Cal Poly Humboldt
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1148 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1093 (#113) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1054 (#128) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.7 (#103) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.0 (#351) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.404 (#398) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.810 (#177) | NetEff +10.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.555 (#381) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.562 (#381) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.526 (#383) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.558 (#231) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.589 (#275) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.587 (#272) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1077 (#165) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Central Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Jessup | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Stanislaus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Western Ore. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Saint Martin's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | CSUSB | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Cal State LA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Stanislaus St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Smith | - | 20 | 31.6 | 13.3 | 10.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 11.6 | 15.2 | 74 | 3.4 | 12.9 | 50.9 | 0.0 | 53.4 | 2.15 | 51.8 | 50.9 |
| Shade Satica | - | 20 | 31.6 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 10.5 | 10.3 | 125 | 5.7 | 22.9 | 40.0 | 31.5 | 66.7 | 2.63 | 47.6 | 45.5 |
| Kyori Lloyd | - | 17 | 21.8 | 10.4 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 29 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 42.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -1.13 | 53.4 | 48.2 |
| Sienna Cherwinski | - | 20 | 33.3 | 9.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 95 | 4.3 | 14.9 | 38.6 | 35.7 | 74.3 | -2.09 | 51.5 | 48.6 |
| Jada Barnes | - | 20 | 19.8 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 50 | 2.3 | 17.6 | 43.7 | 29.5 | 62.5 | -1.58 | 52.4 | 48.8 |
| Riley Sanz | - | 20 | 24.8 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 101 | 4.6 | 23.1 | 40.3 | 36.0 | 77.1 | 0.79 | 52.0 | 47.6 |
| Kya Kanoho | - | 20 | 22.2 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 96 | 4.4 | 20.0 | 29.2 | 23.1 | 85.7 | 1.41 | 38.6 | 34.7 |
| Leamsi Acuna | - | 18 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 48 | 2.4 | 35.7 | 32.4 | 32.8 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 48.0 | 46.3 |
| Keana Gosney | - | 18 | 9.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 60 | 3.0 | 24.2 | 26.7 | 15.4 | 65.0 | 1.1 | 36.2 | 28.9 |
| Kyra Stewart | - | 7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 6 | 0.9 | 30.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Shayla Kantarevic | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -13 | -3.2 | -190.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaden Hill-Massarotti | - | 2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG