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Bridgewater St.

Also known as: Bridgewater St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1112 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1003 (#329) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1085 (#110) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -2.6 (#251) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.7 (#326) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.576 (#421) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +60.9 More → 1.000 (#52) NetEff +60.9
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.2 More → 0.384 (#388) NetEff -3.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.8 More → 0.636 (#329) AdjNet +4.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.630 (#329) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.548 (#333) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 65.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 55.6 More → 0.656 (#172) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 55.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.589 (#300) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.620 (#280) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 20 More → 1070 (#222) RD 102 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Stonehill - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 vs UMass Dartmouth - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Amherst - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Rhode Island Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ WPI - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 @ Brandeis - Incomplete score
2025-12-12 vs Eastern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-28 @ Whittier - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Redlands - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Salem St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Anna Maria - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs MCLA - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Westfield St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Framingham St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Worcester St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Fitchburg St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Salem St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Anna Maria - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emilie von der Linden - 13 27.5 12.3 9.1 0.9 0.3 2.5 1.5 8.4 15.2 32 2.1 18.9 61.5 33.3 67.6 -1.95 63.9 61.9
Emilie von der Linde - 4 28.2 10.0 9.0 1.0 0.2 2.0 1.8 10.2 10.2 - - - 39.0 0 53.3 0.93 42.0 39.0
Sophie Bradbury - 17 24.7 9.4 4.1 2.8 1.5 0.3 2.5 11.1 4.5 0 0.0 0.0 31.4 24.7 59.5 -0.28 39.2 36.7
Haley Burchhardt - 17 25.5 9.2 4.5 2.1 1.5 0.1 3.5 8.2 5.6 -4 -0.2 -2.8 42.4 29.4 82.4 -0.0 50.7 46.0
Bridgitt O'Sullivan-Van Etten - 13 20.3 8.2 3.8 0.9 1.0 0.1 1.2 6.5 6.2 22 1.4 12.3 55.3 57.1 66.7 4.07 58.7 57.6
Bridgitt O'Sullivan- - 4 19.2 7.8 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 6.5 5.0 - - - 50.0 66.7 75.0 - 55.8 53.8
Savannah Azoff - 17 16.0 5.7 2.6 1.2 1.6 0.0 1.6 7.0 2.6 66 4.1 69.0 29.4 27.0 83.3 7.05 39.0 36.6
Reese Bartlett - 17 25.6 5.5 3.6 2.5 1.3 0.3 1.7 5.5 5.9 54 3.9 33.5 31.9 31.2 78.3 -2.34 44.7 39.9
Lexi Thompson - 3 17.5 4.7 2.0 1.3 1.3 0.0 3.0 7.0 -0.7 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 3.58 30.8 33.3
Chloe Azoff - 13 12.6 4.1 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 1.4 4.6 2.4 -18 -1.5 -38.2 30.0 31.4 85.7 -0.86 42.0 39.2
Caitlyn Clark - 5 6.8 3.6 3.6 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 3.2 4.4 -9 -1.3 -47.5 43.8 0 100.0 0.27 50.7 43.8
Shania Gardner - 13 8.2 3.2 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.9 2.8 2.5 -22 -2.4 -68.2 50.0 33.3 40.0 -2.92 53.7 54.2
Mairead Gallagher - 17 18.3 2.8 2.7 2.7 1.2 0.1 2.4 3.0 4.1 -20 -1.2 -20.3 35.3 33.3 45.5 -0.99 38.7 36.3
Emily Quinn - 14 11.9 2.7 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.8 2.7 1.0 13 0.9 21.4 36.8 40.0 75.0 0.15 45.8 42.1
Eva Boudreau - 9 5.1 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 2.2 1.9 -12 -1.5 -67.8 45.0 50.0 0 -1.4 55.0 55.0
Ashleigh Johnson - 16 9.0 2.2 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.1 1.6 2.0 -24 -1.6 -54.1 44.0 28.6 70.6 -2.48 55.4 48.0
Karlie Cosme - 7 4.4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 -15 -1.9 -77.4 25.0 0 0 -1.04 25.0 25.0
Madison Lent - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG