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Buffalo

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Buffalo Bulls, Buffalo
Program History
Coach: George Halcovage III

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

77.3
PPG
75.0
Opp
+2.3
Margin
46.6%
FG%
37.9%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
32.0
RPG
14.5
APG
10.6
TO
75.6
Pace
75.5
AdjO
78.1
AdjD
#199
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 904 (#250) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1049 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 949 (#600) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -2.4 (#200) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +8.8 (#246) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.517 (#168) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -27.1 More → 0.046 (#338) NetEff -27.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.415 (#197) AdjNet -3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.1 More → 0.413 (#198) AdjNet -3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1 More → 0.443 (#199) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.505 (#230) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.681 (#231) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.636 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 29 More → 1009 (#235) RD 137 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 85 - 79
2025-11-07 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 83 - 76
2025-11-11 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 66 - 53
2025-11-15 vs RIT Tigers W 80 - 64
2025-11-18 vs Vermont Catamounts W 94 - 90
2025-11-24 vs VMI Keydets W 78 - 70
2025-11-26 @ Bucknell Bison W 73 - 71
2025-11-29 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 71 - 53
2025-12-14 @ East Carolina Pirates L 70 - 73
2025-12-20 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 88 - 71
2025-12-22 vs Penn State-Behrend Lions W 92 - 63
2025-12-31 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 81 - 67
2026-01-03 vs Ball State Cardinals W 85 - 72
2026-01-10 @ Ohio Bobcats L 80 - 91
2026-01-13 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 81 - 87
2026-01-20 vs Akron Zips L 63 - 82
2026-01-23 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 67 - 68
2026-01-27 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 89 - 78
2026-01-31 vs Ohio Bobcats L 83 - 95
2026-02-03 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 71 - 73
2026-02-07 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 69 - 81
2026-02-11 @ Ball State Cardinals W 63 - 53
2026-02-17 vs Northern Illinois Huskies L 70 - 72
2026-02-21 @ Massachusetts Minutemen W 86 - 82
2026-02-24 @ Akron Zips L 85 - 99
2026-02-28 vs Central Michigan Chippewas L 70 - 75
2026-03-03 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 72 - 67
2026-03-06 @ Toledo Rockets L 78 - 98
2026-03-12 @ Akron Zips L 70 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daniel Freitag Daniel Freitag - 20 33.1 20.0 4.1 3.5 1.2 0.4 1.8 13.2 14.3 35 3.5 16.9 41.7 35.1 80.7 0.29 59.3 50.4
R. Sabol R. Sabol G 29 36.1 19.1 3.5 3.3 0.7 0.1 1.7 14.7 10.1 62 2.8 4.2 42.4 39.9 85.9 -0.02 59.1 55.5
A. Brizzi A. Brizzi G 29 29.7 14.5 2.8 1.9 1.8 0.3 2.0 9.7 9.7 13 0.6 1.2 46.8 36.0 83.8 0.1 61.9 54.8
T. Oboh T. Oboh C 29 20.7 8.1 4.9 0.3 0.7 1.6 1.3 5.2 9.1 30 1.4 4.4 59.9 0 48.2 0.31 58.6 59.9
N. Batchelor N. Batchelor G 29 30.5 7.6 4.3 1.3 1.0 0.2 1.1 4.9 8.4 7 0.6 2.9 55.6 48.0 66.7 -0.12 72.4 72.2
D. Talton Jr. D. Talton Jr. - 29 26.5 5.2 2.4 3.7 1.3 0.0 1.4 5.0 6.2 -43 -3.1 -11.8 40.3 18.6 66.7 1.14 46.5 43.1
E. McKenna E. McKenna - 29 16.5 4.7 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 3.2 5.6 2 0.1 0.3 51.1 39.2 66.7 -0.16 63.4 61.7
M. Pocknett M. Pocknett - 21 13.7 3.7 4.3 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.8 2.9 5.6 25 1.1 4.7 49.2 0 58.1 -0.11 52.3 49.2
K. Jones K. Jones - 18 10.1 2.2 2.1 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.2 1.5 3.7 29 1.4 6.0 51.9 0.0 66.7 0.08 57.3 51.9
O. Migues-Hibeljic O. Migues-Hibeljic - 2 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 -0.0 33.3 33.3
A. Vlajic A. Vlajic - 2 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2 1.0 141.2 50.0 0.0 0 -0.0 50.0 50.0
Matas Buteliauskas Matas Buteliauskas - 8 4.9 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 -3 -1.0 -211.8 40.0 40.0 0.0 -0.0 55.1 60.0
D. Shao D. Shao - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Evan Romano Evan Romano G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG