0 50.0
Jacob Gibbons - 1 16.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -32 -1.5 -12.6 66.7 50.0 50.0 -2.19 77.3 83.3
Chase Clarke - 1 24.0 6.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 5.0 18 0.9 6.6 30.0 0 0 -0.18 30.0 30.0
Joe Carroll - 1 23.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 -30 -1.4 -13.5 66.7 66.7 0 -1.13 100.0 100.0
Zamareon McCown - 1 32.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 64 2.7 14.7 33.3 0.0 60.0 1.99 48.1 33.3
Anthony Akande - 2 21.5 4.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 4.5 6.5 111 7.4 108.0 44.4 0.0 100.0 2.96 47.7 44.4
Markeis Isley - 9 8.9 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.6 2.9 -28 -2.2 -22.4 37.5 33.3 70.0 -1.59 46.7 42.2
Jalen Robinson - 2 21.0 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 0.0 95 7.3 310.6 18.2 14.3 100.0 -1.0 29.5 22.7
Kirk Parsons - 6 11.4 3.2 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.8 15 1.7 112.9 46.7 50.0 66.7 2.57 58.2 56.7
Tristan Rogers - 9 11.0 3.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.9 2.8 1.4 -17 -1.3 -83.8 40.0 41.2 100.0 0.87 56.0 54.0
Jaryn Bull - 13 10.8 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.0 3.2 -14 -0.8 -11.6 53.8 0 57.1 -1.46 56.8 53.8
Jahmare Memphis - 1 20.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 26 1.2 6.0 25.0 33.3 0 -1.37 37.5 37.5
Roni Oguekwe - 11 11.1 2.5 3.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.5 4.5 23 1.9 40.7 68.8 0 50.0 2.64 66.2 68.8
Elijah Cherry - 2 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 -3 -3.0 -9.5 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Key'Sean Maynard - 2 22.5 2.0 6.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 5.5 5.0 -26 -1.9 -23.7 9.1 0.0 50.0 -0.64 15.7 9.1
Connor O'Leary - 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.97 53.2 0.0
Christopher Cervino - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10 0.8 17.3 50.0 0.0 0 0.5 50.0 50.0
Emeka Ceaser - 7 3.4 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.0 15 2.1 44.1 50.0 50.0 100.0 2.19 72.7 66.7
Vinicius Paixao - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Austin Amponsah - 6 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 12 1.7 250.4 0.0 0 0 2.76 0.0 0.0
Manny Smith - 3 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 6 2.0 221.5 0.0 0 0 2.45 0.0 0.0
Malcolm Day - 1 9.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -4.0 13 0.9 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.43 0.0 0.0
Landon Shivers - 1 12.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -8 -0.5 -3.2 0.0 0 0 3.05 0.0 0.0
Zeyad Elshazly - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T.J. Berger - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Preston Sledge - 1 13.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 33 1.7 20.1 0.0 0.0 0 3.37 0.0 0.0
Jordan Elliott - 1 29.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 73 4.1 30.4 0.0 0.0 0 2.93 0.0 0.0
Taj Smith - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 135 7.1 88.3 0.0 0.0 0 1.56 0.0 0.0
Christian Jeffers - 1 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Andrew Hill - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 33 2.4 67.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.21 0.0 0.0
Michael Rumpza - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG