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Birmingham-Southern

Season: 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
Also known as: Birmingham-Southern Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 916 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1047 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More โ†’ 1076 (#64) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ -6.0 (#236) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -6.5 (#244) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.634 (#92) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.9 More โ†’ 0.264 (#235) AdjNet -8.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.1 More โ†’ 0.258 (#235) AdjNet -9.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 67.0 More โ†’ 0.392 (#229) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.9 More โ†’ 0.475 (#189) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.434 (#196) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.450 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 26 More โ†’ 1020 (#143) RD 178 | GP 26

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-11-22 @ UAB L 53 - 71
2002-11-27 @ South Alabama L 64 - 77
2002-12-02 vs Stetson W 75 - 59
2002-12-08 vs Louisiana W 92 - 86
2002-12-15 @ Florida State L 47 - 56
2002-12-19 vs Nicholls State W 60 - 47
2002-12-21 @ Alabama State L 53 - 58
2002-12-29 @ Robert Morris W 75 - 73
2003-01-02 @ Coastal Carolina L 64 - 74
2003-01-04 @ Charleston Southern W 69 - 61
2003-01-08 vs Radford W 83 - 65
2003-01-12 vs Winthrop L 67 - 74
2003-01-15 vs UNC Asheville W 88 - 71
2003-01-18 @ High Point W 64 - 60
2003-01-20 @ Elon W 64 - 52
2003-01-25 @ Savannah State W 70 - 58
2003-01-29 vs Liberty W 72 - 55
2003-02-01 vs Coastal Carolina L 59 - 65
2003-02-05 vs Charleston Southern W 63 - 60
2003-02-08 @ UNC Asheville L 68 - 82
2003-02-10 @ Winthrop L 63 - 67
2003-02-15 vs Elon W 76 - 67
2003-02-19 vs High Point W 63 - 62
2003-02-22 @ Liberty W 53 - 50
2003-02-24 @ Radford W 67 - 57
2003-02-27 vs Savannah State W 92 - 75

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.