Bucknell Bison
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 769 (#308) | Preseason prior 825 (returning production + recruiting): last season 915, returning -32, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 848 (#298) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 850 (#299) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -13.4 (#296) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -13.4 (#295) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.140 (#272) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.238 (#288) | AdjNet -14.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.253 (#283) | AdjNet -12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.295 (#293) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.296 (#293) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.247 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.247 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 818 (#310) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.214 (#294) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Florida Gators | L | 60 - 83 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Brown Bears | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Fordham Rams | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | UAlbany Great Danes | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Iona Gaels | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elana Weisman
|
G | 4 | 31.5 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 12.0 | 10.8 | -42 | 3 | -14.0 | -17.3 | 45.8 | 46.2 | 83.3 | -3.38 | 54.3 | 52.1 |
Tessa Liggio
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10.2 | 8.8 | -30 | 3 | -10.0 | -14.2 | 46.3 | 25.0 | 33.3 | -0.97 | 50.8 | 51.2 |
Reese Zemitis
|
G | 4 | 29.8 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 9.8 | 5.2 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -12.4 | 35.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.79 | 49.6 | 47.4 |
Isabella Casey
|
G | 4 | 25.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -25 | 3 | -8.3 | -14.7 | 43.8 | 30.8 | 40.0 | -2.65 | 49.7 | 50.0 |
Alaina Dadzie
|
F | 3 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 4.0 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -3.7 | 64.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.69 | 70.6 | 71.4 |
Mariah Hardy
|
F | 4 | 15.2 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.2 | -27 | 3 | -9.0 | -27.1 | 56.2 | 0 | 66.7 | -2.96 | 60.1 | 56.2 |
Ella Kreuzer
|
G | 4 | 23.8 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 6.0 | -5 | 3 | -1.7 | -2.7 | 29.4 | 30.8 | 75.0 | 0.98 | 48.7 | 41.2 |
Anna Kunzwiler
|
G | 4 | 20.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -42 | 3 | -14.0 | -28.7 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -3.32 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
Kaila Richards
|
G | 4 | 13.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 0.2 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -15.6 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.51 | 35.2 | 30.8 |
Grace Feeney
|
G | 2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 1 | 6.0 | 101.4 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Marisa Smith
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Peyton Musial
|
G | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 1 | 6.0 | 101.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.35 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
237 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Elana WeismanTessa LiggioReese ZemitisIsabella CaseyAlaina DadzieElla KreuzerAnna KunzwilerKaila Richards
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 13-22 | 59.1 | 26 | Elana Weisman 38% (10 pts) | Isabella Casey 23% (6 pts) | Elana Weisman 33% (3 misses) | Isabella Casey 33% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 40-78 | 51.3 | 80 | Elana Weisman 28% (22 pts) | Tessa Liggio 22% (18 pts) | Elana Weisman 32% (12 misses) | Isabella Casey 16% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-14 | 21.4 | 6 | Alaina Dadzie 33% (2 pts) | Kaila Richards 33% (2 pts) | Kaila Richards 27% (3 misses) | Tessa Liggio 27% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 8-13 | 61.5 | 16 | Isabella Casey 25% (4 pts) | Alaina Dadzie 12% (2 pts) | Reese Zemitis 40% (2 misses) | Kaila Richards 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-11 | 54.5 | 12 | Tessa Liggio 50% (6 pts) | Alaina Dadzie 33% (4 pts) | Elana Weisman 40% (2 misses) | Anna Kunzwiler 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Reese Zemitis 100% (3 pts) | - | Reese Zemitis 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 2-4 | 50.0 | 6 | Anna Kunzwiler 50% (3 pts) | Ella Kreuzer 50% (3 pts) | Ella Kreuzer 50% (1 misses) | Reese Zemitis 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 11-40 | 27.5 | 33 | Elana Weisman 36% (12 pts) | Reese Zemitis 36% (12 pts) | Reese Zemitis 34% (10 misses) | Elana Weisman 17% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-15 | 33.3 | 15 | Alaina Dadzie 20% (3 pts) | Anna Kunzwiler 20% (3 pts) | Anna Kunzwiler 20% (2 misses) | Isabella Casey 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-38 | 34.2 | 39 | Isabella Casey 23% (9 pts) | Reese Zemitis 23% (9 pts) | Isabella Casey 24% (6 misses) | Reese Zemitis 20% (5 misses) |