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Cal Poly Pomona

Also known as: Cal Poly Pomona
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1335 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1293 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1134 (#47) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +20.1 (#47) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +2.0 (#330) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.894 (#186) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.6 More → 0.957 (#101) NetEff +21.6
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -35.3 More → 0.008 (#454) NetEff -35.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.4 More → 0.937 (#169) AdjNet +23.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.4 More → 0.941 (#170) AdjNet +23.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.788 (#179) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 56.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 57.5 More → 0.602 (#169) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 57.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.648 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.658 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 84 | GP 39 More → 1186 (#54) RD 84 | GP 39

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UC Santa Barbara - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 @ Pomona-Pitzer - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Menlo - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Point Loma - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Jessup - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Azusa Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Southern Ore. - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Biola - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ CUI - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ San Francisco - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Cal State LA - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 vs Cal Maritime - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 @ San Jose St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Central Wash. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 @ UC Merced - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs Chico St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 @ Stanislaus St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 vs Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Stanislaus St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ San Fran. St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 @ UC Merced - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ CSUSB - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs CSUSB - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ CSUSB - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Cal State LA - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Chico St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs San Fran. St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sydney Nelson - 18 29.1 18.8 4.8 1.1 2.1 0.7 2.5 14.3 10.6 93 5.2 19.8 51.9 50.0 68.3 -4.24 55.9 52.1
Jennifer Moreno Ortiz - 13 27.8 12.1 5.1 1.8 1.6 0.2 2.1 9.6 9.1 -36 -1.8 -6.5 44.8 46.7 81.0 -2.65 58.5 56.0
Jeanette Fine - 9 19.1 10.1 3.1 1.3 2.2 0.4 3.8 9.3 4.1 12 1.5 12.3 44.0 34.8 56.2 0.01 50.0 48.8
Riley Walls - 13 27.9 9.5 5.4 1.1 1.2 0.2 2.4 8.2 6.7 -3 -0.2 -0.9 45.3 29.6 57.6 -0.02 51.0 49.1
Andrea Stajic - 20 33.5 8.7 4.2 1.6 1.5 0.4 1.9 9.2 5.3 267 12.7 53.4 37.7 25.8 70.6 5.77 45.7 44.3
Leah Sarabia - 10 25.2 8.2 4.6 1.4 1.6 0.4 4.2 8.5 3.5 -46 -2.7 -10.0 37.6 30.8 58.8 -2.13 44.3 42.4
Brielle Minor - 21 30.5 7.9 4.0 4.5 1.1 0.1 3.1 6.2 8.3 229 10.4 54.0 34.4 35.2 65.9 2.68 49.0 41.6
Malaysia Lucero - 13 18.6 6.8 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.8 6.6 5.1 10 0.5 2.8 37.2 0 80.0 0.53 44.4 37.2
Mydrea Moore - 21 23.8 6.5 6.3 1.0 0.8 1.5 2.1 6.8 7.3 195 8.9 52.6 37.8 0.0 74.4 2.63 42.8 37.8
Kadence Lloyd - 21 18.6 6.3 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.4 4.8 3.8 88 4.0 36.8 37.0 34.1 77.6 -0.11 53.0 44.0
Hunter Hudson - 21 18.8 6.3 7.2 0.6 1.2 0.4 1.1 5.5 9.1 162 7.4 51.5 47.4 0.0 69.7 2.89 51.0 47.4
A'ajah Slocum - 13 33.4 5.9 5.9 3.7 2.4 0.2 3.5 6.5 8.1 9 0.5 1.4 30.6 16.7 76.7 1.98 39.2 31.8
Madison Eade - 21 12.9 5.3 2.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.0 4.4 3.2 63 3.1 48.3 48.9 10.0 77.8 0.19 53.9 49.5
Aliyah Young - 13 16.2 4.8 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 5.8 0.8 -17 -0.8 -7.6 26.7 28.0 80.0 -0.98 39.0 36.0
Jayden McNeal - 8 13.6 4.8 2.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 4.5 1.8 9 0.8 8.8 44.4 0.0 85.7 0.54 48.6 44.4
Cheyanne Whitfield - 6 11.2 4.7 3.0 0.7 1.3 0.2 1.3 4.7 3.8 -14 -1.4 -5.3 35.7 0.0 57.1 -1.2 41.0 35.7
Alexis Woodson - 21 14.4 4.4 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.7 3.9 5.1 84 3.8 35.5 46.3 20.0 68.2 2.05 50.2 47.0
Janelle Pena - 13 13.1 4.2 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.5 -72 -3.6 -29.5 47.9 0.0 56.2 -4.21 50.0 47.9
Ledjan Pahukoa - 10 9.0 2.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.0 2.2 0.9 -25 -1.5 -19.5 45.5 44.4 0 0.32 63.6 63.6
Brianna Bouton - 11 14.5 2.5 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.7 2.7 2.6 -29 -1.8 -17.6 36.7 23.1 50.0 -0.23 42.5 41.7
Jolleen Olia - 14 7.9 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 0.5 35 2.5 23.8 30.0 10.0 85.7 -1.32 37.8 31.7
Demi Thompson Lopez - 12 6.0 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.1 -22 -1.3 -24.4 33.3 28.6 75.0 -0.09 41.7 38.1
Khamiyah Anderson - 20 6.7 1.3 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.8 9 0.5 17.5 28.9 0.0 40.0 -0.51 30.7 28.9
Keke Scott - 14 6.1 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.5 -9 -0.6 -242.7 33.3 0.0 75.0 -3.61 43.2 33.3
Jolie Johnson - 7 6.0 1.1 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.1 -32 -3.2 -182.9 44.4 0 0 -2.79 44.4 44.4
Sasha Capers - 9 5.9 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.1 -9 -0.8 -13.3 50.0 0 50.0 0.96 51.2 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG