🐻⬇️🏀

Cal St. Dom. Hills

Also known as: Cal St. Dom. Hills
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1093 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1115 (#64) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +14.5 (#37) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.761 (#177) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.5 More → 0.764 (#93) NetEff +10.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.8 More → 0.861 (#188) AdjNet +15.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.1 More → 0.867 (#182) AdjNet +16.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.744 (#189) AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 72.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Western Wash. L 89 - 91
2024-11-09 @ Simon Fraser W 80 - 74
2024-11-11 @ Seattle Pacific W 88 - 77
2024-11-16 vs Purdue Northwest L 86 - 96
2024-11-21 @ CUI L 59 - 72
2024-11-26 @ Fresno Pacific W 79 - 54
2024-11-30 @ Cal State LA W 83 - 70
2024-12-05 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 77 - 68
2024-12-07 vs Stanislaus St. W 67 - 57
2024-12-14 vs Nobel W 80 - 65
2024-12-21 vs Cal State LA W 75 - 67
2025-01-02 @ Cal Poly Pomona W 67 - 50
2025-01-04 @ CSUSB W 65 - 62
2025-01-09 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 80 - 62
2025-01-11 @ Sonoma St. W 85 - 81
2025-01-16 vs Cal St. East Bay W 80 - 73
2025-01-18 vs San Fran. St. W 79 - 75
2025-01-23 @ Chico St. W 79 - 58
2025-01-25 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 80 - 90
2025-01-30 vs Sonoma St. W 86 - 69
2025-02-01 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 79 - 66
2025-02-06 vs CSUSB W 84 - 82
2025-02-08 vs Cal Poly Pomona W 72 - 49
2025-02-13 @ Stanislaus St. W 73 - 70
2025-02-15 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 82 - 65
2025-02-20 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 70 - 65
2025-02-22 vs Chico St. L 79 - 86
2025-02-27 @ San Fran. St. W 62 - 45
2025-03-01 @ Cal St. East Bay W 84 - 75
2025-03-07 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 93 - 82
2025-03-08 vs Chico St. W 74 - 68
2025-03-14 vs Northwest Nazarene W 66 - 59
2025-03-15 vs Central Wash. W 77 - 65
2025-03-17 @ Point Loma W 61 - 58
2025-03-25 @ West Liberty W 86 - 84
2025-03-27 @ DBU W 94 - 83
2025-03-29 @ Nova Southeastern L 73 - 74

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Dent-Smith - 37 30.7 18.5 4.5 2.9 1.4 0.2 2.5 14.1 10.9 83 2.5 5.8 42.7 35.3 82.3 0.5 56.9 51.3
Adam Afifi - 37 23.9 12.8 6.6 1.0 0.8 1.1 2.0 9.9 10.4 123 3.8 10.6 48.1 32.3 74.2 1.27 56.4 52.2
David Cheatom - 37 23.8 11.7 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 1.4 7.8 8.2 118 3.2 12.4 49.8 36.2 81.7 1.89 61.0 53.5
Alex Garcia - 37 30.2 10.0 4.2 2.1 1.2 0.8 1.1 7.5 9.6 85 2.4 6.2 50.0 34.7 78.4 2.54 59.7 56.3
Jordan Hilstock - 35 28.3 8.3 4.9 1.6 1.7 0.2 0.9 6.4 9.3 165 5.2 11.7 37.3 34.8 75.3 2.93 55.8 51.3
DJ Guest - 37 23.0 6.8 4.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 1.6 5.8 6.2 -5 -0.1 -0.4 42.1 23.7 80.3 0.0 51.2 45.4
JT Tan - 37 11.4 5.0 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.0 3.7 4.2 -16 -0.6 -3.5 47.8 0.0 60.5 -0.56 52.3 47.8
Isaiah Bernard-Lopez - 35 5.8 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.9 -30 -1.6 -14.3 38.5 19.2 70.4 -0.17 48.1 42.3
Jayden Winfrey - 37 16.0 1.3 1.8 2.4 1.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 4.1 44 1.9 9.0 36.2 25.0 42.9 0.66 41.8 40.4
John Solomon - 37 2.3 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 -6 -0.3 -17.7 59.1 0.0 71.4 -0.74 61.8 59.1
Luke Lin - 34 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 -34 -1.5 -22.3 39.3 27.3 0.0 -0.24 43.3 44.6
Joshua Ramirez - 34 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 -25 -3.1 -204.8 33.3 16.7 33.3 -1.14 38.8 38.9
Tomi Adesiji - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Za-Ontay Boothman - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Demorian Lowe - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Promise Madubugwu - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG