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Boise State

Also known as: Boise State Broncos, Boise State
Program History

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1502 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1426 (#92) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +30.1 (#101) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.645 (#36) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.9 More → 0.688 (#40) AdjNet +6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.0 More → 0.692 (#39) AdjNet +7.0

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-11-24 vs Utah Valley W 80 - 68
2003-11-29 vs Eastern Oregon W 113 - 67
2003-12-02 vs Brigham Young L 69 - 75
2003-12-13 vs Idaho L 64 - 79
2003-12-16 vs Portland State L 74 - 75
2003-12-28 vs Portland W 77 - 72
2004-01-15 vs Fresno State W 78 - 61
2004-01-17 vs Nevada L 75 - 79
2004-01-29 vs Louisiana Tech W 68 - 66
2004-01-31 vs Southern Methodist W 61 - 59
2004-02-05 vs Tulsa L 62 - 73
2004-02-07 vs Rice L 69 - 80
2004-02-18 vs Hawaii L 57 - 74
2004-02-21 vs San Jose State W 72 - 51
2004-03-06 vs UTEP L 45 - 59
2004-03-12 @ - L 73 - 85
2004-03-17 vs Nevada-Las Vegas W 84 - 69
2004-03-20 vs Milwaukee L 70 - 73

2004 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aaron Haynes F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jermaine Blackburn G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Bryan Defares G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Coby Karl G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jason Ellis F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Booker Nabors G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Eric Lane G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Franco Harris G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Joe Skiffer G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Josh Bates F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kostas Avgerinos C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Richard Fried F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG