CUI
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 825 (#243) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 830 (#238) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 896 (#238) | HCA +52 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.3 (#221) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.9 (#245) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.265 (#213) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.279 (#220) | AdjNet -8.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.281 (#218) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.346 (#239) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.345 (#241) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 77.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.299 (#231) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.298 (#232) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 803 (#247) | RD 157 | GP 21 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
2016-2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | @ | CSUSB | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Cal State LA | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | Benedictine Mesa | - | Preview |
| 2016-11-29 | vs | Biola | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2016-12-01 | vs | Azusa Pacific | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Utah Tech | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2016-12-07 | vs | Fresno Pacific | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Point Loma | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2016-12-16 | @ | Seattle Pacific | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Concordia Portland | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2017-01-03 | @ | Chaminade | W | 93 - 77 |
| 2017-01-05 | @ | BYU-Hawaii | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | California Baptist | L | 82 - 109 |
| 2017-01-16 | vs | Utah Tech | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Point Loma | L | 62 - 93 |
| 2017-01-26 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Chaminade | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2017-02-01 | vs | Notre Dame de Namur | L | 89 - 95 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2017-02-06 | vs | BYU-Hawaii | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2017-02-16 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 88 - 93 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Holy Names | W | 57 - 42 |
| 2017-02-20 | @ | Academy of Art | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2017-02-23 | vs | California Baptist | L | 74 - 121 |
2016-2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.