Cairn
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 884 (#425) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 647 (#594) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 747 (#713) | - |
| Margin | -48.6 (#422) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | -41.9 (#702) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.199 (#583) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.001 (#723) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 130.4 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.001 (#724) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 133.5 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.035 (#718) | AdjO 45.5 | AdjD 82.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.070 (#710) | AdjO 45.3 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.023 (#709) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.025 (#710) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.030 (#670) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 566 (#574) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Lehman | L | 52 - 79 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Purchase | L | 44 - 77 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Penn St.-Hazleton | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 67 - 45 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Bryn Mawr | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Cedar Crest | L | 20 - 72 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Keystone | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Wilson | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Valley Forge | W | 77 - 41 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 40 - 73 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 26 - 83 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cedar Crest | L | 40 - 73 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Gallaudet | L | 48 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Penn College | L | 49 - 71 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.