Cal Poly - 2021 | Sports Data

2021 Team Stats (5 games)

64.6

PPG

71.8

Opp

-7.2

Margin

42.2%

FG%

38.1%

3P%

74.2%

FT%

29.4

RPG

14.4

APG

11.8

TO

73.0

Pace

Model Outputs

2020-2021

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1018 (#274)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	951 (#538)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More →	+15.1 (#321)	HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.186 (#82)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.6 More →	0.656 (#40)	AdjNet +5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.6 More →	0.657 (#40)	AdjNet +5.6

2021 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2020-12-27	@	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors	-	Preview
2021-01-01	vs	UC San Diego Tritons	-	Preview
2021-02-05	@	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors	L	68 - 84
2021-02-19	@	Long Beach State Beach	L	60 - 64
2021-03-05	@	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	L	57 - 71
2021-03-09	@	Cal State Fullerton Titans	W	87 - 82
2021-03-11	@	UC Irvine Anteaters	L	51 - 58

2021 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
A. Koroma	-	5	23.8	16.0	5.4	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.6	11.8	11.0	-	-	-	49.2	50.0	73.7	-	59.4	55.9
C. Rogers	G	5	31.2	14.8	3.2	2.8	0.4	0.0	3.0	12.8	5.4	-	-	-	39.1	44.0	92.9	-0.0	52.7	47.7
M. Crowe	G	5	31.0	6.8	2.6	1.2	1.6	0.2	0.4	5.8	6.2	-	-	-	37.9	39.3	50.0	-	56.9	56.9
K. Smith	G	5	28.4	6.4	2.8	4.6	1.6	0.0	2.0	6.6	6.8	-14	-1.8	-7.4	36.4	36.4	66.7	-0.2	44.9	42.4
Brantly Stevenson	G	4	23.8	6.2	4.8	2.2	1.0	0.2	1.0	4.8	8.8	-	-	-	42.1	25.0	87.5	-	55.5	47.4
T. Jaakkola	-	5	14.2	5.6	2.4	0.2	0.2	1.0	1.4	4.8	3.2	-	-	-	54.2	0	40.0	-	53.4	54.2
R. Till	F	5	21.4	3.8	2.8	0.8	0.4	0.2	1.2	2.2	4.6	-	-	-	63.6	0	71.4	-	67.5	63.6
C. Pierce	-	3	13.3	3.3	2.3	2.0	1.0	0.0	0.3	2.7	5.7	-	-	-	50.0	66.7	0	-	62.5	62.5
Kobe Sanders	-	4	14.0	3.0	0.8	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.8	3.2	1.8	40	4.4	9.5	30.8	28.6	66.7	0.58	41.9	38.5
Dyson Koehler	-	3	10.0	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.7	2.7	0.3	-	-	-	25.0	0.0	50.0	-	28.2	25.0
A. Prukop	-	4	7.2	1.0	1.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.2	2.2	-1.2	-	-	-	22.2	0.0	0	-	22.2	22.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG