Buffalo
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
77.7
PPG
79.0
Opp
-1.3
Margin
42.9%
FG%
22.1%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
36.0
RPG
16.0
APG
15.0
TO
78.6
Est. poss./game
66.3
Adj PPG
71.9
Adj Opp PPG
#279
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 800 (#279) | Preseason prior 834 (returning production + recruiting): last season 918, returning -80, transfers +23, freshmen -27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 906 (#265) | HCA +224 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 946 (#273) | HCA +223 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.6 (#303) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.5 (#304) | HCA +1.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.159 (#313) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.305 (#307) | AdjNet -14.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.304 (#307) | AdjNet -14.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.368 (#279) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.393 (#282) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.315 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.319 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 880 (#276) | RD 200 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.329 (#246) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Marshall Thundering Herd | L | 65 - 92 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Pittsburgh Panthers | L | 61 - 80 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Penn State Schuylkill Nittany Lions | W | 107 - 65 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Canisius Golden Griffins | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drew Steffe
|
G | 3 | 33.3 | 17.3 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 12.3 | 16.7 | -38 | 2 | -19.0 | -20.1 | 56.8 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -0.13 | 63.5 | 62.2 |
Antoine Lorick III
|
F | 3 | 25.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.7 | 16.0 | -18 | 2 | -9.0 | -12.6 | 48.6 | 18.2 | 71.4 | -0.52 | 57.6 | 51.4 |
Harrison Reede
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
JJ Starling
|
G | 3 | 31.3 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 3.7 | -47 | 2 | -23.5 | -27.7 | 33.3 | 27.3 | 50.0 | -0.99 | 41.8 | 39.6 |
Dylan Ducommun
|
G | 3 | 28.3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 10.3 | 3.7 | -30 | 2 | -15.0 | -19.8 | 22.6 | 15.4 | 66.7 | -1.42 | 32.7 | 29.0 |
Matas Buteliauskas
|
F | 3 | 11.7 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 5.0 | -15 | 2 | -7.5 | -26.8 | 42.9 | 22.2 | 85.7 | -1.15 | 58.5 | 50.0 |
Mikkel Tyne
|
G | 3 | 22.3 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 3.7 | -55 | 2 | -27.5 | -52.6 | 25.0 | 26.7 | 100.0 | -3.13 | 41.4 | 35.0 |
Tristan Kuska
|
F | 1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 43.4 | 50.0 |
Jalen Pitre
|
F | 3 | 11.7 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 7.3 | -4 | 2 | -2.0 | -7.5 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 92.8 | 80.0 |
Kyle Jones
|
G | 3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.0 | -11 | 2 | -5.5 | -33.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.75 | 92.2 | 100.0 |
Boluwasefe John
|
F | 3 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -13.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.38 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
JJ Frakes
|
G | 3 | 12.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -11.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Evan Romano
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Daniel Shao
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jahrel Vigo
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Buffalo players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Buffalo game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Curtis Jones | NBA Preseason | Cleveland Cavaliers | vs Boston Celtics | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
189 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Drew SteffeAntoine Lorick IIIJJ StarlingDylan DucommunMikkel Tyne
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 25-30 | 83.3 | 50 | Antoine Lorick III 28% (14 pts) | Drew Steffe 16% (8 pts) | Antoine Lorick III 40% (2 misses) | Drew Steffe 20% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 31-53 | 58.5 | 62 | Drew Steffe 32% (20 pts) | Antoine Lorick III 26% (16 pts) | Antoine Lorick III 32% (7 misses) | JJ Starling 23% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Drew Steffe 100% (2 pts) | - | JJ Starling 33% (1 misses) | Matas Buteliauskas 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Drew Steffe 67% (2 misses) | Dylan Ducommun 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-4 | 75.0 | 6 | Drew Steffe 67% (4 pts) | JJ Starling 33% (2 pts) | JJ Starling 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 2-11 | 18.2 | 6 | Dylan Ducommun 50% (3 pts) | JJ Starling 50% (3 pts) | Dylan Ducommun 33% (3 misses) | Matas Buteliauskas 33% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Mikkel Tyne 100% (6 pts) | - | Mikkel Tyne 50% (2 misses) | Drew Steffe 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-27 | 22.2 | 18 | Drew Steffe 33% (6 pts) | Mikkel Tyne 33% (6 pts) | Dylan Ducommun 24% (5 misses) | JJ Starling 19% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-15 | 26.7 | 12 | Antoine Lorick III 50% (6 pts) | Dylan Ducommun 25% (3 pts) | JJ Starling 27% (3 misses) | Mikkel Tyne 27% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-36 | 19.4 | 21 | Drew Steffe 29% (6 pts) | Harrison Reede 29% (6 pts) | Dylan Ducommun 38% (11 misses) | Drew Steffe 17% (5 misses) |