Cal Poly
Season:
2026
Also known as: Cal Poly
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1132 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1037 (#227) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +41.2 (#43) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#41) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#31) | NetEff +56.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 1.000 (#9) | AdjNet +74.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 1.000 (#9) | AdjNet +73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.975 (#38) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 34.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.800 (#61) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 48.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.979 (#9) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.968 (#9) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1171 (#90) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 87 - 27 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Chapman | W | 59 - 31 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa McManus | - | 2 | 25.5 | 19.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 28.6 | 88.9 | - | 63.4 | 57.7 |
| Nora Perez | - | 2 | 27.1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 15.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -6.9 | 58.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.38 | 60.0 | 58.8 |
| Charish Thompson | - | 2 | 20.4 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 110 | 5.5 | 41.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 2.25 | 48.6 | 40.0 |
| Avery Knapp | - | 1 | 20.9 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -19.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.05 | 50.7 | 50.0 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | - | 2 | 31.6 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 36.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | - | 40.2 | 42.1 |
| Vivian Franklin | - | 1 | 12.5 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | - | 59.5 | 70.0 |
| Katie Peiffer | - | 1 | 14.8 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 31.8 | 31.8 |
| Gillian Bears | - | 2 | 20.4 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 41.6 | 38.5 |
| Alana Goosby | - | 1 | 28.4 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jordan Billing | - | 1 | 29.6 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 33.8 | 37.5 |
| Madison Butcher | - | 2 | 17.9 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG