Birmingham Squadron
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 712 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 844 (#18) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.4 (#18) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.257 (#19) | - |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | @ | WES | L | 79 - 83 |
| 2015-11-20 | vs | DEL | L | 93 - 103 |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | SXF | L | 82 - 98 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ | FWN | W | 90 - 85 |
| 2015-12-03 | vs | IWA | W | 114 - 108 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | MNE | L | 92 - 111 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ | MNE | L | 97 - 110 |
| 2015-12-09 | @ | RAP | L | 80 - 101 |
| 2015-12-12 | vs | MNE | W | 103 - 102 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ | DEL | L | 106 - 118 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | CTN | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2015-12-21 | @ | WES | L | 92 - 100 |
| 2015-12-27 | @ | DEL | L | 110 - 113 |
| 2015-12-29 | vs | TEX | W | 125 - 120 |
| 2015-12-30 | vs | FWN | L | 80 - 106 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | GRD | L | 95 - 99 |
| 2016-01-08 | @ | AUS | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2016-01-10 | vs | BAK | W | 97 - 87 |
| 2016-01-13 | vs | FWN | W | 104 - 82 |
| 2016-01-15 | vs | WES | W | 91 - 89 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | DEL | L | 107 - 113 |
| 2016-01-18 | vs | CTN | L | 95 - 111 |
| 2016-01-21 | vs | RAP | L | 91 - 111 |
| 2016-01-24 | @ | WES | L | 74 - 94 |
| 2016-01-27 | @ | RAP | L | 96 - 97 |
| 2016-01-29 | vs | MNE | L | 90 - 102 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | RAP | W | 100 - 83 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | DEL | W | 100 - 97 |
| 2016-02-05 | vs | GRD | L | 100 - 104 |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | SXF | L | 83 - 85 |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | GRD | L | 106 - 111 |
| 2016-02-17 | vs | MNE | L | 97 - 121 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ | SXF | L | 91 - 105 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | SXF | L | 97 - 117 |
| 2016-02-23 | @ | RNO | L | 105 - 131 |
| 2016-02-25 | @ | LAD | L | 93 - 107 |
| 2016-02-28 | vs | RAP | L | 111 - 113 |
| 2016-03-04 | vs | RGV | L | 106 - 118 |
| 2016-03-05 | vs | WES | L | 94 - 98 |
| 2016-03-10 | @ | MNE | L | 95 - 111 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ | CTN | L | 99 - 117 |
| 2016-03-16 | vs | IWA | L | 102 - 106 |
| 2016-03-18 | vs | WES | L | 95 - 113 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ | RAP | L | 104 - 108 |
| 2016-03-21 | @ | IWA | L | 100 - 112 |
| 2016-03-24 | vs | GRD | W | 127 - 123 |
| 2016-03-26 | vs | CTN | L | 111 - 122 |
| 2016-03-29 | @ | DEL | L | 94 - 96 |
| 2016-04-01 | @ | FWN | L | 101 - 117 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ | IWA | L | 95 - 119 |
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adreian Payne | F | 3 | 0.0 | 26.3 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 16.3 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 28.6 | 80.8 | - | 53.1 | 46.0 |
| Aaron Harrison | G | 9 | 0.0 | 21.3 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 16.8 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 37.7 | 30.0 | 84.0 | - | 52.2 | 42.7 |
| Branden Dawson | - | 8 | 0.0 | 19.9 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 14.4 | 17.8 | - | - | - | 59.1 | 100.0 | 71.0 | - | 61.8 | 59.6 |
| Keith Appling | G | 35 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 13.8 | 14.4 | - | - | - | 47.6 | 37.5 | 83.6 | - | 57.7 | 50.4 |
| Dewayne Dedmon | F | 1 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 59.4 | 53.8 |
| Devyn Marble | F | 14 | 0.0 | 14.8 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 13.3 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 39.8 | 35.3 | 79.5 | - | 50.4 | 46.2 |
| Melvin Ejim | G | 39 | 0.0 | 14.6 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 11.3 | 13.1 | - | - | - | 47.3 | 33.0 | 79.1 | - | 56.2 | 51.2 |
| Jordan Sibert | G | 44 | 0.0 | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 40.7 | 34.4 | 87.1 | - | 51.6 | 49.2 |
| Tyler Harvey | G | 37 | 0.0 | 11.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 11.3 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 36.5 | 34.6 | 79.4 | - | 49.0 | 46.1 |
| Nnanna Egwu | F | 50 | 0.0 | 9.2 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 8.8 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 48.4 | 0 | 75.6 | - | 50.0 | 48.4 |
| Alex Davis | F | 50 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 46.6 | 0.0 | 77.8 | - | 54.1 | 46.6 |
| John Jordan | G | 10 | 0.0 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 59.3 | 75.0 | 58.8 | - | 62.4 | 61.9 |
| Myck Kabongo | G | 43 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 40.4 | 25.4 | 68.8 | - | 48.7 | 43.2 |
| Eric Atkins | G | 24 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 41.0 | 36.0 | 82.1 | - | 51.2 | 47.5 |
| Aaron Bowen | G | 36 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 51.8 | 30.0 | 60.0 | - | 53.9 | 52.7 |
| John Bohannon | - | 20 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 0.0 | 59.4 | - | 43.4 | 40.2 |
| Derrick Caracter | - | 24 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 44.1 | 0.0 | 85.7 | - | 49.9 | 44.1 |
| Troy Huff | - | 7 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | - | 40.3 | 35.0 |
| Daniel Coursey | F | 20 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 40.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.4 | 40.4 |
| Justin Manns | - | 18 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 46.3 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 45.4 | 46.3 |
| Karrington Ward | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG