Bluffton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 968 (#304) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 976 (#363) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 952 (#559) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.6 (#131) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.4 (#417) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.464 (#468) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.708 (#274) | NetEff +6.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.392 (#416) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.380 (#414) | AdjNet -4.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.435 (#416) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.451 (#480) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 58.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.432 (#429) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.430 (#434) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 923 (#396) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Olivet | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 66 - 35 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Kenyon | W | 91 - 61 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Adrian | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Heidelberg | W | 81 - 52 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 48 - 53 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Transylvania | L | 45 - 56 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Berea | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Wooster | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Franklin | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Earlham | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Berea | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 46 - 53 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Hanover | W | 57 - 51 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Manchester | L | 38 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Franklin | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Earlham | W | 86 - 63 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Transylvania | L | 53 - 80 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Brown | - | 16 | 32.1 | 15.4 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 14.8 | 10.2 | -58 | -2.1 | -26.6 | 36.3 | 20.0 | 77.5 | -3.54 | 44.5 | 37.3 |
| Karlie Niekamp | - | 19 | 24.4 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 15 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 42.4 | 36.4 | 56.2 | 2.01 | 45.5 | 43.5 |
| Rachel Clark | - | 17 | 33.1 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.8 | 8.1 | -28 | -1.4 | -8.9 | 46.6 | 34.1 | 75.6 | -0.62 | 56.3 | 52.3 |
| Lacie Fenstermaker | - | 19 | 26.3 | 7.0 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 8.4 | -86 | -3.9 | -21.5 | 35.9 | 14.3 | 72.2 | -0.41 | 41.3 | 36.9 |
| Alexis Stevely | - | 19 | 19.7 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 1.8 | -23 | -1.0 | -12.2 | 34.4 | 29.9 | 45.5 | -2.68 | 45.1 | 44.8 |
| Macee Heckathorn | - | 19 | 16.5 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 3.9 | -31 | -1.4 | -15.4 | 32.1 | 16.7 | 70.8 | -1.12 | 37.4 | 34.0 |
| Mackenzea Townsend | - | 14 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 5.4 | -57 | -3.6 | -33.4 | 49.2 | 0 | 78.9 | -3.85 | 54.0 | 49.2 |
| Jessica Moore | - | 19 | 23.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.9 | -33 | -1.5 | -11.1 | 26.4 | 29.7 | 80.0 | -0.28 | 40.9 | 36.8 |
| Erin Schaufelberger | - | 11 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | -13 | -1.1 | -22.7 | 30.4 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.0 | 31.2 | 30.4 |
| Hayley Burke | - | 13 | 9.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -13 | -1.0 | -9.4 | 18.8 | 22.2 | 70.0 | -0.11 | 36.8 | 25.0 |
| Kacey Like | - | 10 | 9.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | -19 | -2.1 | -12.7 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.22 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Lillian Wakefield | - | 6 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 42.0 | 33.3 |
| Katie Sims | - | 13 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | -0.4 | -29 | -2.2 | -40.3 | 17.6 | 15.4 | 0 | 0.22 | 23.5 | 23.5 |
| Sharon Keefer | - | 8 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 | -0.8 | -7 | -1.0 | -12.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 10.7 | 5.9 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG