Cal St. Monterey Bay
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#136) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1007 (#172) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.2 (#255) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.119 (#525) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.070 (#345) | NetEff -19.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.250 (#492) | AdjNet -9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.249 (#495) | AdjNet -9.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.360 (#497) | AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 65.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Menlo | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Academy of Art | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Fresno Pacific | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Stanislaus St. | L | 48 - 69 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 51 - 72 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 45 - 76 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Lincoln (CA) | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Simpson (CA) | W | 65 - 42 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Stanislaus St. | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Chico St. | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 44 - 59 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | San Fran. St. | L | 38 - 49 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 55 - 90 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | CSUSB | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Sonoma St. | L | 40 - 60 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | San Fran. St. | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Chico St. | L | 46 - 77 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 59 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Doherty | - | 20 | 30.1 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 10.2 | 8.0 | -123 | -5.6 | -5.1 | 49.3 | 25.0 | 62.3 | -0.59 | 54.8 | 52.4 |
| Julie Ramirez | - | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.56 | 56.4 | 50.0 |
| Jayden McNeal | - | 21 | 28.3 | 9.2 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 8.6 | 6.1 | -180 | -4.9 | -6.0 | 40.6 | 14.3 | 61.6 | -0.64 | 45.5 | 41.1 |
| Breanna Hurt | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | -13 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| A'ajah Slocum | - | 23 | 26.7 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 7.0 | -178 | -5.1 | -6.0 | 41.3 | 33.3 | 76.0 | -0.41 | 48.8 | 43.3 |
| Anisa Rillo | - | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -86 | -3.1 | -3.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.8 | 56.5 | 50.0 |
| Sha'nece Garrett | - | 16 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 3.6 | -107 | -5.6 | -6.2 | 30.8 | 24.4 | 72.4 | -0.48 | 40.1 | 35.5 |
| Cheyanne Whitfield | - | 23 | 18.7 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 3.2 | -123 | -4.0 | -6.4 | 38.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.67 | 42.3 | 40.1 |
| Jasmine Heu | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 24 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 43.6 | 41.7 |
| Olivia Garcia | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -68 | -2.4 | -4.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jenna Kurz | - | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.3 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Leah Sarabia | - | 23 | 15.1 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 3.2 | -196 | -5.4 | -9.9 | 35.5 | 22.9 | 45.0 | -1.14 | 40.0 | 39.1 |
| Lydia Manu | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -41 | -1.5 | -2.3 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.25 | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| Jordan Beaumont | - | 22 | 24.5 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 0.3 | -92 | -3.4 | -4.3 | 22.3 | 26.6 | 85.7 | -0.19 | 34.3 | 32.6 |
| Ledjan Pahukoa | - | 20 | 16.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 0.8 | -98 | -2.9 | -5.8 | 25.3 | 25.8 | 83.3 | -0.89 | 37.4 | 35.5 |
| Angela Whitfield | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -114 | -2.9 | -4.9 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.79 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Jolie Johnson | - | 7 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 | -10 | -1.1 | -2.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 77.8 | -0.12 | 50.1 | 40.0 |
| Briajanae Wade | - | 23 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 0.1 | -49 | -2.0 | -5.8 | 27.1 | 28.6 | 33.3 | -0.3 | 37.3 | 37.3 |
| Jayla Green | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -39 | -1.4 | -1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Aaliyah Seuell | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 22 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Janelle Pena | - | 19 | 12.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | -76 | -2.5 | -6.1 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 68.8 | -0.79 | 33.0 | 26.5 |
| Brianna Bouton | - | 23 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | -51 | -1.8 | -4.1 | 38.7 | 31.2 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 48.6 | 46.8 |
| Peyton Akins | - | 6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kate Evans | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -30 | -0.9 | -5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Trinity Tolbert | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Kira Wilmurt | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -61 | -1.5 | -3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Thompson | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79 | 5.6 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Malaysia Lucero | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -69 | -6.3 | -14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG