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Cal Poly

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Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History
Coach: Kevin Bromley

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1153 (#289) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +19.2 (#295) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.417 (#67) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.311 (#86) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.311 (#86) AdjNet -6.9

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-11-21 @ California W 63 - 62
2003-11-26 vs Colorado L 62 - 73
2003-11-29 vs San Jose State W 70 - 62
2003-12-03 @ Loyola Marymount L 67 - 68
2003-12-06 vs Sacramento State W 76 - 60
2003-12-18 @ San Diego State L 71 - 90
2003-12-22 @ Southern California W 93 - 78
2004-01-03 @ UC Irvine L 69 - 74
2004-01-05 @ Long Beach State L 72 - 86
2004-01-08 vs Idaho W 87 - 63
2004-01-10 vs Utah State L 63 - 69
2004-01-17 vs UC Santa Barbara L 59 - 78
2004-01-22 @ Pacific L 64 - 88
2004-01-24 @ Cal State Northridge L 71 - 80
2004-01-29 vs Cal State Fullerton W 80 - 71
2004-01-31 vs UC Riverside W 84 - 70
2004-02-05 @ Utah State L 43 - 57
2004-02-07 @ Idaho L 44 - 60
2004-02-14 @ UC Santa Barbara L 57 - 73
2004-02-19 vs Cal State Northridge L 70 - 81
2004-02-21 vs Pacific L 64 - 76
2004-02-26 @ UC Riverside W 97 - 95
2004-02-28 @ Cal State Fullerton L 83 - 90
2004-03-04 vs Long Beach State W 79 - 66
2004-03-06 vs UC Irvine W 70 - 62
2004-03-10 N UC Riverside L 63 - 72

2004 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Varnie Dennis F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Shane Schilling F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kameron Gray G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Nick Enzweiler F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Eric Jackson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mike Titchenal F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Vladimir Lisinac C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
John Manley F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tyler McGinn F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Fernando Sampson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Glenn Jones G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Robert Socci G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Joe Henry F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Keith Lawrence G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG