Chicago Sky
2012 Team Stats (34 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 957 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 947 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 958 (#9) | HCA +80 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.0 (#8) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.0 (#8) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.491 (#7) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.507 (#7) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.507 (#7) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.500 (#8) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.520 (#8) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.482 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.486 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 929 (#9) | RD 149 | GP 34 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Epiphanny Prince
|
G | 26 | 30.0 | 18.1 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 13.7 | 11.1 | -91 | 26 | -3.5 | -3.5 | 44.2 | 40.7 | 89.9 | -0.87 | 58.4 | 52.5 |
Sylvia Fowles
|
G | 25 | 31.1 | 16.2 | 10.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 9.8 | 18.0 | 6 | 25 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 63.8 | 0 | 69.2 | 0.12 | 66.7 | 63.8 |
| Swin Cash | F | 34 | 30.0 | 10.6 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 10.1 | 7.3 | -6 | 34 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 36.7 | 28.1 | 76.5 | -0.28 | 46.5 | 41.4 |
Courtney Vandersloot
|
G | 34 | 26.7 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 8.6 | 5.2 | 19 | 34 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 40.5 | 33.3 | 64.9 | -0.15 | 47.6 | 45.4 |
| Shay Murphy | G | 29 | 18.6 | 8.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 38 | 29 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 42.0 | 44.1 | 73.0 | 0.61 | 55.1 | 52.9 |
| Tamera Young | G | 33 | 24.4 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 84 | 33 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 42.3 | 0.0 | 60.6 | 1.04 | 44.9 | 42.3 |
| Sonja Petrovic | F | 30 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | -14 | 30 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 35.8 | 27.9 | 76.9 | -0.33 | 44.6 | 41.4 |
| Carolyn Swords | C | 30 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 4.6 | -29 | 30 | -1.0 | -1.9 | 57.1 | 0 | 68.2 | -0.52 | 59.1 | 57.1 |
| Sydney Carter | - | 1 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Le'coe Willingham | F | 33 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 36 | 33 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 31.2 | 27.4 | 60.9 | 1.08 | 41.3 | 39.1 |
| Ruth Riley | G | 33 | 14.4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 89 | 33 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 37.9 | 27.8 | 78.6 | 1.59 | 43.5 | 40.5 |
| Ticha Penicheiro | G | 19 | 12.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 16 | 19 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 35.3 | 20.0 | 54.5 | 0.02 | 42.5 | 39.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2012 Shot Zones
2424 located field-goal attempts in 37 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Epiphanny PrinceSylvia FowlesSwin CashCourtney VanderslootTamera YoungShay MurphyLe'coe WillinghamRuth Riley
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 488-813 | 60.0 | 976 | Sylvia Fowles 30% (292 pts) | Tamera Young 13% (124 pts) | Sylvia Fowles 19% (63 misses) | Swin Cash 18% (59 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 107-333 | 32.1 | 214 | Tamera Young 17% (36 pts) | Epiphanny Prince 16% (34 pts) | Tamera Young 17% (39 misses) | Swin Cash 17% (38 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 92-228 | 40.4 | 184 | Tamera Young 28% (52 pts) | Epiphanny Prince 15% (28 pts) | Tamera Young 30% (41 misses) | Swin Cash 13% (18 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 49-120 | 40.8 | 98 | Ruth Riley 24% (24 pts) | Courtney Vandersloot 20% (20 pts) | Courtney Vandersloot 28% (20 misses) | Epiphanny Prince 23% (16 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 106-296 | 35.8 | 212 | Epiphanny Prince 31% (66 pts) | Courtney Vandersloot 15% (32 pts) | Courtney Vandersloot 22% (41 misses) | Epiphanny Prince 18% (34 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 14-40 | 35.0 | 42 | Epiphanny Prince 36% (15 pts) | Swin Cash 21% (9 pts) | Shay Murphy 31% (8 misses) | Swin Cash 27% (7 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 20-50 | 40.0 | 60 | Shay Murphy 40% (24 pts) | Epiphanny Prince 30% (18 pts) | Epiphanny Prince 30% (9 misses) | Shay Murphy 23% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 63-214 | 29.4 | 189 | Epiphanny Prince 25% (48 pts) | Courtney Vandersloot 21% (39 pts) | Epiphanny Prince 25% (37 misses) | Swin Cash 16% (24 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 30-101 | 29.7 | 90 | Le'coe Willingham 33% (30 pts) | Epiphanny Prince 30% (27 pts) | Swin Cash 27% (19 misses) | Courtney Vandersloot 24% (17 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 70-229 | 30.6 | 210 | Epiphanny Prince 34% (72 pts) | Courtney Vandersloot 17% (36 pts) | Epiphanny Prince 23% (36 misses) | Shay Murphy 21% (33 misses) |