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Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#184) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 989 (#253) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.3 (#214) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.085 (#640) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.198 (#325) | NetEff -10.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.121 (#533) | AdjNet -17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.111 (#536) | AdjNet -17.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.249 (#545) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 74.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Martin Luther | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | W | 83 - 82 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Macalester | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Barclay | W | 100 - 55 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Grinnell | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Alverno | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Coe | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | North Central (MN) | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | St. Catherine | L | 64 - 93 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Luther | L | 63 - 99 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Loras | L | 67 - 85 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Dubuque | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Simpson | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Wartburg | L | 53 - 87 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 80 - 63 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Coe | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Luther | L | 50 - 85 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Dubuque | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Loras | L | 58 - 78 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Wartburg | L | 56 - 99 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Simpson | L | 55 - 80 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 78 - 86 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyme Bottcher | - | 1 | 32.0 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 22.2 | 100.0 | - | 53.3 | 47.1 |
| Mckenna Cone | - | 1 | 29.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | -59 | -1.7 | -2.3 | 38.5 | 16.7 | 72.7 | -0.59 | 53.3 | 42.3 |
| Bradi Krager | - | 25 | 30.4 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | -55 | -1.5 | -1.6 | 45.8 | 39.4 | 77.3 | -0.39 | 58.9 | 54.0 |
| Tyme Boettcher | - | 24 | 29.0 | 10.4 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 12.5 | 5.7 | -87 | -2.4 | -2.7 | 31.1 | 24.3 | 76.9 | -0.7 | 39.5 | 36.8 |
| Maddie Hilgendorf | - | 25 | 22.4 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 6.7 | -63 | -1.9 | -2.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 76.9 | -0.2 | 58.8 | 54.8 |
| Danika Demers | - | 25 | 26.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 37.0 | 25.0 | 72.5 | 0.34 | 45.3 | 42.2 |
| Jenna Hallock | - | 25 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 3.5 | -34 | -1.0 | -2.7 | 49.1 | 0.0 | 48.7 | -0.21 | 49.9 | 49.1 |
| Mckenna Scott | - | 25 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 | -62 | -1.8 | -5.6 | 42.6 | 31.2 | 63.2 | -1.03 | 50.5 | 47.2 |
| Allie Leisher | - | 19 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 34.8 | 11.1 | 45.5 | -0.22 | 37.4 | 35.9 |
| Cj Long | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -30 | -1.2 | -3.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.21 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Majesta Vos | - | 15 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 50.9 | 45.5 |
| Nevaeh Lyman | - | 25 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | -15 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 28.6 | 60.0 | 42.9 | -0.04 | 38.7 | 35.7 |
| Sidney Reimer | - | 24 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | -27 | -1.4 | -5.5 | 23.3 | 8.3 | 80.0 | -0.41 | 29.5 | 25.0 |
| Annie Johnson | - | 24 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -4 | -0.4 | -2.2 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 50.4 | 46.4 |
| Olivia Mattson | - | 23 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 27.3 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -0.04 | 40.3 | 31.8 |
| Alexis Flaharty | - | 24 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -14 | -1.2 | -6.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 35.4 | 33.3 |
| Grace Neuberger | - | 23 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brielle Korleski | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emily Nothwehr | - | 17 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hayley Humphrey | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruthie Hulton | - | 18 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyra Bekaert | - | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Trisha Westphal | - | 9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Shea Peterson | - | 17 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lea Pederson | - | 18 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Abby Nagel | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Carley Dennis | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG