Bridgewater (VA)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1141 (#33) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#75) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.1 (#92) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.936 (#213) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.976 (#28) | NetEff +26.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.905 (#209) | AdjNet +19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.907 (#206) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.696 (#241) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 52.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Mary Washington | W | 58 - 31 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 77 - 37 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Methodist | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Hood | W | 60 - 48 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Stevenson | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Wilson | W | 96 - 37 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Wash. & Lee | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Ferrum | W | 39 - 36 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | W | 53 - 37 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Hollins | W | 61 - 43 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Randolph | W | 58 - 37 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Averett | W | 65 - 41 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Roanoke | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Guilford | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 67 - 33 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 67 - 37 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 41 - 53 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Guilford | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Hollins | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Roanoke | W | 71 - 41 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Ferrum | W | 51 - 38 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Ferrum | L | 57 - 63 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Alsberry | - | 26 | 28.3 | 12.5 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 10.6 | 56 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 48.3 | 0.0 | 81.4 | -0.16 | 51.0 | 48.3 |
| Riley Corcoran | - | 24 | 26.8 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 7.1 | 110 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 40.3 | 22.7 | 76.9 | 0.71 | 48.3 | 42.5 |
| Jay Garcia | - | 25 | 27.3 | 10.2 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 12.3 | 105 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 42.5 | 35.3 | 75.9 | 0.83 | 51.3 | 45.3 |
| Jasmine Griffin | - | 12 | 22.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 6.0 | 41 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 37.5 | 26.7 | 73.5 | 0.18 | 51.3 | 43.8 |
| India Dailey | - | 26 | 13.7 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 18 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 41.6 | 34.1 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 49.5 | 47.6 |
| Alexis Edmonds | - | 26 | 17.8 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 56 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 35.2 | 26.5 | 57.1 | 0.1 | 41.7 | 40.6 |
| Jaiden Polston | - | 26 | 15.5 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 139 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 53.8 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.26 | 57.3 | 53.8 |
| Autumn Gentry | - | 26 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 69 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 36.5 | 36.0 | 75.0 | 0.82 | 49.3 | 47.1 |
| Aylin Humpherys | - | 23 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 80 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 33.8 | 41.4 | 58.8 | 1.03 | 44.6 | 42.3 |
| Reagan Maynard | - | 23 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 33 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 37.5 | 26.3 | 50.0 | 0.33 | 43.9 | 42.7 |
| Rosemary Pierson | - | 26 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 27.9 | 21.7 | 60.0 | -0.28 | 38.3 | 33.7 |
| Asia Williams | - | 26 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 79 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 31.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 1.04 | 34.9 | 34.4 |
| My'la Green | - | 26 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 31 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 29.4 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0.18 | 36.9 | 33.8 |
| Abbie Baker | - | 26 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 42 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 28.6 | 0 | 16.7 | 0.37 | 27.9 | 28.6 |
| Angelina Yann | - | 26 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -12 | -0.5 | -1.6 | 25.0 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -0.39 | 36.6 | 31.2 |
| Alexis Woods | - | 25 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 9 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Hailey Williams | - | 10 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -21 | -0.6 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Taylor Lester | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Laura Hogan | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -67 | -11.2 | -27.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Rayquell Allen | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG