CSUSB
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1093 (#63) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1037 (#138) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.0 (#103) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.531 (#349) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.722 (#156) | NetEff +7.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.663 (#332) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.668 (#336) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.577 (#334) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 63.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaida Jackson | - | 28 | 29.3 | 12.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 11.6 | 8.0 | 39 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 40.5 | 24.1 | 61.5 | -0.05 | 47.1 | 43.4 |
| Lauryn Morris | - | 28 | 29.8 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 60 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 51.3 | 30.9 | 80.4 | 0.26 | 57.5 | 54.4 |
| Mia Dufresne | - | 28 | 24.7 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 9.2 | 59 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 41.6 | 0 | 70.7 | 0.3 | 46.0 | 41.6 |
| Deannah Buckner | - | 28 | 30.0 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 80 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 43.9 | 36.5 | 68.8 | 0.42 | 52.5 | 49.7 |
| Tarryn Ross | - | 28 | 25.8 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 48 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 32.4 | 27.6 | 65.9 | 0.19 | 42.9 | 40.3 |
| Rae Mccrae | - | 3 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 50 | 2.2 | 6.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.47 | 52.0 | 50.0 |
| Princess Cassell | - | 28 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 51 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 32.8 | 37.7 | 68.0 | 0.06 | 45.4 | 42.4 |
| Isabel Arango | - | 28 | 10.3 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 2.7 | -27 | -1.0 | -2.4 | 38.5 | 0 | 44.8 | -0.54 | 39.8 | 38.5 |
| Citlali Salazar | - | 27 | 11.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -5 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 36.4 | 0 | 68.2 | -0.5 | 41.0 | 36.4 |
| Rebecca Saidoff | - | 28 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 18 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 33.8 | 30.0 | 60.0 | -0.18 | 46.3 | 44.9 |
| Paisley Specht | - | 28 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 24.6 | 32.4 | 41.7 | -0.49 | 35.3 | 34.2 |
| Aariah Roa | - | 26 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 41 | 2.4 | 14.5 | 33.3 | 31.2 | 0 | 0.07 | 47.2 | 47.2 |
| Riy Smith | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -18 | -2.6 | -3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Maniyah Willingham | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaushlynn Ruffin | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG