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Brown

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

66.0
PPG
75.2
Opp
-9.2
Margin
41.0%
FG%
28.4%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
39.5
RPG
12.0
APG
17.8
TO
70.8
Est. poss./game
59.6
Adj PPG
71.0
Adj Opp PPG
#286
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 941 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1055, returning -56, transfers -58, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 881 (#239) Preseason prior 941 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1055, returning -56, transfers -58, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 912 (#244) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 913 (#244) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -8.2 (#244) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -8.2 (#245) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.259 (#223) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.7 More โ†’ 0.310 (#249) AdjNet -10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.2 More โ†’ 0.318 (#243) AdjNet -10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 71.0 More โ†’ 0.308 (#286) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.308 (#286) AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.319 (#255) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.318 (#255) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 165 | GP 4 More โ†’ 910 (#238) RD 165 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.316 (#239) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Siena Saints L 71 - 82
2026-11-05 vs Army Black Knights L 56 - 81
2026-11-07 vs Bucknell Bison W 73 - 61
2026-11-12 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 64 - 77
2026-11-15 @ Maine Black Bears - Preview
2026-11-19 vs Merrimack Warriors - Preview
2026-11-21 vs UMBC Retrievers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aima Ofunrein Aima Ofunrein F 4 16.8 14.0 7.5 1.0 1.2 0.0 2.0 6.5 15.2 1 4 0.2 0.6 73.1 100.0 77.3 -1.74 78.5 75.0
Gia Powell Gia Powell G 4 28.5 13.0 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 3.0 14.5 0.0 -27 4 -6.8 -9.4 36.2 44.4 66.7 -1.43 43.8 43.1
Nalah Smith Nalah Smith F 4 18.0 7.8 4.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.8 5.0 7.5 -23 4 -5.8 -12.8 60.0 0 70.0 -1.38 63.5 60.0
Sravya Janapati Sravya Janapati G 4 22.0 7.0 3.2 1.2 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.2 3.2 -5 4 -1.2 -2.3 37.9 27.3 0 0.5 48.3 48.3
Charlotte Adams-Lopez Charlotte Adams-Lopez G 4 21.0 6.2 2.8 1.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 3.8 4.2 -50 4 -12.5 -23.8 40.0 20.0 75.0 -3.32 56.7 43.3
Olivia Young Olivia Young G 4 29.8 5.2 8.2 0.8 0.2 1.5 0.8 7.2 8.0 -27 4 -6.8 -9.1 24.1 29.4 50.0 0.1 34.1 32.8
Morgan Ross Morgan Ross F 3 7.3 4.3 3.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 -8 3 -2.7 -14.1 66.7 0 33.3 -0.48 63.0 66.7
Caitlyn Kramer Caitlyn Kramer G 4 20.2 4.0 1.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.8 5.8 11 4 2.8 5.5 45.5 28.6 66.7 1.77 58.7 54.5
Isabella Wesley Isabella Wesley G 4 19.0 3.2 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.2 2.0 3.8 2.8 -13 4 -3.2 -6.9 26.7 25.0 50.0 -0.19 36.8 33.3
Monet Witherspoon Monet Witherspoon G 4 14.0 1.8 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.8 0.5 -25 4 -6.2 -18.0 18.2 0.0 50.0 -1.95 25.7 18.2
Erin Reid Erin Reid G 2 4.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1 2 0.5 6.6 50.0 0.0 0.0 -1.02 34.7 50.0
Charlotte Climenhage Charlotte Climenhage G 3 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 -1.3 -10 3 -3.3 -33.9 0.0 0.0 0 -3.32 0.0 0.0
Lindsay Harzich Lindsay Harzich G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sela Klein Sela Klein G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sophia Eastman Sophia Eastman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Summer Lee Summer Lee F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

229 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Ofunrein36% Powell30% Powell67% Adams-Lopez33% Powell50% Adams-Lopez50% Janapati100% Young30% Powell33% Powell56%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Smith19% Powell29% Powell89% Powell100% Powell60% Janapati43% Wesley33% Young30% Powell29% Janapati38%
Misses: who misses most here

Gia PowellAima OfunreinSravya JanapatiNalah SmithOlivia YoungCharlotte Adams-LopezIsabella Wesley

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 39-65 60.0 78 Aima Ofunrein 36% (28 pts) Nalah Smith 23% (18 pts) Nalah Smith 19% (5 misses) Aima Ofunrein 15% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 20-48 41.7 40 Gia Powell 30% (12 pts) Aima Ofunrein 20% (8 pts) Gia Powell 29% (8 misses) Olivia Young 14% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 3-12 25.0 6 Gia Powell 67% (4 pts) Sravya Janapati 33% (2 pts) Gia Powell 89% (8 misses) Olivia Young 11% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 3-7 42.9 6 Charlotte Adams-Lopez 33% (2 pts) Gia Powell 33% (2 pts) Gia Powell 100% (4 misses) -
Mid-range right 4-9 44.4 8 Gia Powell 50% (4 pts) Charlotte Adams-Lopez 25% (2 pts) Gia Powell 60% (3 misses) Morgan Ross 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-9 22.2 6 Charlotte Adams-Lopez 50% (3 pts) Gia Powell 50% (3 pts) Sravya Janapati 43% (3 misses) Caitlyn Kramer 14% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-7 14.3 3 Sravya Janapati 100% (3 pts) - Isabella Wesley 33% (2 misses) Monet Witherspoon 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 10-37 27.0 30 Olivia Young 30% (9 pts) Sravya Janapati 30% (9 pts) Olivia Young 30% (8 misses) Sravya Janapati 22% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-10 30.0 9 Gia Powell 33% (3 pts) Olivia Young 33% (3 pts) Gia Powell 29% (2 misses) Olivia Young 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 9-25 36.0 27 Gia Powell 56% (15 pts) Aima Ofunrein 11% (3 pts) Sravya Janapati 38% (6 misses) Gia Powell 25% (4 misses)