🐻⬇️🏀

Cal St. Monterey Bay

Also known as: Cal St. Monterey Bay
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1016 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1026 (#167) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +3.6 (#184) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.396 (#394) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.9 More → 0.367 (#283) NetEff -4.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.0 More → 0.558 (#388) AdjNet +2.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.4 More → 0.569 (#383) AdjNet +2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.6 | AdjD 77.4 More → 0.551 (#377) AdjO 79.6 | AdjD 77.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Western Ore. L 88 - 89
2024-11-10 @ Central Wash. W 72 - 58
2024-11-17 vs Colo. Christian L 52 - 75
2024-11-27 @ Dominican (CA) W 78 - 68
2024-11-30 @ Stanislaus St. L 79 - 90
2024-12-05 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 68 - 77
2024-12-07 @ Cal State LA L 45 - 64
2024-12-12 vs UC Merced W 69 - 62
2024-12-21 vs Stanislaus St. L 68 - 69
2025-01-02 vs Chico St. L 74 - 78
2025-01-04 vs Cal Poly Humboldt L 70 - 81
2025-01-09 @ Cal St. East Bay L 66 - 70
2025-01-11 @ San Fran. St. W 60 - 45
2025-01-16 @ Cal Poly Pomona W 76 - 65
2025-01-18 @ CSUSB L 55 - 56
2025-01-23 vs Cal St. San Marcos L 64 - 71
2025-01-25 vs Sonoma St. W 89 - 66
2025-01-30 vs San Fran. St. L 72 - 77
2025-02-01 vs Cal St. East Bay L 76 - 78
2025-02-06 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 94 - 95
2025-02-08 @ Chico St. L 59 - 69
2025-02-13 vs Cal State LA L 77 - 82
2025-02-15 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 65 - 82
2025-02-20 @ Sonoma St. L 80 - 87
2025-02-22 @ Cal St. San Marcos L 67 - 72
2025-02-27 vs CSUSB L 66 - 87
2025-03-01 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 70 - 78

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Andrew Henderson - 2 38.5 21.5 8.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 2.5 17.0 15.5 74 2.2 9.8 50.0 62.5 50.0 1.12 57.3 57.4
Aidan Fowler - 2 33.5 20.5 4.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 13.0 13.0 -13 -13.0 -29.6 53.8 42.9 76.9 -0.66 64.6 59.6
Jojo Murphy - 2 30.0 18.5 5.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 15.5 10.0 21 0.8 2.7 45.2 43.8 100.0 1.35 58.0 56.5
Raphael Gay - 1 25.0 18.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 20.0 - - - 100.0 0 66.7 - 96.6 100.0
Corey Cofield II - 1 20.0 17.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 16.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 90.0 - 74.6 57.1
Kris Krause - 1 20.0 17.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 16.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 90.0 - 74.6 57.1
Josiah Sanders - 2 35.5 17.0 6.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 2.0 12.5 11.5 17 0.7 5.5 52.0 0.0 80.0 0.13 57.8 52.0
Jaden Winfield - 2 32.5 17.0 6.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 13.5 11.5 -85 -3.7 -20.5 55.6 0.0 100.0 0.15 59.1 55.6
Evan Guillory - 1 38.0 17.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 10.0 9 0.5 1.9 37.5 0.0 71.4 0.58 44.5 37.5
Jeremy Dent-Smith - 2 31.0 16.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 13.5 9.0 83 2.5 5.8 37.0 33.3 66.7 0.5 49.6 44.4
Shane Bell - 2 28.5 16.0 3.0 4.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 10.0 13.0 - - - 60.0 40.0 66.7 - 66.8 65.0
Maverick Sanders - 1 26.0 14.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 14.0 8.0 -6 -0.2 -0.6 35.7 20.0 42.9 0.84 41.0 39.3
Isaiah Kerr - 2 35.5 13.0 4.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 11.5 9.5 -97 -3.9 -16.2 30.4 30.0 81.8 0.95 46.7 37.0
Rob Diaz - 2 34.0 13.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 0.5 3.0 9.0 6.0 90 3.5 26.5 44.4 0.0 76.9 0.43 54.8 44.4
Evan Oliver - 2 37.5 13.0 5.5 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 12.5 61 2.0 8.4 37.5 44.4 57.1 0.99 48.0 45.8
Kalib LaCount - 2 40.0 12.5 3.5 4.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 8.5 13.0 -5 -0.2 -1.5 52.9 25.0 100.0 0.13 63.6 55.9
Miles Lewis - 2 23.5 12.5 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 9.0 5.5 -85 -4.7 -48.9 44.4 50.0 100.0 0.03 60.6 52.8
Adam Afifi - 2 23.0 12.0 6.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.5 9.0 123 3.8 10.6 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.27 47.2 33.3
Alex Garcia - 2 31.0 12.0 4.0 2.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 7.5 14.0 85 2.4 6.2 60.0 60.0 75.0 2.54 71.6 70.0
DJ Guest - 2 23.0 12.0 5.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 8.5 11.0 -5 -0.1 -0.4 47.1 33.3 70.0 0.0 56.1 50.0
Calvin Sisk - 1 23.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 100 3.6 62.4 71.4 0 33.3 -0.14 66.1 71.4
Trae Taylor - 2 26.5 11.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 7.5 13.5 -1 -0.0 -0.2 66.7 0 66.7 0.98 67.4 66.7
Jordan Clark - 1 28.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 -1.0 6 0.2 0.6 33.3 40.0 100.0 0.34 50.6 44.4
Cavin Holden - 1 28.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 6.0 -32 -1.1 -2.9 42.9 25.0 100.0 1.22 60.1 50.0
Caden Harris - 2 31.0 10.0 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 10.5 5.0 35 1.1 5.3 42.9 18.2 0 1.3 47.6 47.6
Nic Welp - 2 29.5 10.0 8.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 12.5 60 2.6 11.6 58.3 50.0 100.0 0.41 70.4 62.5
Kyjuan Cannady - 2 24.0 9.5 2.5 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 7.5 9.0 - - - 40.0 33.3 85.7 - 52.5 43.3
Devin Ringer - 2 23.0 9.5 5.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 7.5 7.5 - - - 40.0 41.7 66.7 - 58.2 56.7
Kyle Frelow - 2 33.5 9.5 6.5 0.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 7.5 11.5 68 2.7 22.5 53.3 0 100.0 0.33 58.2 53.3
Kevin Simeth - 2 15.0 8.5 6.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 5.0 10.0 -129 -5.2 -39.7 80.0 0 33.3 0.2 75.1 80.0
David Cheatom - 2 16.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 118 3.2 12.4 62.5 100.0 100.0 1.89 82.0 75.0
Cortevious Taylor - 2 13.0 8.0 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 5.5 7.0 -10 -0.4 -3.2 45.5 66.7 100.0 0.16 62.7 54.5
Jamal Briscoe - 2 21.0 8.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 61 2.8 29.2 50.0 33.3 83.3 0.05 63.3 55.0
Demarreya Lewis-Cooper - 2 27.0 8.0 1.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.5 -117 -4.5 -27.0 33.3 14.3 75.0 -0.1 40.5 36.1
Jordan Hilstock - 2 29.0 7.0 5.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 9.5 165 5.2 11.7 44.4 44.4 100.0 2.93 70.9 66.7
Miles Daniels - 1 34.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 -17 -1.1 -5.7 22.2 0.0 42.9 0.06 29.0 22.2
Michael Ofoegbu - 1 15.0 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 34 4.2 104.7 50.0 0 100.0 -0.67 54.3 50.0
Dominic Escobar - 2 25.5 6.5 2.5 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.5 9.0 1.5 - - - 22.2 0.0 100.0 - 32.2 22.2
Marsai Mason - 2 17.5 6.5 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.5 7.5 7.5 -68 -3.6 -30.2 33.3 0.0 75.0 0.05 38.8 33.3
Jordan Jones - 2 22.0 6.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -38 -1.9 -10.2 40.0 40.0 75.0 0.48 55.3 50.0
Mitch Brizee - 1 16.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 -24 -0.9 -2.6 100.0 0 100.0 1.06 104.2 100.0
Connor Scales - 2 14.5 6.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 4.5 4.5 - - - 33.3 40.0 100.0 - 55.8 44.4
Zach Broadous - 2 20.0 6.0 2.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 6.5 4.5 -31 -1.8 -43.9 46.2 0.0 0.0 -0.42 44.6 46.2
Charlie Henderson - 2 33.5 6.0 6.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 8.0 6.0 -59 -2.0 -8.8 25.0 36.4 0.0 0.91 35.5 37.5
JT Tan - 2 13.5 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.0 3.5 -16 -0.6 -3.5 50.0 0 40.0 -0.56 49.0 50.0
Shyheim Parm - 2 26.0 5.0 2.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 8.0 3.5 -125 -4.8 -29.4 18.8 0.0 44.4 0.16 25.1 18.8
Martin Zarzuela - 2 5.0 4.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 100.0 - 69.9 66.7
Ned Joyce - 2 21.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -62 -2.4 -10.6 50.0 75.0 0 1.23 75.0 75.0
Sam Hunter - 2 11.0 4.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.5 -25 -1.6 -15.3 66.7 100.0 0 -0.04 75.0 75.0
Camren Pierce - 2 14.5 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 2.5 17 1.0 6.2 57.1 100.0 0 0.31 64.3 64.3
Max Walters - 2 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -28 -1.1 -7.4 75.0 66.7 0 0.04 100.0 100.0
Isaiah Bernard-Lopez - 2 9.0 3.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.0 -30 -1.6 -14.3 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.17 55.4 40.0
Caleb Nelson - 2 14.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 1.0 -3 -0.1 -1.3 22.2 0.0 100.0 0.07 33.9 22.2
Eli Williams - 1 20.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 109 3.4 25.4 20.0 33.3 0 0.24 30.0 30.0
Jordan Carpenter - 2 17.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 6.5 -64 -3.6 -41.7 50.0 0 100.0 -0.2 61.5 50.0
Garrett Anderson - 1 22.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 -82 -2.7 -8.6 14.3 0.0 0 1.13 14.3 14.3
Kobe Parlin - 1 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 -14 -1.8 -861.5 25.0 0.0 0 -1.8 25.0 25.0
Cam Timmons - 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -13 -2.6 -116.9 0.0 0 50.0 -1.15 36.2 0.0
John Solomon - 2 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 -6 -0.3 -17.7 50.0 0 50.0 -0.74 52.1 50.0
Jayden Winfrey - 2 16.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 8.0 44 1.9 9.0 100.0 0 33.3 0.66 64.7 100.0
Jordan Rosales - 2 8.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.5 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Josh Adoh - 2 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 43 4.3 250.5 50.0 50.0 0 -0.96 75.0 75.0
Joshua Ramirez - 2 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -25 -3.1 -204.8 100.0 0 0 -1.14 100.0 100.0
Jaden Lazo - 2 25.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Chasen Stewart - 2 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 -2.0 - - - 14.3 0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Isaiah Brewington - 2 9.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.5 -47 -1.7 -16.5 20.0 0 0 -0.02 20.0 20.0
Jamari Harris - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6 0.2 3.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.06 0.0 0.0
Xavier Kamalu-Vargas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.5 -20.9 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
Noah Pepper - 1 13.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 42 5.2 291.3 0.0 0 0 -1.09 0.0 0.0
Levi Pepper - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Lin - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -34 -1.5 -22.3 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
Robin Kniss - 2 7.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Hugo Clarkin - 2 2.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 28 3.1 34.7 0.0 0 0 -0.31 0.0 0.0
Travis Hightower - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.3 -12.2 0 0 0 -1.34 0 0
Taylor Keating - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.9 26.2 0 0 0 -0.88 0 0
Court Franklin - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -1.4 -81.9 0 0 0 -0.91 0 0
Jaeden Hutchins - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.09 0.0 0.0
Varun Madabhushi - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shunxian Zhang - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Edric Dennis - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -1.1 -14.1 0 0 0 -0.48 0 0
Caleb Tinker - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.8 -36.8 0 0 0 -1.18 0 0
Fallou Cisse - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2 0.2 4.9 0 0 0 -0.66 0 0
Malachi Murrell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alijah Washington - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaiah Bronson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Derrick Claxton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 0.3 1.4 0 0 0 0.6 0 0
Sean Gaines - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG