Buffalo
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 693 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 785 (#281) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 857 (#298) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.7 (#291) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#282) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.084 (#309) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.117 (#283) | AdjNet -17.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.114 (#283) | AdjNet -17.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.240 (#302) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.266 (#308) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 75.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#294) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.205 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 793 (#277) | RD 165 | GP 28 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | vs | Niagara | L | 103 - 105 |
| 1999-11-21 | vs | Cornell | L | 60 - 71 |
| 1999-11-23 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 81 - 78 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Canisius | L | 46 - 78 |
| 1999-11-30 | vs | Manhattan | W | 75 - 71 |
| 1999-12-07 | vs | North Carolina | L | 67 - 91 |
| 1999-12-10 | @ | Indiana | L | 55 - 106 |
| 1999-12-11 | N | North Texas | L | 91 - 102 |
| 1999-12-18 | vs | Northern Illinois | L | 52 - 83 |
| 1999-12-21 | @ | Akron | L | 67 - 89 |
| 2000-01-02 | @ | FDU | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2000-01-05 | @ | Eastern Michigan | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Bowling Green | L | 90 - 96 |
| 2000-01-12 | vs | Central Michigan | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Kent State | L | 53 - 89 |
| 2000-01-17 | @ | Ohio | L | 71 - 86 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 54 - 74 |
| 2000-01-24 | vs | Akron | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2000-01-26 | vs | Western Michigan | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Ball State | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Marshall | L | 61 - 93 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Toledo | L | 65 - 93 |
| 2000-02-09 | @ | Bowling Green | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Kent State | L | 65 - 81 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Marshall | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2000-02-23 | vs | Ohio | L | 62 - 82 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Miami (OH) | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2000-03-01 | @ | Marshall | L | 66 - 83 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.