Cal Poly Mustangs
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 799 (#629) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 967 (#285) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.0 (#265) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.432 (#220) | - |
2006 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-11-18 | vs | Cal State LA Golden Eagles | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2005-11-21 | @ | Mercer Bears | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2005-11-25 | vs | James Madison Dukes | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2005-11-26 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2005-11-29 | @ | San Francisco Dons | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2005-12-03 | vs | Portland State Vikings | W | 92 - 84 |
| 2005-12-17 | vs | New Mexico State Aggies | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2005-12-19 | vs | Portland Pilots | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2005-12-21 | @ | Loyola Marymount Lions | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2005-12-29 | @ | UC Riverside Highlanders | W | 87 - 53 |
| 2006-01-02 | vs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2006-01-07 | @ | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 99 - 72 |
| 2006-01-09 | @ | Long Beach State Beach | L | 58 - 78 |
| 2006-01-13 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2006-01-21 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2006-01-26 | @ | Pacific Tigers | L | 53 - 87 |
| 2006-01-28 | @ | Cal State Northridge Matadors | W | 83 - 53 |
| 2006-02-04 | vs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2006-02-09 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2006-02-12 | vs | UC Riverside Highlanders | L | 47 - 48 |
| 2006-02-16 | vs | Long Beach State Beach | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2006-02-18 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2006-02-25 | @ | Cal State Fullerton Titans | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2006-03-02 | vs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2006-03-04 | vs | Pacific Tigers | W | 83 - 45 |
| 2006-03-08 | vs | Pacific Tigers | W | 94 - 67 |
| 2006-03-09 | @ | UC Riverside Highlanders | L | 63 - 73 |
2006 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G. Stephenson
|
- | 2 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 0 | 86.4 | - | 61.2 | 35.7 |
D. Whiten
|
- | 2 | 33.0 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 11.5 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 36.4 | 41.7 | - | 51.3 | 52.2 |
T. Penicheiro
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 58.7 | 50.0 |
Y. Griffith
|
- | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.9 | 50.0 |
K. Lawson
|
- | 1 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | - | 70.9 | 66.7 |
N. Gibbs
|
NA | 2 | 33.5 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 28.6 | 54.5 | - | 55.4 | 53.3 |
P. Pierce
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
T. Clark
|
- | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 46.5 | 44.4 |
C. Thomas
|
- | 2 | 27.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 50.4 | 46.9 |
E. Buescher
|
- | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 84.0 | 66.7 |
John Bryant
|
- | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 59.5 | 60.0 |
R. Brunson
|
- | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 39.4 | 37.5 |
K. Haynie
|
- | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.9 | 50.0 |
A. Hoover
|
G | 2 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 54.2 | 54.2 |
C. Leavitt
|
- | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 87.2 | 83.3 |
T. Shelton
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 45.2 | 25.0 |
N. Powell
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
T. Busch
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
A. Lovett
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 54.3 | 100.0 |
Larry McSwain
|
- | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
J. Henry
|
- | 2 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
B. Wilkins
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
C. Osborn
|
- | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG