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Bowling Green

Also known as: Bowling Green Falcons, Bowling Green
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

86.3
PPG
76.0
Opp
+10.3
Margin
53.1%
FG%
41.8%
3P%
65.6%
FT%
37.7
RPG
15.3
APG
12.0
TO
67.3
Est. poss./game
74.2
Adj PPG
75.9
Adj Opp PPG
#190
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 904 (returning production + recruiting): last season 947, returning -43, transfers -10, freshmen +10 More โ†’ 935 (#171) Preseason prior 904 (returning production + recruiting): last season 947, returning -43, transfers -10, freshmen +10
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 1001 (#150) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 1002 (#150) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -8.7 (#281) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -8.7 (#281) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.599 (#127) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.2 More โ†’ 0.456 (#179) AdjNet -1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.6 More โ†’ 0.431 (#189) AdjNet -3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 75.9 More โ†’ 0.448 (#190) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 75.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 76.0 More โ†’ 0.448 (#190) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 76.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.439 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.439 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 191 | GP 3 More โ†’ 1023 (#133) RD 191 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.413 (#198) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Georgia State Panthers W 76 - 73
2026-11-09 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 95 - 79
2026-11-12 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 88 - 76
2026-11-17 @ William & Mary Tribe - Preview
2026-11-21 vs Northern Illinois Huskies - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Makhi Leach Makhi Leach G 3 34.0 17.7 3.7 5.7 1.3 0.0 2.0 11.7 14.7 27 3 9.0 10.5 51.4 44.4 76.5 0.34 62.4 57.1
Zach Howell Zach Howell G 3 35.0 16.7 6.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 11.3 12.7 38 3 12.7 14.5 50.0 47.8 100.0 0.95 69.1 66.2
Tristan Beckford Tristan Beckford G 3 25.3 15.7 6.3 0.3 1.3 0.7 3.3 7.0 14.0 30 3 10.0 15.9 85.7 50.0 45.0 -0.44 78.9 90.5
Josiah Shackelford Josiah Shackelford G 3 31.7 15.7 6.3 3.3 1.0 0.0 2.3 12.3 11.7 26 3 8.7 11.1 45.9 44.4 62.5 0.43 58.0 56.8
Preston Squire Preston Squire F 3 28.0 7.7 5.3 1.7 0.0 0.7 1.7 6.3 7.3 28 3 9.3 13.5 47.4 16.7 75.0 -0.18 55.4 52.6
Juan Cranford Jr. Juan Cranford Jr. G 3 17.7 7.3 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.3 3.7 6.7 8 3 2.7 6.0 72.7 83.3 100.0 -0.86 96.2 95.5
Camden Karel Camden Karel F 3 8.3 2.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.0 1.3 -7 3 -2.3 -11.1 50.0 100.0 0 -0.5 58.3 58.3
Christ Essandoko Christ Essandoko F 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2 1 2.0 14.6 100.0 0 0 0.06 100.0 100.0
Trey Simmons Trey Simmons ATH 3 10.7 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.7 -1 3 -0.3 -1.3 20.0 0.0 50.0 -0.52 29.6 20.0
KJ Torbert KJ Torbert G 3 5.0 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.3 1 3 0.3 2.6 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.04 51.5 33.3
Leek Ateny Leek Ateny F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Christian Dedivanaj Christian Dedivanaj G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Aiden Goins Aiden Goins F 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 5 1 5.0 27.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.38 0.0 0.0
Jayden Johnson Jayden Johnson G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 1 -2.0 -55.8 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0
Talan Staley Talan Staley G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Bowling Green players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Bowling Green game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Daeqwon Plowden 2017-22 NBA Sacramento Kings 9 10.0 2.3 0.9 0.2 11-13 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast 9 GP, 2.3 PPG, 0.9 RPG, 0.2 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-13 Daeqwon Plowden NBA Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers 2 0 0 0 Box
2026-11-10 Daeqwon Plowden NBA Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic 2 0 0 0 Box
2026-11-08 Daeqwon Plowden NBA Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat 12 6 0 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

175 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Beckford29% Leach29% Shackelford50% Karel50% Cranford50% Howell38% Leach50% Shackelford33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Leach31% Leach41% Shackelford100% Shackelford100% Leach100% Shackelford20% Torbert33% Howell41% Squire44% Shackelford33%
Misses: who misses most here

Zach HowellJosiah ShackelfordMakhi LeachTristan BeckfordJuan Cranford Jr.Preston SquireCamden KarelKJ Torbert

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 41-54 75.9 82 Tristan Beckford 29% (24 pts) Makhi Leach 22% (18 pts) Makhi Leach 31% (4 misses) Zach Howell 31% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 17-34 50.0 34 Makhi Leach 29% (10 pts) Tristan Beckford 24% (8 pts) Makhi Leach 41% (7 misses) Josiah Shackelford 24% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 2-5 40.0 4 Josiah Shackelford 50% (2 pts) Zach Howell 50% (2 pts) Josiah Shackelford 100% (3 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Josiah Shackelford 100% (2 misses) -
Mid-range right 0-1 0.0 0 - - Makhi Leach 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 2-7 28.6 6 Camden Karel 50% (3 pts) Zach Howell 50% (3 pts) Josiah Shackelford 20% (1 misses) Juan Cranford Jr. 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-5 40.0 6 Juan Cranford Jr. 50% (3 pts) Tristan Beckford 50% (3 pts) KJ Torbert 33% (1 misses) Trey Simmons 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 16-33 48.5 48 Zach Howell 38% (18 pts) Josiah Shackelford 31% (15 pts) Zach Howell 41% (7 misses) Josiah Shackelford 24% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-13 30.8 12 Makhi Leach 50% (6 pts) Zach Howell 50% (6 pts) Preston Squire 44% (4 misses) Makhi Leach 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 9-21 42.9 27 Josiah Shackelford 33% (9 pts) Juan Cranford Jr. 22% (6 pts) Josiah Shackelford 33% (4 misses) Makhi Leach 17% (2 misses)