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Cal St. East Bay

Also known as: Cal St. East Bay
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 957 (#262) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 939 (#254) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -2.5 (#230) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.173 (#501) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -15.1 More → 0.117 (#333) NetEff -15.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.9 More → 0.364 (#453) AdjNet -4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.7 More → 0.365 (#455) AdjNet -4.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.403 (#466) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Northwest Nazarene L 69 - 83
2024-11-09 @ Central Wash. L 57 - 92
2024-11-12 @ Western Wash. L 59 - 84
2024-11-19 vs Menlo W 72 - 60
2024-11-23 vs Fresno Pacific L 48 - 61
2024-11-30 @ San Fran. St. W 75 - 71
2024-12-05 @ Chico St. L 49 - 100
2024-12-07 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 61 - 63
2024-12-14 @ Nevada L 54 - 95
2024-12-17 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 62 - 49
2024-12-22 vs San Fran. St. L 77 - 80
2025-01-02 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 67 - 56
2025-01-04 vs Sonoma St. W 71 - 64
2025-01-09 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 70 - 53
2025-01-11 vs Stanislaus St. W 64 - 37
2025-01-16 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 53 - 100
2025-01-18 @ Cal State LA L 46 - 79
2025-01-23 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 58 - 81
2025-01-25 vs CSUSB L 56 - 73
2025-01-30 @ Stanislaus St. L 57 - 58
2025-02-01 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 64 - 61
2025-02-06 @ Sonoma St. L 43 - 63
2025-02-08 @ Cal St. San Marcos L 65 - 78
2025-02-13 vs Cal Poly Humboldt L 60 - 66
2025-02-15 vs Chico St. W 73 - 67
2025-02-20 @ CSUSB L 67 - 78
2025-02-22 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 51 - 87
2025-02-27 vs Cal State LA L 62 - 75
2025-03-01 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 56 - 94

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nyana Asiasi - 1 24.0 16.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 9.0 -33 -1.2 -1.5 60.0 57.1 0 -0.23 80.0 80.0
Ana Daniels - 1 38.0 16.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 15.0 -36 -1.4 -1.5 70.0 0 40.0 -0.23 65.6 70.0
Taylor Eldredge - 25 30.2 10.6 5.0 2.2 2.4 0.1 3.2 10.0 7.1 -72 -2.1 -2.2 38.6 21.6 76.6 -0.52 46.3 40.8
Ariyah Smith - 28 33.4 9.1 2.8 3.5 2.1 0.0 3.7 9.0 4.8 0 0.0 0.0 37.7 28.2 73.2 0.28 46.1 42.5
Alexsandra Alvarado - 1 36.0 9.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 -1.0 -50 -1.9 -1.8 11.1 20.0 100.0 -0.12 38.7 16.7
Geriah Bradley - 1 24.0 9.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 -102 -2.8 -3.1 60.0 0.0 50.0 -0.59 58.9 60.0
Joia Armstrong - 18 18.3 7.8 5.1 0.5 0.3 1.0 2.2 7.0 5.5 -55 -3.1 -5.3 42.1 14.3 70.8 -0.46 47.9 42.5
Gwendilyn Aasland - 23 17.4 7.3 7.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 2.0 6.7 8.0 -49 -1.8 -3.5 45.8 0 43.9 -0.34 46.4 45.8
Seilala Lautaimi - 1 20.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 -11 -0.4 -0.7 60.0 0 50.0 0.11 59.5 60.0
Lailah Carey - 26 25.9 6.8 3.0 2.2 1.0 0.1 3.4 6.7 3.0 -70 -1.9 -2.5 35.6 27.1 54.1 -0.04 42.8 39.4
Brooke Donnelly - 23 16.7 5.9 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.7 6.0 0.8 -62 -3.0 -4.2 30.2 26.1 87.5 -0.52 44.4 38.8
Krista Sheaffer - 25 20.1 5.8 4.8 0.6 0.8 0.4 1.8 5.2 5.4 -46 -1.4 -2.1 38.8 20.0 70.7 -0.15 47.2 40.7
Aloha Akaka - 4 15.2 5.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.8 4.5 -25 -1.9 -2.7 47.4 40.0 100.0 -0.04 54.0 52.6
Sierra Morris - 21 13.4 5.1 3.6 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.8 4.4 3.4 -51 -1.7 -3.4 46.2 42.9 46.2 -0.1 48.6 47.8
Aunika Hornung - 21 14.2 4.9 4.9 0.4 0.3 1.0 2.0 5.3 4.2 36 1.8 3.5 41.4 0.0 45.8 0.68 42.4 41.4
Kelsey Valencia - 28 21.2 4.2 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.2 2.5 5.4 1.6 -37 -1.3 -2.0 28.0 23.0 64.3 -0.09 38.1 36.7
Perséas Gioukaris - 1 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 -0.28 60.2 100.0
Jaden Roan - 1 16.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 6 0.3 0.6 50.0 0.0 0 0.17 50.0 50.0
Perséas Gioukaris - 1 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 -0.28 60.2 100.0
Sage Bridges-Bey - 1 18.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 -20 -1.2 -1.3 25.0 33.3 0 -0.41 37.5 37.5
Kali Myers - 1 33.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 -53 -2.1 -2.6 33.3 33.3 0 0.11 50.0 50.0
Kayla Rosemon - 11 7.6 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.8 0.8 -10 -1.1 -3.7 32.3 0 72.7 -0.15 39.1 32.3
Jasmine Kong - 16 5.1 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 1.0 -4 -0.4 -1.5 50.0 33.3 0.0 -0.09 50.6 55.0
Fernanda Alexandre - 23 5.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -0.0 -44 -1.9 -7.8 31.2 30.0 100.0 -0.56 42.6 40.6
Carleigh Adams - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -5 -0.8 -2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.26 0.0 0.0
Imani Felix - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -34 -1.8 -3.5 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG