Birmingham-Southern
Also known as: Birmingham-Southern Panthers
Program History
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 916 (#199) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1047 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1076 (#64) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -6.0 (#236) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -6.5 (#244) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.634 (#92) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.264 (#235) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.258 (#235) | AdjNet -9.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.392 (#229) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.475 (#189) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.434 (#196) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.450 (#184) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1020 (#143) | RD 178 | GP 26 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | UAB | L | 53 - 71 |
| 2002-11-27 | @ | South Alabama | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2002-12-02 | vs | Stetson | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2002-12-08 | vs | Louisiana | W | 92 - 86 |
| 2002-12-15 | @ | Florida State | L | 47 - 56 |
| 2002-12-19 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 60 - 47 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | Alabama State | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2002-12-29 | @ | Robert Morris | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2003-01-02 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Charleston Southern | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2003-01-08 | vs | Radford | W | 83 - 65 |
| 2003-01-12 | vs | Winthrop | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 88 - 71 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | High Point | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2003-01-20 | @ | Elon | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Savannah State | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2003-01-29 | vs | Liberty | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Coastal Carolina | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2003-02-05 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | UNC Asheville | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2003-02-10 | @ | Winthrop | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Elon | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2003-02-19 | vs | High Point | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Liberty | W | 53 - 50 |
| 2003-02-24 | @ | Radford | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2003-02-27 | vs | Savannah State | W | 92 - 75 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.