Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#259) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1006 (#226) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.1 (#83) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.420 (#485) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.123 (#352) | NetEff -14.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.841 (#248) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.845 (#248) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.687 (#247) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 57.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 59 - 60 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Allegheny | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | John Carroll | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Capital | L | 40 - 51 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 90 - 46 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Mount Union | W | 58 - 46 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Denison | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 108 - 52 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Transylvania | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Concordia-M'head | L | 54 - 80 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | Marietta | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | WashU | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2025-01-19 | @ | UChicago | L | 51 - 64 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | Brandeis | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-01-26 | vs | NYU | L | 31 - 107 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-02-02 | @ | Emory | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Rochester (NY) | W | 53 - 42 |
| 2025-02-09 | vs | Emory | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | WashU | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2025-02-16 | vs | UChicago | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | Brandeis | L | 43 - 58 |
| 2025-02-23 | @ | NYU | L | 62 - 86 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 46 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlee Sieben | - | 1 | 26.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 35.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.69 | 50.6 | 44.1 |
| Makayla Anderson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 16 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 87.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.24 | 82.0 | 87.5 |
| Mya Hartjes | - | 25 | 32.1 | 12.4 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 12.0 | 8.2 | 33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 34.7 | 36.1 | 76.2 | 0.8 | 47.1 | 43.5 |
| Greta Tollefson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.39 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| Emily Plachta | - | 25 | 32.3 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 7.2 | -14 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 33.7 | 29.5 | 75.7 | 0.34 | 46.2 | 41.4 |
| Maura Schorr | - | 25 | 24.7 | 8.3 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 9.0 | 7.4 | -27 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 39.3 | 17.0 | 59.5 | 0.62 | 43.1 | 41.3 |
| Evie Miller | - | 25 | 28.4 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 34 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 36.7 | 23.1 | 65.7 | 0.44 | 41.0 | 38.7 |
| Maci Wheeldon | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -56 | -8.0 | -6.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.22 | 55.4 | 40.0 |
| Jordyn Kahler | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 87.5 | 0.52 | 77.4 | 0.0 |
| Alexa Snesrud | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Maya Roberts | - | 22 | 18.3 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 42 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 46.1 | 14.3 | 58.1 | 1.02 | 51.0 | 47.8 |
| Molly Musland | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -80 | -6.7 | -5.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.72 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Jordyn Call | - | 24 | 14.7 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.5 | -0.4 | -104 | -3.4 | -5.1 | 30.1 | 27.3 | 50.0 | -0.67 | 41.9 | 41.4 |
| Nyah Moore | - | 25 | 21.2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 36 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 31.2 | 27.7 | 76.9 | 0.05 | 42.3 | 40.2 |
| Taylor Safranski | - | 1 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -35 | -1.5 | -1.1 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.21 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Ellie Welch | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Leah Lenz | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Olivia Franciscus | - | 24 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 37.0 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 0.08 | 51.1 | 42.6 |
| Mila Rossini | - | 25 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 27 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 30.3 | 16.7 | 81.8 | 0.21 | 42.3 | 34.8 |
| Emi Hutter-demarco | - | 3 | 13.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | -57 | -1.8 | -3.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Genevieve Gruba | - | 1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -45 | -9.0 | -7.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.51 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Lauren Ludwig | - | 24 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 21 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 27.3 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -0.16 | 35.8 | 31.8 |
| Megan Marston | - | 21 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 | - | 43.0 | 40.0 |
| Taylor Angielski | - | 24 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | -12 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 19.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 26.0 | 26.9 |
| Biz Watson | - | 17 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -41 | -5.1 | -9.1 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Brooklyn Christianson | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Taya Jeffrey | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -69 | -8.6 | -7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kaia Gack | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Hanson | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG