Cairn
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1104 (#52) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1116 (#77) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.4 (#304) | HCA +2.5 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Anderson | - | 2 | 32.0 | 35.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 7 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 54.5 | 57.1 | 91.7 | 0.54 | 72.0 | 68.2 |
| Aytor Alberto | - | 24 | 30.5 | 20.8 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 15.9 | 10.8 | - | - | - | 42.5 | 34.7 | 78.6 | -1.05 | 55.3 | 49.1 |
| Derian Bradford | - | 24 | 34.1 | 18.8 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 16.6 | 13.6 | - | - | - | 46.6 | 27.8 | 60.7 | - | 50.2 | 47.9 |
| Josh Mingledolph | - | 1 | 30.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 29 | 5.8 | 41.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Owen Bradford | - | 25 | 28.7 | 10.6 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 3 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 58.5 | 0.0 | 70.8 | -1.05 | 61.4 | 58.5 |
| DaShaun Johnson | - | 2 | 26.5 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 41.2 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.65 | 51.2 | 44.1 |
| Jon Desir | - | 23 | 18.1 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 6.8 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 36.0 | 52.9 | -1.05 | 55.4 | 55.1 |
| Andre Ballard | - | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 9 | 9.0 | 38.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.38 | 35.4 | 33.3 |
| Kai Davis | - | 1 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.84 | 55.4 | 40.0 |
| Christian Rivera | - | 24 | 32.5 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 8.8 | - | - | - | 43.1 | 44.4 | 64.0 | - | 51.1 | 46.8 |
| Josh Forker | - | 24 | 25.3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 3 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 38.7 | 32.1 | 55.0 | -1.05 | 49.7 | 48.8 |
| Matthew Gingerich | - | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Tyler Fox | - | 2 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | -12 | -3.0 | -18.4 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.03 | 50.7 | 50.0 |
| Jaedon Mast | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 22 | 2.8 | 31.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Moses Ilodigwe | - | 24 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 1.5 | 45.0 | 43.7 | 46.0 | 0.0 | -1.05 | 63.7 | 64.1 |
| Jake Zawacki | - | 24 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 42.5 | 41.4 | 100.0 | - | 58.7 | 57.5 |
| Redio Risell | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -5 | -1.2 | -23.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Tyair Sanders | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -11 | -2.2 | -22.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Carson Starns | - | 25 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 18.4 | 50.0 | - | 27.5 | 27.0 |
| Chris Eelman | - | 23 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 48.8 | 47.2 |
| Kevin Harris | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Mujahid Moore | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10 | 5.0 | 311.7 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.45 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Liam Carey | - | 25 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 23.1 | 0 | - | 34.6 | 34.6 |
| Derrick Dolan | - | 24 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 18.8 | 18.2 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Nick Rivera | - | 24 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Nathan Bengtson | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Donne Midamba | - | 25 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Sam Stefano | - | 24 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Luke Cughan | - | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ezra Davis | - | 23 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -26.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tristan Hatcher | - | 24 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James Patterson | - | 24 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Devin Barnes | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -8 | -2.7 | -240.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Odom | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ismael Baqai | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG