Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#138) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1092 (#86) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.2 (#112) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.517 (#325) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.601 (#166) | NetEff +3.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.646 (#334) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.694 (#306) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#298) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 68.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | vs | Hope Int'l | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Cal State LA | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2024-11-14 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | W | 74 - 55 |
| 2024-11-27 | @ | CSUSB | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Biola | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Azusa Pacific | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Point Loma | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 92 - 86 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Vanguard | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Westmont | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Menlo | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Chaminade | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Vanguard | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Westmont | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Azusa Pacific | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Biola | L | 76 - 91 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Point Loma | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Jessup | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Menlo | W | 91 - 75 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Academy of Art | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Dominican (CA) | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-03-06 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Henderson | - | 29 | 31.0 | 15.4 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 12.4 | 8.1 | - | - | - | - | 48.1 | 32.6 | 85.7 | - | 56.3 | 52.1 |
| Kaden Minter | - | 29 | 26.4 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 6.9 | - | - | - | - | 42.0 | 36.0 | 87.3 | - | 55.1 | 50.3 |
| Jayce Catchings | - | 29 | 28.6 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 6.6 | 12.1 | - | - | - | - | 46.1 | 27.8 | 75.0 | - | 57.2 | 47.4 |
| Joseph Locandro | - | 27 | 16.8 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 51.0 | 27.1 | 73.3 | - | 58.7 | 55.6 |
| Connor Gleason | - | 29 | 28.8 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 7.6 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 37.1 | 34.7 | 80.0 | - | 49.5 | 46.6 |
| Charlie Dalton | - | 29 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 7.2 | - | - | - | - | 43.4 | 35.1 | 69.3 | - | 52.9 | 47.1 |
| Kevin Haupt | - | 29 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 51.1 | 42.9 | 60.0 | - | 64.8 | 64.4 |
| Jackson Tucker | - | 29 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 40.8 | 30.0 | 69.6 | - | 52.4 | 46.9 |
| Jackson Harding | - | 27 | 10.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 35.0 | 45.5 | 82.4 | - | 49.5 | 41.2 |
| Logan Cremonesi | - | 26 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 27.8 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 35.9 | 27.8 |
| Mikhail Mikhailov | - | 27 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 52.9 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 58.8 | 58.8 |
| Roman Rose | - | 23 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 119.0 | 120.0 |
| Bryan Baptiste | - | 23 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 17.6 | 16.7 | 25.0 | - | 21.3 | 20.6 |
| Justin Williams | - | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alexander Stein | - | 27 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Karsten Zahrt | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG