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Cal Poly Mustangs

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 799 (#629) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 967 (#285) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +13.0 (#265) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.432 (#220) -

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 vs Cal State LA Golden Eagles W 86 - 78
2005-11-21 @ Mercer Bears W 74 - 66
2005-11-25 vs James Madison Dukes L 63 - 74
2005-11-26 @ LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 72 - 68
2005-11-29 @ San Francisco Dons L 66 - 69
2005-12-03 vs Portland State Vikings W 92 - 84
2005-12-17 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 63 - 65
2005-12-19 vs Portland Pilots W 81 - 68
2005-12-21 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 57 - 63
2005-12-29 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 87 - 53
2006-01-02 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 81 - 74
2006-01-07 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 99 - 72
2006-01-09 @ Long Beach State Beach L 58 - 78
2006-01-13 vs UC Davis Aggies L 59 - 73
2006-01-21 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 82 - 71
2006-01-26 @ Pacific Tigers L 53 - 87
2006-01-28 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 83 - 53
2006-02-04 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 71 - 80
2006-02-09 @ UC Davis Aggies L 63 - 70
2006-02-12 vs UC Riverside Highlanders L 47 - 48
2006-02-16 vs Long Beach State Beach L 59 - 74
2006-02-18 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 69 - 83
2006-02-25 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 67 - 76
2006-03-02 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 80 - 67
2006-03-04 vs Pacific Tigers W 83 - 45
2006-03-08 vs Pacific Tigers W 94 - 67
2006-03-09 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 63 - 73

2006 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Stephenson G. Stephenson - 2 28.5 14.5 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.0 13.5 - - - 35.7 0 86.4 - 61.2 35.7
D. Whiten D. Whiten - 2 33.0 14.5 5.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 2.5 11.5 9.0 - - - 43.5 36.4 41.7 - 51.3 52.2
T. Penicheiro T. Penicheiro - 1 25.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 71.4 - 58.7 50.0
Y. Griffith Y. Griffith - 1 22.0 11.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.9 50.0
K. Lawson K. Lawson - 1 23.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 75.0 - 70.9 66.7
N. Gibbs N. Gibbs NA 2 33.5 11.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 7.5 12.5 - - - 46.7 28.6 54.5 - 55.4 53.3
P. Pierce P. Pierce - 1 8.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 80.0 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
T. Clark T. Clark - 1 27.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 -2.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 50.0 - 46.5 44.4
C. Thomas C. Thomas - 2 27.0 8.5 4.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 8.0 8.5 - - - 43.8 16.7 100.0 - 50.4 46.9
E. Buescher E. Buescher - 1 20.0 8.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 84.0 66.7
John Bryant John Bryant - 1 13.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
R. Brunson R. Brunson - 1 27.0 7.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 - - - 37.5 0 50.0 - 39.4 37.5
K. Haynie K. Haynie - 1 15.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 50.9 50.0
A. Hoover A. Hoover G 2 21.5 6.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 6.0 1.0 - - - 41.7 42.9 0 - 54.2 54.2
C. Leavitt C. Leavitt - 1 13.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 100.0 - 87.2 83.3
T. Shelton T. Shelton - 1 19.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 25.0 0 66.7 - 45.2 25.0
N. Powell N. Powell - 1 25.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
T. Busch T. Busch - 1 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
A. Lovett A. Lovett G 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 25.0 - 54.3 100.0
Larry McSwain Larry McSwain - 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
J. Henry J. Henry - 2 6.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
B. Wilkins B. Wilkins - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
C. Osborn C. Osborn - 1 20.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG