🐻⬇️🏀

Blackburn

Also known as: Blackburn
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 940 (#349) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 714 (#574) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 830 (#663) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -29.9 (#393) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -27.3 (#657) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.008 (#716) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.0 More → 0.647 (#303) NetEff +5.0
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.6 More → 0.117 (#482) NetEff -14.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -64.4 More → 0.000 (#734) AdjNet -64.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -65.9 More → 0.000 (#733) AdjNet -65.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 44.7 | AdjD 88.4 More → 0.018 (#740) AdjO 44.7 | AdjD 88.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 81.2 More → 0.163 (#679) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 81.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.063 (#685) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.075 (#683) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 687 (#542) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Aurora L 48 - 105
2025-11-08 vs Lake Forest L 67 - 80
2025-11-11 @ Hannibal-La Grange L 74 - 78
2025-11-15 vs Dominican (IL) L 60 - 81
2025-11-19 vs Monmouth (IL) L 70 - 82
2025-11-22 @ Beloit L 70 - 75
2025-11-25 @ Eureka W 91 - 77
2025-12-03 @ Webster L 47 - 101
2025-12-16 @ Hilbert W 73 - 65
2025-12-17 vs North Park L 59 - 74
2026-01-10 vs MUW L 75 - 77
2026-01-14 @ Spalding L 56 - 78
2026-01-17 vs Westminster (MO) W 82 - 70
2026-01-21 @ Greenville L 70 - 71
2026-01-28 @ Webster L 62 - 80
2026-01-31 vs Principia L 72 - 89
2026-02-05 @ MUW W 76 - 74
2026-02-07 @ Lyon L 84 - 107

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Eizaenirys Allende Q - 1 32.0 24.0 6.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 17.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 66.7 - 53.0 50.0
Gabriela Solis - 1 30.0 18.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 10.0 -2 -2.0 -5.3 33.3 20.0 71.4 -0.32 42.7 36.1
Eizaenirys Allende Quinones - 15 23.8 15.0 6.1 1.8 2.5 0.5 3.4 12.2 10.3 -107 -5.9 -39.7 49.2 0.0 62.5 0.68 52.4 49.2
India Harris - 9 21.4 12.6 3.7 0.9 1.3 0.1 1.6 9.9 7.1 -102 -8.5 -38.0 48.3 0 64.3 -0.93 52.6 48.3
Kenadee Frey - 13 31.1 12.4 4.3 2.2 1.2 0.2 3.2 9.6 7.3 -134 -7.9 -58.0 37.6 22.2 78.6 -1.13 51.7 42.4
Frey, Kenadee - 1 35.0 12.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 10.0 - - - 22.2 28.6 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Harris, India - 1 27.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Quinines, Eizaenirys - 1 22.0 11.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 44.4 0 75.0 - 51.1 44.4
Mitchell, Zoe - 1 27.0 10.0 13.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 19.0 - - - 80.0 0 100.0 - 85.0 80.0
Kailynn Kruep - 7 24.3 8.7 4.4 2.3 2.0 1.0 4.3 8.4 5.7 - - - 32.2 23.3 72.7 - 44.4 38.1
Gaby Solis - 15 28.0 7.0 3.8 2.7 2.1 0.2 5.4 9.4 1.0 -122 -6.8 -34.4 27.0 25.5 51.6 -2.69 33.9 31.6
Cheresse Mitchell - 11 23.1 6.7 7.0 2.1 1.2 0.0 2.2 6.2 8.6 -79 -6.6 -55.0 42.6 28.6 57.1 0.56 49.9 48.5
Benoit, Becca - 1 15.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 79.8 50.0
Zoe Mitchell - 11 21.2 5.5 5.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.3 3.8 6.9 -46 -3.1 -69.1 47.6 0 67.7 -0.31 54.8 47.6
Vicki McGee - 16 18.0 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.9 0.1 3.4 5.6 0.3 -93 -4.9 -29.8 26.7 29.3 67.7 -1.62 41.5 36.1
Elexus Frey - 13 18.6 5.4 3.2 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.3 -85 -5.0 -55.9 33.9 36.5 61.1 1.68 52.3 50.0
Becca Benoit - 13 16.3 5.2 4.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.9 5.2 3.3 -58 -3.6 -33.7 42.6 0 37.5 -1.05 42.6 42.6
Boeders, Abby - 1 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Amya Harris - 8 19.2 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.5 0.8 -92 -11.5 -62.0 25.0 22.2 76.9 -3.09 40.7 33.3
Abby Borders - 13 11.2 3.2 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.2 -80 -5.7 -41.5 45.2 40.7 75.0 -1.33 64.1 62.9
MeGee, Vickie - 1 24.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 6.0 -7.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 25.0 - 19.3 16.7
Frey, Elexus - 1 21.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Gracie Jent - 9 21.6 2.9 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.0 1.2 3.0 1.1 -110 -12.2 -38.8 29.6 15.8 70.0 -2.32 41.4 35.2
Vickie McGee - 1 23.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 -2.0 -93 -4.9 -29.8 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.62 5.1 0.0
Annette Bennett Ramo - 1 16.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Annette Bennett Ramos - 6 11.5 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.5 2.0 -1.2 -62 -8.9 -52.9 16.7 0.0 25.0 -1.07 18.2 16.7
Nia Fulcher - 4 2.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.0 -4 -1.0 -16.5 0.0 0.0 0 2.04 0.0 0.0
Solis, Gabriela - 1 20.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG