🐻⬇️🏀

Cairn

Also known as: Cairn
Program History

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1104 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1116 (#77) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → -12.4 (#304) HCA +2.5

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-09 @ Penn St.-Brandywine W 76 - 66
2023-11-11 @ UMES L 65 - 83
2023-11-16 @ Penn St.-Berks W 104 - 80
2023-11-20 vs Manor L 74 - 77
2023-11-27 @ St. Joseph's (Brkln) W 113 - 108
2023-11-29 vs Valley Forge W 91 - 78
2023-12-02 @ Clarks Summit W 77 - 58
2023-12-04 vs Penn St.-Lehigh Val. W 107 - 88
2023-12-06 @ Bryn Athyn L 67 - 72
2023-12-09 @ Lehigh L 33 - 88
2023-12-11 vs Gwynedd Mercy L 82 - 91
2023-12-16 @ Lancaster Bible W 75 - 69
2024-01-03 @ Keystone L 84 - 90
2024-01-06 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 93 - 75
2024-01-11 vs Rosemont W 80 - 58
2024-01-13 vs Saint Elizabeth W 90 - 75
2024-01-18 @ Notre Dame (MD) L 69 - 80
2024-01-20 @ Valley Forge L 79 - 81
2024-01-23 @ Pratt W 86 - 61
2024-01-25 @ Saint Elizabeth L 58 - 76
2024-01-29 @ Penn St.-Abington L 78 - 83
2024-01-31 vs Clarks Summit W 80 - 69
2024-02-03 @ Rosemont W 71 - 68
2024-02-05 @ Wilson L 56 - 71
2024-02-07 vs Keystone L 102 - 109
2024-02-10 vs Wilson L 74 - 80
2024-02-13 vs Bryn Athyn W 80 - 78
2024-02-17 @ Keystone L 86 - 101

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jack Anderson - 2 32.0 35.5 5.5 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 22.0 22.0 7 1.2 5.0 54.5 57.1 91.7 0.54 72.0 68.2
Aytor Alberto - 24 30.5 20.8 5.9 1.6 0.6 0.3 2.6 15.9 10.8 - - - 42.5 34.7 78.6 -1.05 55.3 49.1
Derian Bradford - 24 34.1 18.8 9.1 2.9 1.6 0.3 2.5 16.6 13.6 - - - 46.6 27.8 60.7 - 50.2 47.9
Josh Mingledolph - 1 30.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 10.0 29 5.8 41.2 60.0 0 100.0 0.3 68.0 60.0
Owen Bradford - 25 28.7 10.6 4.8 1.5 0.8 0.4 1.1 7.5 9.6 3 3.0 45.0 58.5 0.0 70.8 -1.05 61.4 58.5
DaShaun Johnson - 2 26.5 10.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 8.5 8.0 4 2.0 3.1 41.2 100.0 75.0 0.65 51.2 44.1
Jon Desir - 23 18.1 7.9 4.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.7 6.8 6.2 - - - 42.3 36.0 52.9 -1.05 55.4 55.1
Andre Ballard - 1 27.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 3.0 9 9.0 38.4 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.38 35.4 33.3
Kai Davis - 1 12.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 0 0.0 0.0 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.84 55.4 40.0
Christian Rivera - 24 32.5 5.6 3.5 5.5 0.9 0.0 2.2 4.5 8.8 - - - 43.1 44.4 64.0 - 51.1 46.8
Josh Forker - 24 25.3 5.5 2.5 1.8 1.1 0.5 1.5 5.2 4.9 3 3.0 45.0 38.7 32.1 55.0 -1.05 49.7 48.8
Matthew Gingerich - 1 17.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 6 0.7 9.8 33.3 20.0 0 0.25 41.7 41.7
Tyler Fox - 2 7.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.5 -12 -3.0 -18.4 37.5 33.3 50.0 -0.03 50.7 50.0
Jaedon Mast - 1 16.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 22 2.8 31.3 25.0 0.0 100.0 0.3 41.0 25.0
Moses Ilodigwe - 24 7.5 3.8 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.0 2.0 3 1.5 45.0 43.7 46.0 0.0 -1.05 63.7 64.1
Jake Zawacki - 24 5.0 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.4 - - - 42.5 41.4 100.0 - 58.7 57.5
Redio Risell - 1 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -5 -1.2 -23.7 100.0 0 0 -0.48 100.0 100.0
Tyair Sanders - 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 -11 -2.2 -22.9 100.0 0 0 -0.09 100.0 100.0
Carson Starns - 25 5.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.0 -0.0 - - - 20.0 18.4 50.0 - 27.5 27.0
Chris Eelman - 23 5.4 0.9 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.7 - - - 44.4 50.0 50.0 - 48.8 47.2
Kevin Harris - 2 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Mujahid Moore - 2 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10 5.0 311.7 0 0 50.0 -1.45 56.8 0
Liam Carey - 25 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.1 - - - 23.1 23.1 0 - 34.6 34.6
Derrick Dolan - 24 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 -0.1 - - - 18.8 18.2 0 - 25.0 25.0
Nick Rivera - 24 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 - - - 50.0 0.0 60.0 - 59.5 50.0
Nathan Bengtson - 23 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Donne Midamba - 25 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 - - - 20.0 0 50.0 - 25.5 20.0
Sam Stefano - 24 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Luke Cughan - 24 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ezra Davis - 23 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -1.0 -26.7 0.0 0 0.0 -1.36 0.0 0.0
Tristan Hatcher - 24 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
James Patterson - 24 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Devin Barnes - 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 -8 -2.7 -240.0 0 0 0 -1.43 0 0
Chris Odom - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ismael Baqai - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG