CSU Bakersfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#163) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1047 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 995 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#456) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.3 (#158) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.3 (#293) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.906 (#182) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#331) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.906 (#133) | NetEff +14.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.789 (#278) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.777 (#284) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.794 (#282) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.793 (#283) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.664 (#282) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.624 (#309) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 57.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.534 (#285) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.562 (#302) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.554 (#301) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 938 (#310) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Mary | L | 44 - 73 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | UT Tyler | L | 46 - 61 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Lubbock Christian | L | 42 - 61 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 84 - 34 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Northern N.M. | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Western Colo. | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | South Dakota Mines | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Northern N.M. | W | 70 - 50 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Regis (CO) | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Adams St. | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | N.M. Highlands | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 46 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Westminster (UT) | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 48 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 76 - 56 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrishawn Coleman | - | 1 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 77.8 | - | 39.1 | 32.1 |
| Jenkins, Jayden | - | 1 | 33.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 54.5 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Marley Langi | - | 1 | 30.4 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 42.9 | 100.0 | - | 45.0 | 41.7 |
| Seneya Martinez | - | 20 | 28.9 | 13.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 12.2 | 6.8 | 21 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 44.1 | 32.4 | 65.6 | 0.28 | 52.7 | 51.4 |
| Genesis Sweetwine | - | 20 | 30.0 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 41.2 | 34.2 | 78.2 | 1.1 | 54.6 | 49.4 |
| Morgan Hawkins | - | 1 | 31.1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Ruby Sweeney-Spitzeck | - | 20 | 26.1 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 7.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 38.6 | 35.1 | 91.2 | -0.54 | 52.8 | 47.6 |
| Bueno, Lorianne | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Padilla, Rhianna | - | 1 | 37.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Jada Bobb | - | 20 | 12.7 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 49 | 2.2 | 15.2 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 53.1 | 0.02 | 49.8 | 47.8 |
| Dasani Nesbit | - | 20 | 27.6 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 8.8 | -24 | -1.1 | -2.7 | 42.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 2.52 | 45.4 | 45.4 |
| Wynter Jones | - | 19 | 20.8 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 6.3 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 29.0 | 25.6 | 64.8 | -1.24 | 43.4 | 34.0 |
| Laci Roffle | - | 19 | 17.6 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 3.9 | -29 | -1.4 | -5.9 | 33.3 | 13.9 | 65.7 | -3.01 | 40.5 | 35.6 |
| Dae'Jaidence Kincade | - | 1 | 20.9 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Lopez, Paulina | - | 1 | 37.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Anyla Owens | - | 19 | 18.1 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 31.3 | 32.6 | 33.3 | 1.45 | 45.3 | 45.5 |
| Aliyah Carter | - | 1 | 24.7 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Tena Ikidi | - | 1 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Roybal, Mistidawn | - | 1 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Lopez, Romina | - | 1 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | -7.0 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| Maria Dias | - | 1 | 27.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -5.0 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 15.2 | 11.1 |
| Arambula, Mariana | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Destiny Smith | - | 20 | 12.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 24 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 26.2 | 24.0 | 87.5 | 2.11 | 38.4 | 33.3 |
| Malorie Byrne | - | 14 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -18 | -1.2 | -12.2 | 31.8 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 1.79 | 43.7 | 40.9 |
| Talia Strode | - | 3 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.0 | 22.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jamie Suazo | - | 6 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 35 | 5.0 | 348.5 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 1.45 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Brooklyn Meza | - | 9 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 22 | 2.4 | 59.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 70.0 | 1.53 | 53.6 | 25.0 |
| Jaime Gallatly | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zalissa Finley | - | 1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ophelia Powell | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tianna Sutherland | - | 1 | 15.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG