🐻⬇️🏀

CSUSB

Also known as: CSUSB
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1093 (#63) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1037 (#138) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +9.0 (#103) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.531 (#349) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.2 More → 0.722 (#156) NetEff +7.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.9 More → 0.663 (#332) AdjNet +5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.9 More → 0.668 (#336) AdjNet +5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 63.2 More → 0.577 (#334) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 63.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs CUI L 75 - 83
2024-11-09 vs Biola W 63 - 60
2024-11-19 @ Westmont L 66 - 70
2024-11-23 vs Dominican (CA) L 58 - 74
2024-11-26 vs Fresno Pacific L 58 - 69
2024-11-30 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 49 - 62
2024-12-05 @ Sonoma St. L 51 - 57
2024-12-07 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 54 - 40
2024-12-21 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 50 - 60
2025-01-02 vs Cal State LA W 93 - 88
2025-01-04 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 58 - 76
2025-01-09 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 67 - 76
2025-01-11 @ Chico St. L 73 - 94
2025-01-16 vs Stanislaus St. W 66 - 47
2025-01-18 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 64 - 54
2025-01-23 @ San Fran. St. W 66 - 57
2025-01-25 @ Cal St. East Bay W 73 - 56
2025-01-30 vs Chico St. W 78 - 73
2025-02-01 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 57 - 43
2025-02-06 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 54 - 70
2025-02-08 @ Cal State LA W 67 - 61
2025-02-13 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 71 - 61
2025-02-15 vs Sonoma St. W 76 - 62
2025-02-20 vs Cal St. East Bay W 78 - 67
2025-02-22 vs San Fran. St. W 78 - 53
2025-02-27 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 78 - 59
2025-03-01 @ Stanislaus St. W 87 - 67
2025-03-06 vs Sonoma St. L 71 - 78

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaida Jackson - 28 29.3 12.8 3.5 4.5 2.2 0.1 3.5 11.6 8.0 39 1.4 1.4 40.5 24.1 61.5 -0.05 47.1 43.4
Lauryn Morris - 28 29.8 12.1 7.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 2.9 9.7 10.5 60 2.1 2.5 51.3 30.9 80.4 0.26 57.5 54.4
Mia Dufresne - 28 24.7 9.5 7.5 1.0 0.9 2.2 2.6 9.2 9.2 59 2.1 2.8 41.6 0 70.7 0.3 46.0 41.6
Deannah Buckner - 28 30.0 8.2 3.5 2.7 1.8 0.6 2.2 7.1 7.5 80 2.9 3.1 43.9 36.5 68.8 0.42 52.5 49.7
Tarryn Ross - 28 25.8 7.2 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.6 1.6 7.7 4.5 48 1.7 2.2 32.4 27.6 65.9 0.19 42.9 40.3
Rae Mccrae - 3 10.7 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.7 5.3 5.0 50 2.2 6.8 50.0 0 66.7 0.47 52.0 50.0
Princess Cassell - 28 9.8 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.7 4.2 2.2 51 1.3 2.8 32.8 37.7 68.0 0.06 45.4 42.4
Isabel Arango - 28 10.3 3.5 2.9 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.8 3.9 2.7 -27 -1.0 -2.4 38.5 0 44.8 -0.54 39.8 38.5
Citlali Salazar - 27 11.6 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.3 2.9 1.9 -5 -0.1 -0.3 36.4 0 68.2 -0.5 41.0 36.4
Rebecca Saidoff - 28 8.2 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.0 18 0.5 1.2 33.8 30.0 60.0 -0.18 46.3 44.9
Paisley Specht - 28 10.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.0 0.9 8 0.2 0.6 24.6 32.4 41.7 -0.49 35.3 34.2
Aariah Roa - 26 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 41 2.4 14.5 33.3 31.2 0 0.07 47.2 47.2
Riy Smith - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -18 -2.6 -3.8 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
Maniyah Willingham - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaushlynn Ruffin - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG