Cairn
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 884 (#425) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 789 (#454) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -48.3 (#426) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.199 (#583) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.014 (#409) | NetEff -28.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#723) | AdjNet -60.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.001 (#724) | AdjNet -63.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.035 (#718) | AdjO 45.5 | AdjD 82.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Trinity Washington | W | 48 - 34 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | L | 51 - 74 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | L | 47 - 70 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | L | 33 - 63 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Marywood | L | 52 - 77 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Bryn Mawr | L | 41 - 72 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Valley Forge | L | 48 - 53 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Bryn Athyn | L | 41 - 58 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 37 - 73 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Cedar Crest | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 46 - 75 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Lancaster Bible | L | 43 - 64 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Gallaudet | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Wilson | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Valley Forge | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 57 - 73 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Bryn Athyn | L | 41 - 65 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | L | 51 - 94 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 42 - 63 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Gallaudet | L | 46 - 93 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Cedar Crest | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Wilson | L | 54 - 71 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailee Sobrino | - | 22 | 39.3 | 17.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 6.6 | 20.1 | -0.9 | -181 | -6.2 | -5.2 | 31.6 | 26.3 | 71.0 | -0.69 | 40.7 | 37.9 |
| Dezaray Bright | - | 22 | 34.5 | 12.1 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 12.1 | 8.3 | -116 | -4.3 | -4.0 | 41.9 | 0.0 | 79.6 | -0.27 | 45.9 | 41.9 |
| Emily Brittin | - | 18 | 33.7 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 8.8 | 7.4 | -138 | -5.5 | -5.2 | 29.7 | 13.0 | 71.8 | -0.25 | 40.4 | 30.7 |
| Ella Quince | - | 7 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 6.0 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 32.6 | 28.6 |
| Laryssa Robinson | - | 17 | 25.8 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | -100 | -5.6 | -6.7 | 24.3 | 18.2 | 50.0 | -0.43 | 30.0 | 28.0 |
| Tatiana Ipri | - | 22 | 33.3 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 6.2 | 2.5 | -167 | -6.2 | -6.5 | 21.2 | 18.9 | 73.7 | -1.06 | 27.2 | 23.7 |
| Audrey Elisondo | - | 17 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -105 | -7.0 | -12.9 | 22.2 | 15.4 | 40.0 | -0.29 | 27.3 | 25.4 |
| Abi Whitmore | - | 22 | 23.5 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -64 | -3.0 | -4.1 | 28.2 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.27 | 31.7 | 29.5 |
| Payton Cline | - | 9 | 12.3 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -52 | -6.5 | -15.1 | 18.8 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.67 | 28.2 | 18.8 |
| Emma Dekker | - | 7 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Madison Searls | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG