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Cleveland Cavaliers

Also known as: Cleveland Cavaliers
Program History

2017 Team Stats (71 games)

109.6
PPG
106.8
Opp
+2.8
Margin
46.9%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
74.6%
FT%
43.4
RPG
22.4
APG
13.1
TO
98.8
Est. poss./game
110.1
Adj PPG
105.6
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1224 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1121 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +63 elo More โ†’ 1106 (#2) HCA +63 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +4.6 (#4) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +8.7 (#2) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.605 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.9 More โ†’ 0.610 (#5) AdjNet +3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.9 More โ†’ 0.611 (#5) AdjNet +3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 110.1 | AdjD 105.6 More โ†’ 0.601 (#4) AdjO 110.1 | AdjD 105.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 113.5 | AdjD 105.7 More โ†’ 0.671 (#2) AdjO 113.5 | AdjD 105.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.677 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.690 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 72 | GP 100 More โ†’ 1120 (#3) RD 72 | GP 100

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-10-25 vs New York Knicks W 117 - 88
2016-10-28 @ Toronto Raptors W 94 - 91
2016-10-29 vs Orlando Magic W 105 - 99
2016-11-01 vs Houston Rockets W 128 - 120
2016-11-03 vs Boston Celtics W 128 - 122
2016-11-05 @ Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2016-11-08 vs Atlanta Hawks L 106 - 110
2016-11-11 @ Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2016-11-13 vs Charlotte Hornets W 100 - 93
2016-11-15 vs Toronto Raptors W 121 - 117
2016-11-16 @ Indiana Pacers L 93 - 103
2016-11-18 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2016-11-23 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 137 - 125
2016-11-25 vs Dallas Mavericks W 128 - 90
2016-11-27 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 112 - 108
2016-11-29 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 101 - 118
2016-12-01 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2016-12-02 @ Chicago Bulls L 105 - 111
2016-12-05 @ Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2016-12-07 @ New York Knicks W 126 - 94
2016-12-09 vs Miami Heat W 114 - 84
2016-12-10 vs Charlotte Hornets W 116 - 105
2016-12-13 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 103 - 86
2016-12-14 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 85 - 93
2016-12-17 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 119 - 108
2016-12-20 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 114 - 108
2016-12-21 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 113 - 102
2016-12-23 vs Brooklyn Nets W 119 - 99
2016-12-25 vs Golden State Warriors W 109 - 108
2016-12-26 @ Detroit Pistons L 90 - 106
2016-12-29 vs Boston Celtics W 124 - 118
2016-12-31 @ Charlotte Hornets W 121 - 109
2017-01-02 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 90 - 82
2017-01-04 vs Chicago Bulls L 94 - 106
2017-01-06 @ Brooklyn Nets W 116 - 108
2017-01-08 @ Phoenix Suns W 120 - 116
2017-01-10 @ Utah Jazz L 92 - 100
2017-01-11 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 86 - 102
2017-01-13 @ Sacramento Kings W 120 - 108
2017-01-16 @ Golden State Warriors L 91 - 126
2017-01-19 vs Phoenix Suns W 118 - 103
2017-01-21 vs San Antonio Spurs L 115 - 118
2017-01-23 @ New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2017-01-25 vs Sacramento Kings L 112 - 116
2017-01-27 vs Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2017-01-29 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 107 - 91
2017-01-30 @ Dallas Mavericks L 97 - 104
2017-02-01 vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Incomplete score
2017-02-04 @ New York Knicks W 111 - 104
2017-02-06 @ Washington Wizards W 140 - 135
2017-02-08 @ Indiana Pacers W 132 - 117
2017-02-09 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 109 - 118
2017-02-11 vs Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2017-02-14 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 116 - 108
2017-02-15 vs Indiana Pacers W 113 - 104
2017-02-23 vs New York Knicks W 119 - 104
2017-02-25 vs Chicago Bulls L 99 - 117
2017-02-27 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 102 - 95
2017-03-01 @ Boston Celtics L 99 - 103
2017-03-03 @ Atlanta Hawks W 135 - 130
2017-03-04 @ Miami Heat L 92 - 120
2017-03-06 vs Miami Heat L 98 - 106
2017-03-09 @ Detroit Pistons L 101 - 106
2017-03-11 @ Orlando Magic W 116 - 104
2017-03-12 @ Houston Rockets L 112 - 117
2017-03-14 vs Detroit Pistons W 128 - 96
2017-03-16 vs Utah Jazz W 91 - 83
2017-03-18 @ LA Clippers L 78 - 108
2017-03-19 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 125 - 120
2017-03-22 @ Denver Nuggets L 113 - 126
2017-03-24 @ Charlotte Hornets W 112 - 105
2017-03-25 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2017-03-27 @ San Antonio Spurs L 74 - 103
2017-03-30 @ Chicago Bulls L 93 - 99
2017-03-31 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 122 - 105
2017-04-02 vs Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2017-04-04 vs Orlando Magic W 122 - 102
2017-04-05 @ Boston Celtics W 114 - 91
2017-04-07 vs Atlanta Hawks L 100 - 114
2017-04-09 @ Atlanta Hawks L 125 - 126
2017-04-10 @ Miami Heat L 121 - 124
2017-04-12 vs Toronto Raptors L 83 - 98
2017-04-15 vs Indiana Pacers W 109 - 108
2017-04-17 vs Indiana Pacers W 117 - 111
2017-04-20 @ Indiana Pacers W 119 - 114
2017-04-23 @ Indiana Pacers W 106 - 102
2017-05-01 vs Toronto Raptors W 116 - 105
2017-05-03 vs Toronto Raptors W 125 - 103
2017-05-05 @ Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2017-05-07 @ Toronto Raptors W 109 - 102
2017-05-17 @ Boston Celtics W 117 - 104
2017-05-19 @ Boston Celtics W 130 - 86
2017-05-21 vs Boston Celtics L 108 - 111
2017-05-23 vs Boston Celtics W 112 - 99
2017-05-25 @ Boston Celtics W 135 - 102
2017-06-01 @ Golden State Warriors L 91 - 113
2017-06-04 @ Golden State Warriors L 113 - 132
2017-06-07 vs Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2017-06-09 vs Golden State Warriors W 137 - 116
2017-06-12 @ Golden State Warriors L 120 - 129

2017 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
LeBron James LeBron James F 63 37.8 26.3 8.8 8.7 1.2 0.6 4.1 17.9 23.4 386 73 5.3 4.5 54.9 37.0 67.5 1.02 62.3 59.7
Kyrie Irving Kyrie Irving G 61 35.0 25.2 3.2 5.7 1.2 0.3 2.5 19.6 13.5 297 71 4.2 3.6 48.1 40.3 90.2 0.54 58.5 54.2
Kevin Love Kevin Love G 50 31.1 19.3 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 1.9 14.8 17.0 307 60 5.1 4.6 41.7 36.1 87.9 0.66 56.6 50.0
Kyle Korver G 30 24.6 10.3 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.9 7.6 6.2 -38 66 -0.6 -0.5 46.9 47.7 92.3 -0.43 66.3 65.4
Channing Frye G 63 19.7 9.4 4.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 7.2 7.0 56 73 0.8 0.8 45.8 41.0 85.9 -0.47 61.1 58.9
Dahntay Jones G 1 12.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 - - - - 37.5 0.0 75.0 - 46.1 37.5
JR Smith G 34 29.1 8.4 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.6 9.1 4.3 115 41 2.8 2.6 33.1 32.9 54.5 0.01 45.6 45.3
Tristan Thompson Tristan Thompson F 67 29.7 8.1 9.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 5.5 13.1 234 77 3.0 2.8 60.5 0.0 49.5 0.21 59.8 60.5
Iman Shumpert G 67 25.7 7.6 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 1.1 6.6 5.4 198 75 2.6 2.5 41.1 36.9 77.5 0.11 53.5 50.8
Deron Williams G 22 20.4 7.3 2.0 3.5 0.2 0.3 1.6 6.3 5.4 -200 64 -3.1 -3.1 44.9 39.6 85.7 -0.81 54.7 51.8
Derrick Williams F 23 17.6 6.4 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 4.5 4.7 -249 49 -5.1 -6.2 49.5 40.0 67.6 -1.54 61.6 59.2
Edy Tavares G 1 24.0 6.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 17.0 - - - - 75.0 0 0.0 - 67.6 75.0
Richard Jefferson G 68 20.7 5.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.7 4.4 4.8 134 78 1.7 1.8 44.7 32.9 76.0 -0.19 57.6 53.5
Mike Dunleavy Mike Dunleavy G 19 16.5 5.0 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.5 4.1 3.9 35 53 0.7 0.8 41.6 35.4 73.7 -0.1 55.6 52.6
Jordan McRae G 31 11.2 4.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 4.5 1.9 19 29 0.7 1.1 38.8 31.2 80.0 -0.17 48.3 44.2
Kay Felder G 37 9.0 3.9 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.6 3.8 2.4 -36 39 -0.9 -1.5 38.3 22.2 71.1 -0.59 44.8 39.7
James Jones James Jones F 42 8.5 3.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.0 2.2 -160 39 -4.1 -8.9 48.8 49.2 65.0 -1.15 67.5 66.9
Chris Andersen Chris Andersen - 10 9.7 2.4 2.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.7 4.4 71 11 6.5 10.3 52.9 0.0 75.0 0.33 58.5 52.9
DeAndre Liggins G 54 12.6 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.7 2.3 2.6 85 55 1.5 2.2 37.3 35.7 58.6 0.04 45.4 43.3
Larry Sanders - 4 2.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 - - - - 25.0 0 100.0 - 41.0 25.0
Andrew Bogut - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -154 27 -5.7 -5.5 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2016-2017 Shot Zones

6071 located field-goal attempts in 72 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

James35% Irving25% Irving24% Irving45% Irving37% Korver16% Love20% James20% James20% Irving23%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Irving23% Irving24% James27% Irving23% Irving32% Love20% Shumpert17% James24% Irving19% Irving18%
Misses: who misses most here

LeBron JamesKyrie IrvingKevin LoveIman ShumpertKyle Korver

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 1189-1829 65.0 2378 LeBron James 35% (840 pts) Kyrie Irving 17% (402 pts) Kyrie Irving 23% (148 misses) LeBron James 20% (127 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 240-611 39.3 480 Kyrie Irving 25% (120 pts) Tristan Thompson 19% (90 pts) Kyrie Irving 24% (88 misses) Kevin Love 16% (58 misses)
Mid-range left 231-554 41.7 462 Kyrie Irving 24% (112 pts) LeBron James 19% (88 pts) LeBron James 27% (86 misses) Kyrie Irving 19% (62 misses)
Mid-range center 58-144 40.3 116 Kyrie Irving 45% (52 pts) LeBron James 19% (22 pts) Kyrie Irving 23% (20 misses) LeBron James 21% (18 misses)
Mid-range right 231-521 44.3 462 Kyrie Irving 37% (172 pts) Iman Shumpert 13% (62 pts) Kyrie Irving 32% (94 misses) LeBron James 16% (45 misses)
Left corner 3 167-391 42.7 501 Kyle Korver 16% (78 pts) Kevin Love 15% (75 pts) Kevin Love 20% (44 misses) Iman Shumpert 12% (27 misses)
Right corner 3 145-360 40.3 435 Kevin Love 20% (87 pts) Richard Jefferson 13% (57 pts) Iman Shumpert 17% (37 misses) Richard Jefferson 15% (32 misses)
Above-break 3 left 268-710 37.7 804 LeBron James 20% (159 pts) Kyrie Irving 18% (141 pts) LeBron James 24% (104 misses) Kevin Love 17% (74 misses)
Above-break 3 center 115-315 36.5 345 LeBron James 20% (69 pts) Kyrie Irving 17% (60 pts) Kyrie Irving 19% (38 misses) Channing Frye 16% (32 misses)
Above-break 3 right 238-636 37.4 714 Kyrie Irving 23% (165 pts) Channing Frye 19% (135 pts) Kyrie Irving 18% (70 misses) Channing Frye 16% (65 misses)