🐻⬇️🏀

Cal State Fullerton

Also known as: Cal State Fullerton Titans
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

83.1
PPG
82.6
Opp
+0.5
Margin
45.1%
FG%
35.5%
3P%
71.7%
FT%
35.0
RPG
16.2
APG
11.5
TO
84.5
Pace
78.9
AdjO
80.6
AdjD
#184
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1093 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 999 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1076 (#75) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -1.4 (#183) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +12.4 (#196) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.434 (#218) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.7 More → 0.851 (#62) NetEff +14.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.3 More → 0.435 (#188) AdjNet -2.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.3 More → 0.434 (#188) AdjNet -2.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 80.6 More → 0.461 (#184) AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 80.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.545 (#187) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.764 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.731 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 31 More → 1147 (#92) RD 129 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Caltech CALTECH W 136 - 82
2025-11-08 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 82 - 92
2025-11-10 @ California Golden Bears L 65 - 93
2025-11-15 vs Pacific Tigers L 73 - 85
2025-11-21 @ Portland Pilots L 85 - 103
2025-11-22 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies W 88 - 80
2025-11-23 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 93 - 97
2025-11-29 vs Pepperdine Waves W 83 - 69
2025-12-04 vs Cal Poly Mustangs L 91 - 94
2025-12-13 @ Denver Pioneers W 105 - 86
2025-12-21 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 89 - 94
2025-12-28 @ SMU Mustangs L 63 - 110
2026-01-01 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 95 - 84
2026-01-03 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 64 - 86
2026-01-08 @ UC San Diego Tritons W 88 - 71
2026-01-10 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 86 - 79
2026-01-15 @ UC Davis Aggies L 69 - 74
2026-01-22 vs Long Beach State Beach W 71 - 61
2026-01-24 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 93 - 78
2026-01-31 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 69 - 83
2026-02-05 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 78 - 72
2026-02-07 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 82 - 66
2026-02-12 @ Long Beach State Beach W 86 - 82
2026-02-14 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 65 - 86
2026-02-19 vs UC Davis Aggies W 93 - 92
2026-02-21 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 88 - 80
2026-02-28 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 85 - 87
2026-03-05 vs UC San Diego Tritons W 75 - 71
2026-03-07 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 90 - 77
2026-03-12 vs UC Davis Aggies W 82 - 70
2026-03-13 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 63 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Josh Ward Josh Ward - 31 31.0 14.8 4.6 3.7 1.6 0.5 1.9 10.7 12.6 8 0.3 1.2 43.8 32.1 76.2 -0.48 56.9 50.5
Landon Seaman Landon Seaman - 31 20.8 11.6 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.4 1.1 8.0 7.6 44 1.9 11.4 53.0 35.7 60.7 -0.09 60.6 59.0
J. De La Cruz Monegro J. De La Cruz Monegro G 30 28.7 11.5 4.5 2.2 0.9 0.4 1.0 8.9 9.6 17 0.7 2.9 40.1 29.2 89.9 -0.28 54.8 46.3
Bryce Cofield Bryce Cofield - 31 20.9 9.8 4.7 2.4 0.7 0.5 2.1 7.8 8.2 -28 -1.2 -6.2 45.2 16.2 59.7 -0.53 50.7 46.5
Christian Williams Christian Williams - 31 26.3 9.6 3.5 2.2 2.0 0.1 1.4 8.0 8.0 75 3.8 9.7 42.1 37.4 82.9 -0.89 56.8 54.5
K. Garris K. Garris - 27 16.5 8.8 3.6 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.5 5.8 7.7 - - - 50.0 43.5 69.2 - 64.5 61.9
J. Henderson J. Henderson - 29 17.7 7.6 2.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 1.0 6.5 4.8 64 3.6 4.8 45.5 40.0 71.4 0.03 56.4 55.6
B. Nunn B. Nunn - 21 19.4 5.5 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.6 -25 -2.3 -10.8 40.0 46.0 91.7 -0.32 63.5 58.1
K. De Luna K. De Luna F 31 17.6 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 3.2 5.4 -106 -4.8 -33.5 52.0 100.0 68.8 -0.54 58.1 52.5
Davis White Davis White - 25 12.7 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.9 1.5 -18 -0.9 -5.8 34.2 30.3 57.1 -0.39 48.6 47.9
Matthew Quinlan Matthew Quinlan - 6 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.5 13 2.6 271.3 57.1 40.0 0 -0.02 71.4 71.4
Benjamin Winker Benjamin Winker - 7 3.9 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 21 4.2 307.3 66.7 0 0.0 0.05 38.5 66.7
Kidus Tilahun Kidus Tilahun G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Yesan Warren Yesan Warren G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Karan Kolappa Karan Kolappa G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Cam Smith Cam Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 139 6.3 12.0 - - - 1.5 - -
Nicholas Khatchikian Nicholas Khatchikian G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG