Birmingham Squadron
Model Outputs
2017-2018
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1120 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1019 (#12) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.2 (#16) | HCA +1.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.518 (#15) | - |
2018 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-11-03 | @ | GRD | L | 85 - 86 |
| 2017-11-05 | @ | MNE | L | 96 - 102 |
| 2017-11-10 | vs | MNE | L | 101 - 116 |
| 2017-11-12 | @ | LAK | L | 95 - 97 |
| 2017-11-14 | @ | GBO | W | 123 - 108 |
| 2017-11-17 | vs | DEL | W | 106 - 84 |
| 2017-11-18 | vs | GBO | W | 106 - 92 |
| 2017-11-21 | vs | WCB | W | 105 - 98 |
| 2017-11-24 | @ | OKL | L | 115 - 120 |
| 2017-11-25 | @ | MHU | W | 117 - 112 |
| 2017-11-27 | @ | SXF | L | 100 - 136 |
| 2017-11-29 | @ | WCB | L | 90 - 105 |
| 2017-12-01 | vs | GRD | L | 105 - 108 |
| 2017-12-02 | vs | RNO | L | 110 - 121 |
| 2017-12-08 | @ | MNE | L | 93 - 113 |
| 2017-12-13 | vs | WIS | W | 115 - 99 |
| 2017-12-16 | @ | WIS | L | 110 - 111 |
| 2017-12-21 | vs | SBL | W | 103 - 100 |
| 2017-12-23 | vs | DEL | L | 133 - 134 |
| 2017-12-26 | @ | LIN | L | 90 - 96 |
| 2017-12-28 | vs | FWN | W | 111 - 104 |
| 2017-12-30 | vs | SCW | W | 119 - 110 |
| 2018-01-03 | @ | DEL | W | 112 - 111 |
| 2018-01-05 | vs | RAP | L | 85 - 100 |
| 2018-01-06 | vs | LIN | W | 109 - 103 |
| 2018-01-10 | vs | NAS | L | 96 - 102 |
| 2018-01-17 | @ | LAK | W | 118 - 115 |
| 2018-01-19 | vs | CTN | L | 110 - 111 |
| 2018-01-20 | @ | DEL | W | 128 - 123 |
| 2018-01-24 | @ | WIS | W | 95 - 94 |
| 2018-01-27 | @ | WES | W | 120 - 112 |
| 2018-01-28 | vs | LAK | W | 110 - 98 |
| 2018-02-02 | vs | LIN | W | 114 - 102 |
| 2018-02-03 | vs | RAP | L | 97 - 103 |
| 2018-02-07 | vs | ACC | W | 121 - 101 |
| 2018-02-10 | @ | GBO | W | 105 - 104 |
| 2018-02-21 | @ | RAP | L | 94 - 104 |
| 2018-02-23 | @ | WCB | W | 117 - 107 |
| 2018-02-24 | vs | CTN | L | 100 - 102 |
| 2018-02-28 | vs | GBO | W | 129 - 122 |
| 2018-03-02 | vs | LAK | W | 110 - 106 |
| 2018-03-04 | @ | IWA | W | 109 - 98 |
| 2018-03-09 | vs | MNE | W | 114 - 108 |
| 2018-03-11 | @ | CTN | W | 112 - 108 |
| 2018-03-13 | vs | WES | L | 88 - 92 |
| 2018-03-15 | @ | GRD | L | 102 - 112 |
| 2018-03-17 | @ | FWN | L | 96 - 115 |
| 2018-03-23 | @ | WES | W | 100 - 96 |
| 2018-03-24 | vs | FWN | W | 113 - 99 |
| 2018-03-31 | vs | LAK | W | 96 - 90 |
| 2018-04-03 | @ | FWN | W | 119 - 116 |
| 2018-04-06 | vs | RAP | L | 106 - 118 |
2018 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Taylor | G | 4 | 0.0 | 21.2 | 2.8 | 10.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 16.8 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 49.3 | 44.4 | 78.9 | - | 56.4 | 52.2 |
| Tyler Dorsey | G | 10 | 0.0 | 19.1 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 15.9 | 11.9 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 42.2 | 75.9 | - | 55.6 | 53.1 |
| Raphiael Putney | F | 48 | 0.0 | 16.4 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 13.1 | 14.3 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 34.6 | 78.7 | - | 57.0 | 53.8 |
| Andrew White III | F | 17 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 12.1 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 48.8 | 41.8 | 72.2 | - | 61.6 | 60.0 |
| Jeremy Evans | G | 42 | 0.0 | 15.5 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 9.6 | 17.6 | - | - | - | 62.4 | 35.3 | 77.8 | - | 69.8 | 66.9 |
| Josh Magette | G | 38 | 0.0 | 15.4 | 3.4 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 13.9 | 13.9 | - | - | - | 37.6 | 30.3 | 80.7 | - | 49.2 | 43.9 |
| Roscoe Smith | - | 14 | 0.0 | 13.9 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 10.1 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 53.9 | 28.0 | 75.0 | - | 60.1 | 56.4 |
| Mike Muscala | C | 3 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 75.7 | 72.9 |
| Jaylen Morris | G | 38 | 0.0 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 51.1 | 29.3 | 67.3 | - | 57.2 | 54.8 |
| Tyler Cavanaugh | F | 14 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 6.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 44.6 | 39.7 | 91.3 | - | 57.1 | 53.5 |
| DeAndre' Bembry | F | 4 | 0.0 | 11.2 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 9.8 | 10.8 | - | - | - | 48.7 | 0.0 | 63.6 | - | 51.3 | 48.7 |
| John Gillon | G | 30 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 45.4 | 35.9 | 81.4 | - | 59.5 | 51.9 |
| Nicolas Brussino | - | 8 | 0.0 | 9.4 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 10.8 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 36.7 | 100.0 | - | 59.0 | 55.8 |
| Chris McCullough | - | 7 | 0.0 | 9.1 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 25.0 | 86.7 | - | 52.8 | 47.2 |
| Jeremy Hollowell | F | 51 | 0.0 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 44.6 | 32.9 | 64.7 | - | 52.6 | 51.0 |
| Craig Sword | G | 51 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 8.1 | - | - | - | 47.0 | 28.6 | 74.1 | - | 56.4 | 51.0 |
| Jordan Mathews | G | 50 | 0.0 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.2 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 37.4 | 30.9 | 68.8 | - | 49.0 | 45.7 |
| DeAndre Daniels | - | 3 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 38.5 | 25.0 | - | 39.6 | 40.4 |
| Beau Beech | F | 21 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 37.0 | 33.3 | 78.6 | - | 52.5 | 48.0 |
| Derrick Marks | G | 29 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 35.1 | 26.2 | 73.9 | - | 42.3 | 39.2 |
| Miles Plumlee | C | 2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Daesung Lee | - | 11 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 29.4 | 62.5 | - | 50.9 | 47.9 |
| Tommy Williams | - | 41 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 35.5 | 21.7 | 66.7 | - | 41.3 | 37.9 |
| Chris Braswell | C | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG