Black Hills St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1178 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1248 (#6) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.6 (#36) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.776 (#171) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.740 (#101) | NetEff +9.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.858 (#191) | AdjNet +15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.861 (#191) | AdjNet +15.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.753 (#177) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 70.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Van De Griend | - | 1 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.81 | 79.2 | 79.2 |
| Cam Lowe | - | 27 | 31.3 | 15.9 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 11.1 | 13.8 | 83 | 3.3 | 8.1 | 51.0 | 40.0 | 81.0 | 1.1 | 63.9 | 60.7 |
| Quave Propst-Allison | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -11 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 87.5 | -0.73 | 55.5 | 40.0 |
| Brayden Carter | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 85.7 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.39 | 84.1 | 85.7 |
| Caelin Hearne | - | 26 | 28.2 | 13.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 77 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 46.2 | 39.2 | 72.6 | -0.07 | 57.1 | 54.7 |
| Daryl Rice Jr | - | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 50.5 | 45.8 |
| Mason Honeyman | - | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -84 | -2.7 | -9.6 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.66 | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| Yaak Yaak | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.85 | 65.8 | 66.7 |
| KJ Garrett | - | 1 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | -47 | -2.8 | -10.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.11 | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Logan Threatt | - | 1 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | -42 | -1.3 | -5.1 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.53 | 45.0 | 42.9 |
| Jaeton Hackley | - | 27 | 29.2 | 11.8 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 6.9 | 77 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 43.7 | 26.2 | 73.3 | 0.38 | 49.6 | 47.4 |
| Jaxon Gunville | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -43 | -1.5 | -2.8 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.94 | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Ty Allred | - | 1 | 35.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 72 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 58.3 | 61.1 |
| Christopher Speller | - | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -95 | -4.8 | -10.9 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Trey Brandt | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 60 | 4.6 | 37.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 79.8 | 50.0 |
| Tristan Hurdle | - | 20 | 17.4 | 8.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 60 | 2.1 | 19.2 | 46.3 | 46.5 | 70.0 | -0.2 | 63.9 | 63.4 |
| Joel Speckman | - | 24 | 21.8 | 7.7 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 9.6 | 97 | 4.0 | 21.9 | 57.4 | 0 | 65.9 | 0.21 | 59.5 | 57.4 |
| Jaden Wysocki | - | 1 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -50 | -2.2 | -10.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Will Mortimore | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -31 | -1.2 | -3.1 | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | 0.65 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Harvey White | - | 1 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -25 | -0.7 | -2.4 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.85 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| John Shanklin | - | 27 | 15.6 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 43 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 70.5 | 0 | 59.3 | 1.29 | 70.2 | 70.5 |
| BJ Woodruff | - | 27 | 21.3 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 37 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 37.4 | 38.3 | 77.8 | -0.06 | 50.7 | 48.6 |
| Jack Haggett | - | 27 | 15.0 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 47 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 55.4 | 37.0 | 65.8 | 0.7 | 63.0 | 60.9 |
| Caleb McGill | - | 1 | 34.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.17 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Ayouba Berthe | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | -5.0 | 62 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.83 | 18.2 | 18.2 |
| Caden Holmes | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 88 | 3.5 | 59.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Maslow | - | 1 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 44 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.52 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dylan Gichaba | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 48 | 1.5 | 21.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.04 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Emilek Jallow | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 139 | 5.3 | 61.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Ben Kaye | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10 | 0.7 | 34.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.74 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sufyan Elkannan | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -77 | -4.5 | -19.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Deegan Williams | - | 26 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 137 | 7.2 | 25.9 | 56.7 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 1.08 | 67.7 | 68.3 |
| Blake Volmer | - | 27 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 58 | 2.3 | 27.9 | 37.2 | 30.4 | 80.0 | 0.09 | 47.6 | 45.3 |
| Dawson Mohr | - | 27 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -28 | -4.7 | -174.1 | 33.3 | 35.0 | 0 | -1.0 | 47.9 | 47.9 |
| Neal Mosser | - | 15 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Jackson Edman | - | 20 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Matias Aldana | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Johnson | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavon Phillips | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Johnnie Reed | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -88 | -3.8 | -105.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Spann | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Cook | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 162 | 4.9 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Braelyn Dale | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61 | 8.7 | 357.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Groom | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -1.0 | -16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam West | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Lual Lual | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30 | 5.0 | 130.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Rron Radoniqi | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Carson Yale | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Harley Kent | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35 | 7.0 | 32.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Pitman | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Eric Pollert | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 187.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Tevin Riehl | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39 | 2.8 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Thyne | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Braun | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24 | 4.0 | 528.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson McAdams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -3.1 | -22.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG