Butler
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1489 (#96) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1505 (#57) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +32.9 (#74) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.730 (#20) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.639 (#50) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.642 (#49) | AdjNet +5.0 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-23 | vs | Quincy | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2003-11-30 | vs | Michigan | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2003-12-03 | @ | - | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | Evansville | L | 64 - 65 |
| 2003-12-10 | @ | - | W | 59 - 55 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Indiana State | L | 39 - 57 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Green Bay | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2004-01-15 | vs | Loyola (IL) | L | 54 - 72 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | Detroit Mercy | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Wright State | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2004-01-29 | vs | Cleveland State | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Illinois-Chicago | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2004-02-04 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2004-02-18 | vs | Milwaukee | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Ohio | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2004-02-25 | vs | Youngstown State | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2004-03-02 | vs | Youngstown State | L | 57 - 88 |
| 2004-03-05 | @ | - | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2004-03-06 | vs | Illinois-Chicago | L | 56 - 65 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Monserez | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Duane Lightfoot | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Avery Sheets | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Bruce Horan | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nick Brooks | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jamie Smalligan | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jeff James | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brandon Crone | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brian Ligon | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| James Parker | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nick Gardner | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Andy Grunst | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ryan Reynolds | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG