Cal State Northridge
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1204 (#245) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.0 (#259) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.303 (#83) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.266 (#92) | AdjNet -8.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.266 (#92) | AdjNet -8.8 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | vs | Menlo | W | 88 - 64 |
| 2003-12-03 | vs | Montana | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Portland State | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2003-12-30 | vs | Lafayette | W | 99 - 76 |
| 2004-01-03 | @ | - | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2004-01-08 | vs | UC Irvine | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | Long Beach State | L | 57 - 79 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Cal State Northridge | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Pacific | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2004-02-12 | vs | Utah State | W | 69 - 47 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Idaho | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2004-02-19 | @ | - | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2004-03-04 | vs | UC Riverside | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2004-03-06 | vs | Cal State Northridge | L | 70 - 95 |
| 2004-03-10 | @ | - | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2004-03-11 | @ | - | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ | - | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2004-03-13 | @ | - | L | 73 - 75 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Boylan | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Davin White | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Etoagwara Onyenegecha | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Thomas Shewmake | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Joseph Frazier | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chris Davis | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Terrell Jones | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Antoine Parker | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sergei Lepiashinski | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Michael Scott | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Austin Waggener | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Andre Foy | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Isaac Aftalion | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG