Cal St. San Marcos
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 968 (#237) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 960 (#206) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.2 (#170) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.384 (#408) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.278 (#278) | NetEff -7.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.729 (#310) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.736 (#312) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.620 (#315) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 61.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Hetrick | - | 30 | 27.0 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 12.5 | 6.3 | -33 | -1.2 | -1.3 | 38.0 | 34.4 | 59.8 | -0.1 | 44.4 | 42.2 |
| Rose Morse | - | 30 | 29.7 | 10.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 11.0 | 1.7 | -11 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 30.4 | 29.5 | 75.7 | 0.27 | 42.2 | 37.8 |
| Tatum Tamashiro | - | 30 | 26.9 | 10.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.1 | 5.2 | -137 | -3.3 | -3.9 | 42.8 | 41.7 | 78.8 | -1.21 | 59.0 | 57.2 |
| Camille Johnson | - | 25 | 23.0 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 5.7 | -18 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 33.0 | 33.3 | 67.1 | 0.07 | 40.4 | 34.6 |
| Kate Bobadilla | - | 22 | 20.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 0.3 | -59 | -2.0 | -2.7 | 34.6 | 30.5 | 71.4 | -0.2 | 45.2 | 41.7 |
| Destiny Okonkwo | - | 29 | 27.6 | 5.1 | 7.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 10.4 | -25 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 48.3 | 100.0 | 55.7 | 0.2 | 51.4 | 48.7 |
| Kacie Slover | - | 23 | 17.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 2.3 | -27 | -1.4 | -2.1 | 36.3 | 22.7 | 80.0 | -0.17 | 41.4 | 39.0 |
| Maddie Leiva | - | 27 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 0.5 | -40 | -1.2 | -3.3 | 30.7 | 29.1 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 45.5 | 43.8 |
| Lyric Richardson | - | 27 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 46.2 | 0 | 57.7 | 0.01 | 49.7 | 46.2 |
| Lucca Lowenberg | - | 29 | 10.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 0.7 | -35 | -0.9 | -1.9 | 25.0 | 27.7 | 60.0 | -0.22 | 36.8 | 35.2 |
| Kaitlyn Beall | - | 30 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -124 | -3.4 | -11.5 | 34.8 | 0 | 63.6 | -1.14 | 41.3 | 34.8 |
| Jade Ramirez | - | 30 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | -18 | -0.8 | -3.2 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 29.5 | 27.3 |
| Maria Gorbushin | - | 29 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 44.4 | 44.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG