Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#138) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1038 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#281) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.0 (#114) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.4 (#320) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.517 (#325) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.998 (#48) | NetEff +54.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.646 (#334) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.694 (#306) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#298) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.530 (#250) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.537 (#291) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.539 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1008 (#221) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Cal State LA | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | CSUSB | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Westmont | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Azusa Pacific | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Dominican (CA) | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Fresno Pacific | W | 89 - 61 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Dominican (CA) | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Menlo | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Vanguard | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Point Loma | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Jessup | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Jessup | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Chaminade | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Menlo | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Azusa Pacific | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 69 - 51 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarhy Morris | - | 23 | 35.4 | 16.7 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 12.0 | 8.2 | 86 | 4.1 | 11.7 | 47.3 | 40.0 | 87.4 | 2.3 | 59.1 | 52.0 |
| Kaden Minter | - | 23 | 32.4 | 15.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 11.8 | 8.4 | 88 | 4.2 | 12.0 | 43.9 | 43.4 | 73.5 | 2.8 | 58.2 | 55.4 |
| Marcellus Edwards | - | 23 | 28.7 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 60 | 2.9 | 9.8 | 43.3 | 29.5 | 75.0 | 1.04 | 53.0 | 46.2 |
| Nicholas Corbett | - | 23 | 25.8 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 9.2 | 44 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 52.7 | 33.3 | 55.1 | -2.04 | 55.4 | 53.7 |
| Radek Homer | - | 23 | 24.7 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 6.4 | 72 | 3.4 | 14.2 | 41.2 | 24.3 | 55.9 | 0.4 | 48.2 | 45.9 |
| Blake Ballard | - | 5 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 52.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 61.5 | 61.8 |
| Kevin Haupt | - | 20 | 14.4 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 2.7 | -25 | -1.4 | -8.9 | 42.3 | 36.7 | 100.0 | -4.16 | 56.3 | 54.9 |
| Ben Krystkowiak | - | 23 | 17.5 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 2.2 | -58 | -2.8 | -13.9 | 32.4 | 21.7 | 50.0 | -1.96 | 38.2 | 37.3 |
| Roman Rose | - | 2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.21 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jackson Tucker | - | 19 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | -18 | -1.1 | -39.7 | 46.9 | 25.0 | 72.2 | -1.59 | 57.6 | 51.6 |
| Logan Cremonesi | - | 23 | 11.9 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 28 | 1.3 | 11.8 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.42 | 48.3 | 46.3 |
| James Freeman IV | - | 16 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 9 | 0.6 | 11.4 | 46.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.3 | 47.2 | 46.7 |
| Akeem Akeredolu | - | 3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG