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Cal Poly

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Cal Poly
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1210 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1239 (#9) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +18.7 (#24) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#62) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.894 (#186) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.7 More → 0.931 (#50) NetEff +19.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.7 More → 0.972 (#115) AdjNet +30.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.4 More → 0.937 (#169) AdjNet +23.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.3 More → 0.975 (#117) AdjNet +30.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.4 More → 0.941 (#170) AdjNet +23.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 48.9 More → 0.808 (#161) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 48.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.788 (#179) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 56.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 vs UC Merced W 72 - 40
2024-11-08 @ Azusa Pacific L 50 - 75
2024-11-09 @ Point Loma W 71 - 66
2024-11-14 @ Biola W 68 - 58
2024-11-16 @ Hope Int'l W 75 - 52
2024-11-23 @ CUI W 63 - 59
2024-11-30 @ CSUSB W 62 - 49
2024-12-05 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 77 - 64
2024-12-07 @ Sonoma St. W 57 - 50
2024-12-17 vs Mont. St. Billings W 72 - 69
2024-12-21 vs CSUSB W 60 - 50
2025-01-02 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 61 - 65
2025-01-04 vs Cal State LA W 63 - 53
2025-01-09 @ Chico St. W 90 - 84
2025-01-11 @ Cal Poly Humboldt W 66 - 61
2025-01-16 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 90 - 55
2025-01-18 vs Stanislaus St. W 78 - 41
2025-01-23 @ Cal St. East Bay W 81 - 58
2025-01-25 @ San Fran. St. W 71 - 36
2025-01-30 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 69 - 34
2025-02-01 vs Chico St. L 72 - 77
2025-02-06 @ Cal State LA W 59 - 58
2025-02-08 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 68 - 78
2025-02-13 vs Cal State LA L 64 - 78
2025-02-13 vs Sonoma St. W 60 - 55
2025-02-15 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 62 - 86
2025-02-15 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 62 - 55
2025-02-20 vs San Fran. St. W 71 - 49
2025-02-20 @ Sonoma St. L 56 - 73
2025-02-22 @ Cal St. San Marcos L 52 - 74
2025-02-22 vs Cal St. East Bay W 87 - 51
2025-02-27 @ Stanislaus St. W 72 - 61
2025-02-27 vs CSUSB L 59 - 78
2025-03-01 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 75 - 59
2025-03-07 vs Chico St. W 73 - 61
2025-03-08 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 54 - 77
2025-03-14 vs Chico St. L 52 - 57

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sydney Nelson - 31 32.1 16.7 4.9 1.3 1.9 0.4 2.4 11.3 11.5 166 4.4 4.4 57.0 0.0 72.2 0.13 61.2 57.0
Annika Shah - 1 23.0 14.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 44.4 0 - 70.0 70.0
Sha'nece Garrett - 5 33.2 13.8 4.0 1.8 0.4 0.2 1.6 10.8 7.8 -107 -5.6 -6.2 42.6 47.6 68.4 -0.48 55.3 51.9
Mary Carter - 1 19.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 153 6.1 7.3 75.0 50.0 0 1.48 81.2 81.2
Kalaya Buggs - 30 28.8 11.1 5.4 3.4 1.7 0.3 2.7 9.1 10.1 61 2.1 2.3 33.8 31.8 81.6 -0.14 49.8 40.1
Breanne Ha - 31 30.8 10.4 2.4 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.0 9.3 4.3 98 3.4 3.7 36.6 36.0 88.4 0.65 52.5 49.3
Sierra Lichtie - 1 20.0 10.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 12.0 - - - 41.7 0.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Gillian Bears - 1 15.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 57.1 0 66.7 - 60.1 57.1
Cookie Marques - 31 23.8 8.4 3.9 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.9 7.7 5.1 45 1.5 2.0 35.7 26.9 77.8 -0.0 47.7 41.6
Sydney Bourland - 1 20.0 8.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 - - - 44.4 0 0 - 44.4 44.4
Cheyanne Whitfield - 5 19.8 8.0 5.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 2.8 9.2 3.4 -123 -4.0 -6.4 39.1 0.0 100.0 -0.67 41.9 39.1
Jeanette Fine - 11 13.2 7.4 2.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.5 6.1 3.8 -15 -1.5 -1.9 40.3 33.3 74.1 0.08 51.3 45.5
Ella Doherty - 5 27.4 7.4 4.2 1.8 0.2 0.2 3.4 8.0 2.4 -123 -5.6 -5.1 35.0 0.0 50.0 -0.59 38.6 35.0
Ledjan Pahukoa - 5 17.8 7.0 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 3.2 4.8 1.0 -98 -2.9 -5.8 45.8 52.6 75.0 -0.89 67.9 66.7
Mydrea Moore - 31 23.0 6.6 6.0 0.9 0.7 1.0 2.0 6.6 6.5 121 3.0 4.1 44.2 20.0 55.6 0.13 46.0 44.7
Nora Perez - 1 17.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 0.14 75.0 75.0
Leah Sarabia - 5 22.8 5.8 4.2 1.4 2.4 0.4 4.2 7.2 2.8 -196 -5.4 -9.9 27.8 10.0 80.0 -1.14 35.9 29.2
Brielle Minor - 31 20.7 5.3 2.9 2.3 1.1 0.2 2.6 4.8 4.5 194 4.7 6.2 32.4 26.5 57.1 1.28 42.5 35.5
Gabby Robinson - 1 16.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 28.6 25.0 0 - 35.7 35.7
Jayden Mcneal - 1 33.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 -180 -4.9 -6.0 33.3 0 50.0 -0.64 36.3 33.3
Jordan Beaumont - 5 22.0 4.2 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 1.8 4.4 2.4 -92 -3.4 -4.3 31.8 41.2 0 -0.19 47.7 47.7
Ana Moleon Hidalgo - 1 13.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 41.0 25.0
A'ajah Slocum - 1 27.0 4.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 -178 -5.1 -6.0 66.7 0 0 -0.41 66.7 66.7
Khamiyah Anderson - 31 11.4 2.7 4.9 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.0 110 2.8 7.7 47.4 0 52.6 0.95 48.6 47.4
Alexis Woodson - 31 9.3 2.5 2.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.1 2.5 68 1.7 4.9 48.5 40.0 57.1 0.41 51.8 50.0
Avery Knapp - 1 7.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 29.1 33.3
Briajanae Wade - 5 8.6 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 0.4 -49 -2.0 -5.8 27.3 20.0 100.0 -0.3 37.9 31.8
Hunter Hudson - 31 8.9 1.7 3.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.0 112 3.1 6.7 36.7 0 50.0 0.64 39.0 36.7
Aaliyah Wright - 31 4.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.5 -0.1 19 0.9 4.0 22.9 18.8 58.3 -0.17 30.0 26.0
Sidney Richards - 1 19.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alana Goosby - 1 24.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Carmela Fontes - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sadie Cohen - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Andrea Stajic - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 1.3 0 0
Keke Scott - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10 1.0 5.7 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
Skylar Dillon - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brianna Bouton - 4 6.5 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 -51 -1.8 -4.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.51 0.0 0.0
Janelle Pena - 2 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 -76 -2.5 -6.1 0.0 0 0 -0.79 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG