🐻⬇️🏀

Cal St. Monterey Bay

Also known as: Cal St. Monterey Bay
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1026 (#136) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1007 (#172) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -5.2 (#255) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.119 (#525) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.1 More → 0.070 (#345) NetEff -19.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.5 More → 0.250 (#492) AdjNet -9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.249 (#495) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.360 (#497) AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 65.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Menlo L 54 - 84
2024-11-09 vs Academy of Art L 53 - 59
2024-11-15 @ Dominican (CA) L 66 - 70
2024-11-16 @ Fresno Pacific W 63 - 54
2024-11-30 @ Stanislaus St. L 48 - 69
2024-12-05 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 51 - 72
2024-12-07 @ Cal State LA L 45 - 76
2024-12-14 vs Lincoln (CA) W 81 - 68
2024-12-18 vs Simpson (CA) W 65 - 42
2024-12-21 vs Stanislaus St. L 59 - 73
2025-01-02 vs Chico St. L 61 - 70
2025-01-04 vs Cal Poly Humboldt L 44 - 59
2025-01-09 @ Cal St. East Bay L 53 - 70
2025-01-11 @ San Fran. St. L 38 - 49
2025-01-16 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 55 - 90
2025-01-18 @ CSUSB L 54 - 64
2025-01-23 vs Cal St. San Marcos L 61 - 65
2025-01-25 vs Sonoma St. L 40 - 60
2025-01-30 vs San Fran. St. L 63 - 64
2025-02-01 vs Cal St. East Bay L 61 - 64
2025-02-06 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 51 - 59
2025-02-08 @ Chico St. L 46 - 77
2025-03-01 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 59 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ella Doherty - 20 30.1 12.9 5.2 1.4 0.8 0.6 2.5 10.2 8.0 -123 -5.6 -5.1 49.3 25.0 62.3 -0.59 54.8 52.4
Julie Ramirez - 1 28.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 24 1.0 1.3 37.5 50.0 66.7 0.56 56.4 50.0
Jayden McNeal - 21 28.3 9.2 5.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 2.3 8.6 6.1 -180 -4.9 -6.0 40.6 14.3 61.6 -0.64 45.5 41.1
Breanna Hurt - 1 23.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 -1.0 -13 -0.5 -0.6 40.0 0.0 0 0.14 40.0 40.0
A'ajah Slocum - 23 26.7 7.3 5.3 2.9 1.3 0.1 3.4 6.5 7.0 -178 -5.1 -6.0 41.3 33.3 76.0 -0.41 48.8 43.3
Anisa Rillo - 1 21.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 -86 -3.1 -3.4 50.0 0.0 60.0 -0.8 56.5 50.0
Sha'nece Garrett - 16 22.0 6.5 3.4 1.4 1.3 0.0 1.8 7.3 3.6 -107 -5.6 -6.2 30.8 24.4 72.4 -0.48 40.1 35.5
Cheyanne Whitfield - 23 18.7 6.4 3.3 1.3 1.2 0.1 2.0 7.2 3.2 -123 -4.0 -6.4 38.0 25.0 75.0 -0.67 42.3 40.1
Jasmine Heu - 1 22.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 24 0.9 1.0 33.3 33.3 50.0 0.28 43.6 41.7
Olivia Garcia - 1 21.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 -68 -2.4 -4.5 40.0 50.0 0 -0.23 50.0 50.0
Jenna Kurz - 1 12.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 0.3 36.3 33.3
Leah Sarabia - 23 15.1 4.1 4.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 2.7 4.8 3.2 -196 -5.4 -9.9 35.5 22.9 45.0 -1.14 40.0 39.1
Lydia Manu - 1 22.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 3.0 -41 -1.5 -2.3 12.5 0.0 100.0 -0.25 22.5 12.5
Jordan Beaumont - 22 24.5 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.1 5.5 0.3 -92 -3.4 -4.3 22.3 26.6 85.7 -0.19 34.3 32.6
Ledjan Pahukoa - 20 16.5 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.2 1.4 4.2 0.8 -98 -2.9 -5.8 25.3 25.8 83.3 -0.89 37.4 35.5
Angela Whitfield - 1 18.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 2.0 -114 -2.9 -4.9 14.3 16.7 0 -0.79 21.4 21.4
Jolie Johnson - 7 10.4 2.7 3.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.1 3.6 -10 -1.1 -2.5 40.0 0 77.8 -0.12 50.1 40.0
Briajanae Wade - 23 7.8 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.6 0.1 -49 -2.0 -5.8 27.1 28.6 33.3 -0.3 37.3 37.3
Jayla Green - 1 17.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 -39 -1.4 -1.9 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.14 21.0 0.0
Aaliyah Seuell - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 22 0.6 1.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.03 34.7 0.0
Janelle Pena - 19 12.9 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 2.6 0.7 -76 -2.5 -6.1 26.5 0.0 68.8 -0.79 33.0 26.5
Brianna Bouton - 23 8.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.6 -51 -1.8 -4.1 38.7 31.2 100.0 -0.51 48.6 46.8
Peyton Akins - 6 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kate Evans - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -30 -0.9 -5.2 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
Trinity Tolbert - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24 0.8 2.7 0 0 0 0.08 0 0
Kira Wilmurt - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -61 -1.5 -3.8 0 0 0 -0.76 0 0
Aaliyah Thompson - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 79 5.6 7.5 0 0 0 0.54 0 0
Malaysia Lucero - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -69 -6.3 -14.9 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG