CSU Bakersfield
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1095 (#61) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#120) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.6 (#119) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.906 (#182) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#331) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.530 (#215) | NetEff +0.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.789 (#278) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.777 (#284) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.794 (#282) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.793 (#283) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.664 (#282) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.624 (#309) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 57.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisha Little | - | 29 | 33.6 | 24.9 | 11.4 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 18.7 | 22.2 | -9 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 47.6 | 26.8 | 74.4 | 0.07 | 56.0 | 50.6 |
| Tomia Johnson | - | 28 | 22.8 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.7 | 4.9 | -10 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 32.9 | 25.5 | 65.7 | -0.02 | 44.5 | 38.4 |
| Landri Hudson | - | 29 | 28.8 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 3.6 | -13 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 34.3 | 32.9 | 76.9 | 0.05 | 47.9 | 45.8 |
| Brynae Stewart | - | 29 | 27.0 | 6.1 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 6.0 | 3.8 | -46 | -1.2 | -1.6 | 35.1 | 27.6 | 57.6 | -0.49 | 44.3 | 41.1 |
| Tosjanae Bonds | - | 29 | 18.9 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 7.4 | -51 | -1.8 | -3.6 | 44.9 | 35.3 | 85.7 | -0.4 | 57.7 | 52.5 |
| Shamahra Henderson | - | 29 | 22.6 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | -71 | -2.4 | -3.3 | 42.5 | 17.9 | 64.1 | -0.58 | 48.3 | 45.1 |
| Genesis Sweetwine | - | 29 | 18.8 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 4.8 | -16 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 33.1 | 17.6 | 75.0 | 0.23 | 43.8 | 36.5 |
| Yara Garcia | - | 29 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 | -21 | -0.7 | -1.6 | 34.2 | 25.0 | 53.8 | -0.1 | 43.1 | 41.8 |
| Autumn Watts | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Brooklyn Meza | - | 27 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.6 | 30.0 | 0 | 41.7 | -0.03 | 36.0 | 30.0 |
| Jolene Ramiro | - | 29 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.27 | 23.1 | 16.0 |
| Diamond Stevenson | - | 22 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Destiny Smith | - | 28 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.71 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG