🐻⬇️🏀

CSUSB

Also known as: CSUSB
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1001 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 966 (#240) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +11.6 (#56) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#209) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.3 More → 0.695 (#120) NetEff +7.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.6 More → 0.857 (#193) AdjNet +15.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.849 (#201) AdjNet +14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.738 (#196) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 69.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-01 vs Saint Martin's L 81 - 90
2024-11-02 @ Simon Fraser W 72 - 59
2024-11-03 vs Western Ore. W 88 - 68
2024-11-08 @ Central Wash. W 76 - 59
2024-11-10 vs Western Ore. W 101 - 64
2024-11-14 @ Biola W 68 - 63
2024-11-16 vs Point Loma W 76 - 65
2024-11-27 vs CUI W 68 - 64
2024-11-30 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 62 - 67
2024-12-05 @ Sonoma St. W 68 - 54
2024-12-07 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 78 - 73
2024-12-17 vs Azusa Pacific L 79 - 80
2024-12-21 @ Cal Poly Pomona W 65 - 62
2025-01-02 vs Cal State LA W 79 - 63
2025-01-04 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 62 - 65
2025-01-09 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 77 - 80
2025-01-11 @ Chico St. L 67 - 81
2025-01-16 vs Stanislaus St. W 65 - 52
2025-01-18 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 56 - 55
2025-01-23 @ San Fran. St. W 76 - 67
2025-01-25 @ Cal St. East Bay W 84 - 72
2025-01-30 vs Chico St. W 82 - 64
2025-02-01 vs Cal Poly Humboldt L 81 - 91
2025-02-06 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 82 - 84
2025-02-08 @ Cal State LA L 78 - 86
2025-02-13 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 60 - 53
2025-02-15 vs Sonoma St. W 81 - 79
2025-02-20 vs Cal St. East Bay L 55 - 76
2025-02-22 vs San Fran. St. W 84 - 73
2025-02-27 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 87 - 66
2025-03-01 @ Stanislaus St. W 92 - 75
2025-03-06 vs Cal State LA W 98 - 0
2025-03-07 @ Chico St. L 70 - 75
2025-03-14 @ Biola W 88 - 77
2025-03-15 @ Point Loma L 64 - 82
2025-10-31 vs Central Wash. L 63 - 71

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaden Henderson - 1 32.0 19.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 17.0 27 1.0 4.5 61.5 33.3 100.0 1.07 68.4 65.4
Demarreya Lewis-Cooper - 2 29.5 18.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 10.0 9.0 -117 -4.5 -27.0 75.0 100.0 55.6 -0.1 77.2 80.0
Davian Brown - 1 35.0 18.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 10.0 -83 -3.0 -11.4 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.08 71.2 60.0
Andrew Henderson - 29 33.2 17.4 6.5 1.6 1.5 0.9 2.1 13.2 12.6 74 2.2 9.8 48.4 37.3 79.6 1.12 58.5 54.6
Luke Haupt - 1 37.0 17.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 17.0 133 4.2 9.1 50.0 0 77.8 2.01 60.9 50.0
Corey Cofield II - 1 39.0 17.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 16.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 62.5 - 45.9 40.0
Kris Krause - 1 39.0 17.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 16.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 62.5 - 45.9 40.0
Jayce Catchings - 1 37.0 16.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 14.0 -23 -0.9 -4.4 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.01 59.7 33.3
Evan Oliver - 29 33.9 15.8 3.2 5.2 2.2 0.1 3.3 12.6 10.6 61 2.0 8.4 42.9 33.8 71.1 0.99 53.7 49.3
Casey Cappo - 1 31.0 15.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 13.0 9.0 -89 -3.3 -12.6 46.2 16.7 66.7 0.6 52.4 50.0
Giordan Williams - 11 25.5 13.0 3.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.2 8.2 8.4 26 2.0 26.2 61.1 23.1 73.2 -0.24 66.2 62.8
David Elliott IV - 11 25.5 13.0 3.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.2 8.2 8.4 - - - 61.1 23.1 73.2 - 66.2 62.8
Dominic Escobar - 1 39.0 13.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 9.0 - - - 38.5 40.0 50.0 - 46.8 46.2
Shyheim Parm - 2 27.0 12.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 12.0 2.0 -125 -4.8 -29.4 41.7 14.3 80.0 0.16 47.7 43.8
Amound Anderson II - 1 23.6 12.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 8.0 17 1.4 29.1 80.0 66.7 100.0 -0.46 102.0 100.0
Shane Bell - 1 30.0 11.0 0.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 11.0 - - - 55.6 100.0 0 - 61.1 61.1
Nic Welp - 29 25.4 10.5 7.6 1.3 0.7 0.8 1.4 7.3 12.2 60 2.6 11.6 54.9 34.1 77.0 0.41 62.1 58.2
Julien Franklin - 1 19.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 32 2.1 19.4 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.04 56.3 50.0
Erik Howlin - 1 33.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 11.0 -100 -4.0 -16.3 44.4 0.0 100.0 0.11 50.6 44.4
Zack Paulsen - 1 33.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 138 4.6 9.6 14.3 0.0 88.9 1.86 45.6 14.3
Kaden Minter - 1 26.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 25 0.7 4.8 33.3 20.0 50.0 0.99 38.8 37.5
Aidan Fowler - 1 17.8 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 5.0 -13 -13.0 -29.6 62.5 0.0 0 -0.66 62.5 62.5
Charlie Henderson - 29 27.0 9.8 6.3 1.6 0.7 1.1 1.4 8.6 9.5 -59 -2.0 -8.8 42.7 33.3 73.0 0.91 53.7 51.8
Evan Guillory - 19 30.6 9.0 3.6 2.4 1.4 0.3 3.0 9.1 4.6 9 0.5 1.9 39.3 11.1 47.9 0.58 41.9 39.6
Jaden Matingou - 1 18.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 147 5.4 37.7 66.7 0 83.3 0.54 79.8 66.7
Kyjuan Cannady - 1 30.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 50.0 - 45.5 44.4
Gavin Davis - 1 20.7 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 -3 -3.0 -5.9 44.4 0.0 50.0 -0.55 45.5 44.4
Wynton Brown - 1 15.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 29 1.2 2.4 80.0 0 0.0 0.78 68.0 80.0
Connor Gleason - 1 30.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 -5 -0.2 -1.2 18.2 16.7 75.0 0.51 31.3 22.7
Jaden Lazo - 1 40.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 - - - 37.5 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Javon Ervin - 1 30.2 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 -4.0 -11 -11.0 -14.6 28.6 0.0 0 -0.43 28.6 28.6
Jordan Jones - 29 25.0 7.4 2.2 1.4 1.4 0.1 0.9 5.6 6.2 -38 -1.9 -10.2 41.6 36.5 93.6 0.48 59.4 53.4
Daniel Esparza - 1 22.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 -87 -3.1 -11.8 40.0 25.0 100.0 0.34 59.5 50.0
Kaylon Mason - 1 22.4 7.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 3 3.0 5.4 60.0 50.0 0 -0.47 70.0 70.0
Zion Paleo - 1 27.5 7.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 5.0 4 4.0 5.8 20.0 0.0 60.0 -0.37 28.7 20.0
Pierce Davis - 1 13.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 90 5.3 26.5 100.0 0 0 0.58 100.0 100.0
Jaden Winfield - 2 36.0 6.0 4.5 0.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 7.0 5.5 -85 -3.7 -20.5 28.6 16.7 100.0 0.15 39.2 32.1
Jordan Carpenter - 2 14.5 5.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 -64 -3.6 -41.7 50.0 0 58.3 -0.2 59.3 50.0
Sam Hunter - 2 7.5 5.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 3.0 -25 -1.6 -15.3 100.0 100.0 0 -0.04 110.0 110.0
Sam Ibeh - 7 8.4 5.0 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 2.9 4.1 - - - 70.0 33.3 85.7 - 75.8 72.5
Coby Barnes - 1 29.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 54 1.6 3.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.71 56.3 50.0
Tyce Paulsen - 1 25.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 -7.0 90 2.1 7.3 15.4 9.1 0 1.14 19.2 19.2
Luke Smith - 1 22.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 -11 -0.9 -9.0 16.7 20.0 100.0 -0.33 36.3 25.0
Charlie Dalton - 1 23.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 52 1.3 10.5 20.0 0.0 75.0 0.91 37.0 20.0
Zach Broadous - 2 13.5 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 2.5 -31 -1.8 -43.9 57.1 0.0 50.0 -0.42 57.1 57.1
Xavier Clinton - 1 11.1 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -25 -2.1 -90.5 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.79 38.8 33.3
Elijah Edwards - 1 16.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 14.3 33.3 100.0 -0.65 31.7 21.4
Miles Lewis - 2 12.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 4.0 0.5 -85 -4.7 -48.9 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.03 53.3 50.0
Joseph Locandro - 1 12.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 -9 -1.8 -4.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.07 33.3 33.3
Malcolm Bell - 1 10.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Camren Pierce - 28 15.3 3.5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.1 3.0 2.4 17 1.0 6.2 32.1 28.6 90.0 0.31 48.2 36.9
Kailen Rains - 4 7.8 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 - - - 40.0 0 90.0 - 69.1 40.0
Kevin Simeth - 2 17.5 3.0 8.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 -129 -5.2 -39.7 37.5 0 0.0 0.2 35.5 37.5
Devin Ringer - 1 9.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Jackson Harding - 1 17.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -8 -0.6 -10.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.41 34.7 0.0
Robin Kniss - 1 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Caleb Nelson - 2 21.5 1.0 6.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 -3 -0.1 -1.3 10.0 0.0 0 0.07 10.0 10.0
Michael Ofoegbu - 2 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 34 4.2 104.7 50.0 0 0 -0.67 50.0 50.0
Josh Adoh - 29 3.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 43 4.3 250.5 33.3 33.3 50.0 -0.96 46.2 45.8
Alijah Washington - 19 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 - - - 80.0 100.0 0 - 120.0 120.0
Fallou Cisse - 15 3.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 2 0.2 4.9 75.0 0 0.0 -0.66 67.6 75.0
Malachi Murrell - 18 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Caleb Hunter - 4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.3 -6.8 0 0 0 -1.04 0 0
Jonah Alvarez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Facundo Aranda - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -27 -1.2 -9.5 0 0 0 0.54 0 0
Chris Harris - 1 16.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 -175 -3.4 -24.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0
Scott McDowell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.24 0 0
Nathan Medina - 1 20.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -7.0 -57 -3.6 -19.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.02 0.0 0.0
Jaden Penberthy - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Garrison Sherman - 1 11.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -30 -1.5 -24.1 0 0 0 -0.16 0 0
Matur Dhal - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -27 -2.5 -75.1 0 0 0 -0.7 0 0
Andrew Hommes - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 77 2.6 17.1 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
Nick Watkins - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.5 -34.2 0 0 0 -1.17 0 0
Bryan Baptiste - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -1.8 -32.0 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Kevin Haupt - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -2.0 1 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.38 0.0 0.0
Mikhail Mikhailov - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.5 11.4 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
Roman Rose - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alexander Stein - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jackson Tucker - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -4.0 -17 -1.3 -55.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.8 0.0 0.0
Justin Williams - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60 2.4 10.6 0 0 0 1.38 0 0
Logan Cremonesi - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.2 7.0 0 0 0 -0.54 0 0
Edric Dennis - 2 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 -9 -1.1 -14.1 0.0 0 0 -0.48 0.0 0.0
Caleb Tinker - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.8 -36.8 0 0 0 -1.18 0 0
Raphael Gay - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Rosales - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Connor Scales - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chasen Stewart - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Court Franklin - 1 19.1 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 -17 -1.4 -81.9 0.0 0 0.0 -0.91 0.0 0.0
Walter Hamilton - 1 11.8 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6 6.0 20.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.74 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG