Cal Poly Humboldt
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1165 (#21) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1188 (#25) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.6 (#165) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.404 (#398) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.473 (#229) | NetEff -0.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.555 (#381) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.562 (#381) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.526 (#383) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 62.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyori Lloyd | - | 28 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 7.4 | -21 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 46.0 | 33.0 | 72.5 | -0.29 | 55.5 | 52.2 |
| Kaiija Lesane | - | 28 | 25.8 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 7.9 | 6.4 | -37 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 39.8 | 24.4 | 72.3 | -0.08 | 48.0 | 42.3 |
| Riley Sanz | - | 23 | 25.3 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 5.4 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 38.6 | 29.3 | 69.7 | -0.24 | 50.3 | 44.5 |
| Dylan Lovett | - | 28 | 30.0 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 3.7 | -66 | -2.6 | -2.9 | 30.2 | 26.5 | 70.0 | -0.14 | 39.8 | 35.1 |
| Dailani Richardson | - | 28 | 25.8 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 8.5 | 2.4 | -65 | -2.3 | -2.8 | 28.6 | 22.8 | 64.9 | -0.4 | 37.3 | 33.4 |
| Marley Johnson | - | 28 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 3.2 | -43 | -1.6 | -2.7 | 41.5 | 40.8 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 60.0 | 60.4 |
| Kendall Pickford | - | 25 | 21.0 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.5 | 2.6 | -28 | -1.2 | -1.8 | 31.2 | 27.1 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 43.0 | 42.8 |
| Jadis Watson | - | 21 | 20.0 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 5.8 | -33 | -1.6 | -2.6 | 46.3 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.22 | 50.4 | 46.3 |
| Andjela Pavicevic | - | 28 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 4.1 | -18 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 33.9 | 16.7 | 45.5 | -0.01 | 37.5 | 36.4 |
| Shira Hagag | - | 28 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 29.8 | 20.0 |
| Moriah Burley | - | 15 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| Kyra Stewart | - | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyla Miller | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG