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CSU Bakersfield

Also known as: CSU Bakersfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1095 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1056 (#120) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +7.6 (#119) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.906 (#182) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.578 (#331) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.9 More → 0.530 (#215) NetEff +0.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.5 More → 0.789 (#278) AdjNet +11.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.8 More → 0.777 (#284) AdjNet +10.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.794 (#282) AdjNet +11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.793 (#283) AdjNet +11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 60.4 More → 0.664 (#282) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 57.0 More → 0.624 (#309) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 57.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Lubbock Christian L 38 - 72
2024-11-09 @ UT Tyler L 41 - 66
2024-11-15 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 62 - 50
2024-11-16 vs Missouri Western W 75 - 61
2024-11-20 @ Colorado Mesa L 52 - 70
2024-11-29 vs Haskell W 57 - 53
2024-11-30 vs Northern N.M. W 75 - 46
2024-12-05 @ Westminster (UT) W 59 - 58
2024-12-07 @ Western Colo. W 66 - 52
2024-12-12 vs Chadron St. W 72 - 61
2024-12-14 vs South Dakota Mines W 62 - 57
2025-01-03 vs Regis (CO) W 80 - 72
2025-01-09 vs Colo. Christian W 66 - 63
2025-01-11 @ UCCS W 74 - 66
2025-01-16 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 56 - 62
2025-01-18 @ Regis (CO) L 70 - 85
2025-01-23 vs Adams St. W 77 - 60
2025-01-25 vs N.M. Highlands L 71 - 77
2025-01-30 vs Colorado Mesa L 65 - 72
2025-02-01 vs Westminster (UT) W 76 - 42
2025-02-06 @ Black Hills St. L 48 - 62
2025-02-08 @ Chadron St. W 86 - 77
2025-02-11 @ Colo. Christian W 75 - 66
2025-02-13 vs UCCS L 59 - 63
2025-02-20 @ Fort Lewis W 66 - 61
2025-02-22 @ Adams St. L 54 - 84
2025-02-27 vs MSU Denver W 72 - 49
2025-03-01 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines W 82 - 63
2025-03-04 @ Black Hills St. L 56 - 82

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alisha Little - 29 33.6 24.9 11.4 1.4 2.9 3.6 3.3 18.7 22.2 -9 -0.3 -0.3 47.6 26.8 74.4 0.07 56.0 50.6
Tomia Johnson - 28 22.8 8.2 1.6 3.2 1.5 0.2 2.2 7.7 4.9 -10 -0.4 -0.5 32.9 25.5 65.7 -0.02 44.5 38.4
Landri Hudson - 29 28.8 7.5 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.2 1.3 7.4 3.6 -13 -0.4 -0.5 34.3 32.9 76.9 0.05 47.9 45.8
Brynae Stewart - 29 27.0 6.1 3.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 2.6 6.0 3.8 -46 -1.2 -1.6 35.1 27.6 57.6 -0.49 44.3 41.1
Tosjanae Bonds - 29 18.9 5.3 3.8 0.9 2.1 0.2 0.8 4.1 7.4 -51 -1.8 -3.6 44.9 35.3 85.7 -0.4 57.7 52.5
Shamahra Henderson - 29 22.6 5.0 3.4 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.7 4.6 4.9 -71 -2.4 -3.3 42.5 17.9 64.1 -0.58 48.3 45.1
Genesis Sweetwine - 29 18.8 4.6 3.1 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.6 4.5 4.8 -16 -0.4 -0.7 33.1 17.6 75.0 0.23 43.8 36.5
Yara Garcia - 29 15.0 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.5 -21 -0.7 -1.6 34.2 25.0 53.8 -0.1 43.1 41.8
Autumn Watts - 5 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Brooklyn Meza - 27 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 -11 -0.5 -2.6 30.0 0 41.7 -0.03 36.0 30.0
Jolene Ramiro - 29 3.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.9 -0.2 0 0.0 0.0 16.0 0.0 71.4 0.27 23.1 16.0
Diamond Stevenson - 22 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 -1 -0.1 -0.7 50.0 0.0 0 -0.03 50.0 50.0
Destiny Smith - 28 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -8 -0.3 -1.7 11.1 0.0 0 0.71 11.1 11.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG