Caldwell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1055 (#96) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 888 (#456) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1078 (#93) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.9 (#205) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.3 (#291) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.490 (#341) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.989 (#98) | NetEff +40.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.482 (#426) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.480 (#426) | AdjNet -0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.485 (#433) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 77.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.550 (#215) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.556 (#278) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.564 (#266) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1063 (#164) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Monmouth | L | 68 - 96 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Bentley | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | West Chester | L | 68 - 89 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 86 - 93 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | American Int'l | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Felician | L | 70 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Georgian Court | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 81 - 78 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Assumption | W | 94 - 92 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Holy Family | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Bridgeport | L | 84 - 92 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Jefferson | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Post | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 78 - 90 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Felician | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 87 - 64 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Dominican (NY) | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 70 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daouda Dembele | - | 1 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 116 | 4.8 | 30.9 | 52.9 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 3.18 | 58.4 | 55.9 |
| JoJo Wallace | - | 1 | 32.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 10.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.0 | 40.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 1.43 | 48.7 | 45.5 |
| Tre Powell | - | 2 | 29.5 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 103 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 85.7 | 0.89 | 67.3 | 60.7 |
| Alex Bates IV | - | 1 | 23.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 87.5 | 80.0 | 50.0 | -0.83 | 107.0 | 112.5 |
| Alejandro Cybak | - | 1 | 34.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | -172 | -10.1 | -35.3 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 88.9 | -2.38 | 73.3 | 61.1 |
| Cash McClure | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.53 | 82.4 | 77.8 |
| Cooper Farrall | - | 1 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 57.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 3.11 | 60.7 | 60.7 |
| Koi D. Kirk Jr. | - | 2 | 29.5 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 13.5 | -12 | -1.1 | -10.7 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 64.7 | -1.08 | 50.8 | 44.0 |
| DeAngelo Horn | - | 7 | 29.3 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 10.6 | 11.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.8 | 26.7 | 87.0 | -0.04 | 64.2 | 59.5 |
| Isaiah Thomas-McClain | - | 1 | 36.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 11 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 55.6 | 57.1 | 33.3 | 2.23 | 72.7 | 77.8 |
| Ivan Misic | - | 1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 30 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 57.1 | 80.0 | 75.0 | 1.98 | 85.6 | 85.7 |
| Tyler Spencer | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | -60 | -3.8 | -20.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.64 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mantas Zilys | - | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | -40 | -2.0 | -20.4 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.53 | 78.1 | 71.4 |
| Melvin Evans | - | 10 | 32.3 | 12.7 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 13.2 | 7.0 | -55 | -4.2 | -19.6 | 34.8 | 22.2 | 59.6 | 1.12 | 41.0 | 36.4 |
| Todd Rochelle | - | 14 | 31.1 | 12.2 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 10.9 | -10 | -0.7 | -4.5 | 45.1 | 40.9 | 78.6 | 0.2 | 56.4 | 51.9 |
| Leonard Tangishaka | - | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 41 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.91 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Noah Payne | - | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -71 | -2.6 | -22.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.68 | 70.4 | 40.0 |
| Isaiah Benbow | - | 2 | 18.5 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 58.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 65.5 | 64.7 |
| Isaiah Philbert | - | 10 | 22.2 | 11.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 6.4 | -14 | -1.1 | -53.0 | 44.4 | 40.7 | 88.9 | -0.02 | 63.5 | 58.0 |
| Amari Dow | - | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | -113 | -7.1 | -26.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.71 | 40.0 | 33.3 |
| Julian Williams | - | 2 | 21.5 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 70 | 4.4 | 50.9 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.18 | 75.1 | 70.8 |
| Reginald Dillard | - | 2 | 25.5 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | -17 | -1.4 | -82.1 | 61.5 | 44.4 | 100.0 | -0.61 | 78.1 | 76.9 |
| Shane Cercone | - | 1 | 31.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 15 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.39 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Luke Michalski | - | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | -32 | -1.9 | -21.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -2.22 | 38.3 | 40.0 |
| Terence Thompson | - | 10 | 22.3 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 9.3 | -5 | -0.4 | -3.4 | 46.1 | 18.2 | 65.2 | 0.86 | 51.7 | 48.7 |
| Justin Allen | - | 2 | 22.0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 41 | 3.2 | 60.2 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 2.15 | 43.0 | 38.9 |
| Sean Fullerton | - | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -44 | -1.5 | -10.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.79 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Jahshawne Joseph | - | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | -47 | -2.4 | -15.2 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.52 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Jaiden Williams | - | 14 | 25.4 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 4.4 | -54 | -3.2 | -20.0 | 39.7 | 24.3 | 80.0 | -0.61 | 50.1 | 45.5 |
| Jacob Gibbons | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -32 | -1.5 | -12.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.48 | 77.3 | 83.3 |
| Tyler Edore | - | 2 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.45 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Chase Clarke | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.6 | 30.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.45 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Joe Carroll | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -30 | -1.4 | -13.5 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -3.55 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Zamareon McCown | - | 1 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 64 | 2.7 | 14.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 2.73 | 48.1 | 33.3 |
| Anthony Akande | - | 2 | 21.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 111 | 7.4 | 108.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.29 | 47.7 | 44.4 |
| Markeis Isley | - | 10 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 2.6 | -28 | -2.2 | -22.4 | 37.8 | 30.0 | 70.0 | -0.46 | 45.9 | 41.9 |
| Kirk Parsons | - | 7 | 11.5 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 15 | 1.7 | 112.9 | 42.9 | 55.6 | 66.7 | -0.62 | 56.0 | 54.8 |
| Jalen Robinson | - | 2 | 21.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 95 | 7.3 | 310.6 | 18.2 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 29.5 | 22.7 |
| Jaryn Bull | - | 14 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.4 | -14 | -0.8 | -11.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 56.5 | -1.88 | 59.0 | 57.1 |
| Tristan Rogers | - | 10 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | -17 | -1.3 | -83.8 | 42.3 | 41.2 | 100.0 | -0.5 | 57.7 | 55.8 |
| Jahmare Memphis | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.67 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Roni Oguekwe | - | 11 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 23 | 1.9 | 40.7 | 68.8 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.56 | 66.2 | 68.8 |
| Connor O'Leary | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.12 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Christopher Cervino | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.8 | 17.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.07 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Elijah Cherry | - | 2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -9.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.52 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Key'Sean Maynard | - | 2 | 22.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -23.7 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 15.7 | 9.1 |
| Emeka Ceaser | - | 8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 15 | 2.1 | 44.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.29 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Austin Amponsah | - | 7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 12 | 1.7 | 250.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Malcolm Day | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Landon Shivers | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -3.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.85 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Vinicius Paixao | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Manny Smith | - | 3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 6 | 2.0 | 221.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Samaj Hairston Long | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 40 | 1.9 | 75.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeyad Elshazly | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Berger | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Preston Sledge | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 33 | 1.7 | 20.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Elliott | - | 1 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 73 | 4.1 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Taj Smith | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 135 | 7.1 | 88.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Christian Jeffers | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Hill | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 33 | 2.4 | 67.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Rumpza | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG