Cal Poly
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1210 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1239 (#9) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.7 (#24) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#62) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.894 (#186) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.931 (#50) | NetEff +19.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.972 (#115) | AdjNet +30.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.937 (#169) | AdjNet +23.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.975 (#117) | AdjNet +30.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.941 (#170) | AdjNet +23.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.808 (#161) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 48.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.788 (#179) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 56.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-06 | vs | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Azusa Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Point Loma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Hope Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | CSUSB | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Sonoma St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | CSUSB | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Cal State LA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Stanislaus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | San Fran. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Cal State LA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Cal State LA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Sonoma St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | San Fran. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Sonoma St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Stanislaus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | CSUSB | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-14 | vs | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Nelson | - | 31 | 32.1 | 16.7 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 11.5 | 166 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 72.2 | 0.13 | 61.2 | 57.0 |
| Sha'nece Garrett | - | 5 | 33.2 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 10.8 | 7.8 | -107 | -5.6 | -6.2 | 42.6 | 47.6 | 68.4 | -0.48 | 55.3 | 51.9 |
| Kalaya Buggs | - | 30 | 28.8 | 11.1 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 10.1 | 61 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 33.8 | 31.8 | 81.6 | -0.14 | 49.8 | 40.1 |
| Breanne Ha | - | 31 | 30.8 | 10.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 98 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 36.6 | 36.0 | 88.4 | 0.65 | 52.5 | 49.3 |
| Cookie Marques | - | 31 | 23.8 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 45 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 35.7 | 26.9 | 77.8 | -0.0 | 47.7 | 41.6 |
| Cheyanne Whitfield | - | 5 | 19.8 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 9.2 | 3.4 | -123 | -4.0 | -6.4 | 39.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.67 | 41.9 | 39.1 |
| Jeanette Fine | - | 11 | 13.2 | 7.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 3.8 | -15 | -1.5 | -1.9 | 40.3 | 33.3 | 74.1 | 0.08 | 51.3 | 45.5 |
| Ella Doherty | - | 5 | 27.4 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 8.0 | 2.4 | -123 | -5.6 | -5.1 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.59 | 38.6 | 35.0 |
| Ledjan Pahukoa | - | 5 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 | -98 | -2.9 | -5.8 | 45.8 | 52.6 | 75.0 | -0.89 | 67.9 | 66.7 |
| Mydrea Moore | - | 31 | 23.0 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 121 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 44.2 | 20.0 | 55.6 | 0.13 | 46.0 | 44.7 |
| Leah Sarabia | - | 5 | 22.8 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 7.2 | 2.8 | -196 | -5.4 | -9.9 | 27.8 | 10.0 | 80.0 | -1.14 | 35.9 | 29.2 |
| Brielle Minor | - | 31 | 20.7 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 194 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 32.4 | 26.5 | 57.1 | 1.28 | 42.5 | 35.5 |
| Jayden Mcneal | - | 1 | 33.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -180 | -4.9 | -6.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.64 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Jordan Beaumont | - | 5 | 22.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 2.4 | -92 | -3.4 | -4.3 | 31.8 | 41.2 | 0 | -0.19 | 47.7 | 47.7 |
| A'ajah Slocum | - | 1 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -178 | -5.1 | -6.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Khamiyah Anderson | - | 31 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 110 | 2.8 | 7.7 | 47.4 | 0 | 52.6 | 0.95 | 48.6 | 47.4 |
| Alexis Woodson | - | 31 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 68 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 48.5 | 40.0 | 57.1 | 0.41 | 51.8 | 50.0 |
| Briajanae Wade | - | 5 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | -49 | -2.0 | -5.8 | 27.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.3 | 37.9 | 31.8 |
| Hunter Hudson | - | 31 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 112 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 36.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.64 | 39.0 | 36.7 |
| Aaliyah Wright | - | 31 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | -0.1 | 19 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 22.9 | 18.8 | 58.3 | -0.17 | 30.0 | 26.0 |
| Andrea Stajic | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Keke Scott | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Skylar Dillon | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brianna Bouton | - | 4 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -51 | -1.8 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Janelle Pena | - | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -76 | -2.5 | -6.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG