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Cal State LA

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Cal State LA
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 998 (#165) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1036 (#141) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.2 (#72) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.715 (#283) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.3 More → 0.879 (#73) NetEff +15.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.1 More → 0.865 (#238) AdjNet +16.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.873 (#239) AdjNet +16.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 63.3 More → 0.728 (#228) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 63.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Seattle Pacific W 76 - 56
2024-11-09 vs Western Wash. W 63 - 55
2024-11-20 vs CUI W 75 - 64
2024-11-22 vs Azusa Pacific W 74 - 73
2024-11-24 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 52 - 75
2024-12-05 vs Stanislaus St. W 79 - 62
2024-12-07 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 76 - 45
2024-12-19 vs Central Wash. W 71 - 68
2024-12-21 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 41 - 68
2025-01-02 @ CSUSB L 88 - 93
2025-01-04 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 53 - 63
2025-01-09 @ Sonoma St. W 63 - 38
2025-01-11 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 74 - 66
2025-01-16 vs San Fran. St. W 79 - 49
2025-01-18 vs Cal St. East Bay W 79 - 46
2025-01-23 @ Cal Poly Humboldt W 55 - 52
2025-01-25 @ Chico St. L 62 - 76
2025-01-30 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 80 - 72
2025-02-01 vs Sonoma St. L 49 - 64
2025-02-06 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 58 - 59
2025-02-08 vs CSUSB L 61 - 67
2025-02-13 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 78 - 64
2025-02-15 @ Stanislaus St. W 84 - 80
2025-02-20 vs Chico St. L 70 - 73
2025-02-22 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 70 - 40
2025-02-27 @ Cal St. East Bay W 75 - 62
2025-03-01 @ San Fran. St. W 60 - 59
2025-03-06 @ Chico St. L 74 - 84

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lily Buggs - 28 32.9 14.0 6.5 2.5 1.5 0.7 3.3 12.5 9.4 67 2.4 2.5 36.0 31.8 72.6 0.32 47.3 40.9
Nevaeh Asiasi - 27 28.7 10.4 5.2 3.6 1.6 0.3 3.6 9.1 8.5 92 2.8 3.0 47.8 34.2 61.1 0.82 52.1 50.4
Amaya Fuentes - 28 28.1 10.1 4.9 0.8 0.3 1.1 0.9 10.2 6.0 79 2.3 2.9 36.4 31.1 79.2 0.46 47.7 46.2
Olivia Hodges - 28 29.0 9.1 10.3 1.1 0.6 0.8 2.0 6.6 13.3 67 1.7 1.9 51.1 0 70.3 0.53 56.2 51.1
Sofia Fidelus - 28 20.9 8.7 2.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 1.5 9.4 3.0 65 2.1 2.6 34.8 35.3 58.6 0.54 43.9 42.8
Gabriella Rones - 15 15.5 6.2 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.0 4.7 3.5 45 3.2 5.5 45.7 53.5 100.0 0.46 64.0 62.1
Ronyae Jackson - 28 18.9 5.0 2.8 0.5 1.0 0.6 1.0 5.4 3.3 -18 -0.5 -0.8 31.6 27.9 70.6 -0.48 41.6 37.8
Mary Cotton - 28 14.2 3.5 3.4 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.0 3.6 4.4 46 1.4 2.6 38.6 22.2 75.0 0.35 45.1 41.6
Ashari Cassell - 28 7.8 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.1 2.7 0.2 10 0.3 1.0 30.7 7.1 61.5 0.08 36.4 31.3
Kyara Walter - 28 6.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.9 38 1.1 3.4 29.8 25.9 85.7 0.41 40.9 37.2
Ashanti Dias - 24 2.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.3 -0.2 28 2.3 6.4 22.6 33.3 50.0 0.17 27.5 25.8
Brooklyn Giles - 27 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 7 0.7 3.7 27.3 0 50.0 -0.04 29.5 27.3
Mariah Blake - 28 1.5 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 36 1.9 9.0 20.0 0 50.0 0.3 22.0 20.0
Jaden Newman - 20 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alliyah Fernandez - 26 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nia Johnson - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -49 -2.0 -2.8 0 0 0 0.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG